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Mike Horn

Contributor

Mike Horn

Mike Horn, our resident kicker expert, has been playing fantasy football for over 23 years and high-stakes leagues for around 20. He wrote for the Fantasy Beat website for a year before joining Fantasy Guru in 2005.Mike retired from the US Army in 2000 after a 21-year career as an infantryman and foreign area officer. He served in Italy, Portugal, and Germany as well as at Fort Benning, Fort Irwin, Fort Leavenworth, Fort Bragg, and the Pentagon in the United States. While on active duty, he earned his Ranger tab, Air Assault Badge, and Master Parachutist Badge.From the military, Mike went to work as a defense (military, not football) analyst for a major defense contractor in the Washington, DC area. After 15 years working on future warfare studies, he took a second retirement in 2015.Mike Horn is also a graduate of a small engineering college on the Hudson that once ranked 299th out of 300 on a list of party schools. Not content with the rigor of that education, he later attended #300, the University of Chicago, for a Masters in European History. He also graduated from the US Army Command and General Staff College and the Portuguese Staff College.Mike lives in Arlington, VA with his wife Gayla, as well as their 2 dogs Ricky and Minnie. Besides football, his interests include travel, history, cooking, and eating well.

Recent articles

Fantasy Football

Do Run-and-Defense Teams Score More Kicker Fantasy Points: 2026

Mike Horn continues his look at defense and kicking trends!! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Aug 5, 2026
Fantasy Football -Sam Darnold

How Often Are Drafted Players Available on Waivers?

Mike Horn takes a look at fantasy football drafts and waivers: who is available, and who is not, as the NFL season goes on! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jul 29, 2026
Fantasy Football Running Backs

How Often Running Backs Repeat as Fantasy RB1s – And Some Factors That Matter

Mike Horn takes a look at the top running backs over the years and their performance in the following season. How often do RB1s keep their status year-on-year? Does remaining on the same team make a difference? Will keeping the same Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator ensure success? You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jul 22, 2026
Fantasy Football QB Types

A Graphic Depiction of the Predicted QB Types for 2026

“If you’ve been following along, you know I’ve written extensively about how different QB types perform for fantasy football. Why this obsessive writing about QB types? Because QBs who run more score more for fantasy: finding Very Mobile or Running Starting QBs gives us a 2-4 FP/G advantage…” Mike Horn takes his predictions and summarizes them into one graphic for your NFL Drafts! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jul 8, 2026
Caleb Williams

Predicting 2026 QB Types Based on Previous Performance

“Why do we care? Because QBs who run more score more for fantasy…” Mike Horn applies last week’s study to last year’s starting QBs to predict what “type” of QB they will be in 2026. By “type,” how often he runs the ball! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jul 1, 2026
Fernando Mendoza

Projecting Rookie QB Rushing Attempts, 2026 Update

“While I think this model has some value, as I said last year, it is far from perfect. It shows there is a fairly strong connection between how often a QB ran in college and how often he will run in the NFL…” Mike Horn projects the ground activity of rookie quarterbacks! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jun 24, 2026
Fantasy Football - Jordan Love

Can We Predict a QB’s Type Based on Previous Performance, 2026 Update

“The point is to take this data, the records of the returning starting QBs from 2025, and try to project their type in 2026…” Do Running QBs Take Fantasy Football Points from RBs? Mike Horn takes a look!! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jun 24, 2026
Fantasy Football - Mike Evans

Changing Places

Ten of the Top 60 WRs in the site rankings for 2026 have changed teams since last year. It’s been six years since I last analyzed how WRs performed for fantasy after changing teams, so I thought it was time for an update. One of the first things to remember is that, on average, over half of all WRs decline in fantasy scoring from year to year, even when you exclude those who retire or miss the entire season. So we need to compare WRs who change teams not just to their previous performance, but also to all receivers who don’t switch franchises… Mike Horn takes a look at how wide receivers perform after changing teams! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jun 10, 2026
Fantasy Football - Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey, Regression Candidate

Since Christian McCaffrey entered the NFL, he has been a Top 2 RB in PPR scoring every season that he has stayed healthy (except his rookie year). In 2023, he averaged 24.7 FP/G in PPR scoring over 16 games and was the #1 RB in FP/G. Last year, he averaged 24.5 FP/G in 17 games and again was the #1 RB in FP/G. In between, he only played 4 games of the 2024 season. So the easy prediction is that McCaffrey will be a Top 2 back – probably RB1 – again in 2026, unless he gets hurt. I’m going to throw up some warning signs as to why the easy prediction might be wrong… You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Jun 3, 2026
HC Background and Offensive Tendencies

HC Background and Offensive Tendencies

I started this study with the hypothesis that head coaches with a background as defensive assistants are more likely to run the ball than those who came up on the offensive side of things.  A prime example in support of this idea was last year’s Seattle offense under Mike Macdonald, which ran the ball on 50% of its plays (the league average was 44%) on the way to winning the Super Bowl. And in the 32-team NFL era, since 2002, teams with (what I’ll call) defensive head coaches have run on an average of 43.6% of their plays compared with a 42.2% rushing rate by “offensive HCs.”  So it seems pretty open-and-shut that you should go out and draft pieces of Macdonald’s running game and especially target Ravens’ and Titans’ RBs (new defensive HCs Jesse Minter and Robert Saleh, respectively).  Conversely, you’d want the passing games on teams with HCs having an offensive background. Of course, if it were that simple, I’d be about done with this article… You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

May 27, 2026
Jalen Hurts

The Trend Toward Running QBs 2025 Continues

The Trend Toward Running QBs Continues You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Mar 5, 2026
A Graphic Depiction of the Predicted vs. Actual QB Types for the 2025 Season

A Graphic Depiction of the Predicted vs. Actual QB Types for the 2025 Season

2025 Kicker Recommendations: A Graphic Depiction of the Predicted vs. Actual QB Types You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.

Mar 4, 2026