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Christian McCaffrey, Regression Candidate

Since Christian McCaffrey entered the NFL, he has been a Top 2 RB in PPR scoring every season that he has stayed healthy (except his rookie year). In 2023, he averaged 24.7 FP/G in PPR scoring over 16 games and was the #1 RB in FP/G. Last year, he averaged 24.5 FP/G in 17 games and again was the #1 RB in FP/G. In between, he only played 4 games of the 2024 season. So the easy prediction is that McCaffrey will be a Top 2 back – probably RB1 – again in 2026, unless he gets hurt. I’m going to throw up some warning signs as to why the easy prediction might be wrong…


Christian McCaffrey, Regression Candidate

Since Christian McCaffrey entered the NFL, he has been a Top 2 RB in PPR scoring every season that he has stayed healthy (except his rookie year). In 2023, he averaged 24.7 FP/G in PPR scoring over 16 games and was the #1 RB in FP/G. Last year, he averaged 24.5 FP/G in 17 games and again was the #1 RB in FP/G. In between, he only played 4 games of the 2024 season.

So the easy prediction is that McCaffrey will be a Top 2 back – probably RB1 – again in 2026, unless he gets hurt. I’m going to throw up some warning signs as to why the easy prediction might be wrong…

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