Contributor
Mike Horn
Recent articles
Changing Places
Ten of the Top 60 WRs in the site rankings for 2026 have changed teams since last year. It’s been six years since I last analyzed how WRs performed for fantasy after changing teams, so I thought it was time for an update. One of the first things to remember is that, on average, over half of all WRs decline in fantasy scoring from year to year, even when you exclude those who retire or miss the entire season. So we need to compare WRs who change teams not just to their previous performance, but also to all receivers who don’t switch franchises… Mike Horn takes a look at how wide receivers perform after changing teams! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Christian McCaffrey, Regression Candidate
Since Christian McCaffrey entered the NFL, he has been a Top 2 RB in PPR scoring every season that he has stayed healthy (except his rookie year). In 2023, he averaged 24.7 FP/G in PPR scoring over 16 games and was the #1 RB in FP/G. Last year, he averaged 24.5 FP/G in 17 games and again was the #1 RB in FP/G. In between, he only played 4 games of the 2024 season. So the easy prediction is that McCaffrey will be a Top 2 back – probably RB1 – again in 2026, unless he gets hurt. I’m going to throw up some warning signs as to why the easy prediction might be wrong… You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
HC Background and Offensive Tendencies
I started this study with the hypothesis that head coaches with a background as defensive assistants are more likely to run the ball than those who came up on the offensive side of things. A prime example in support of this idea was last year’s Seattle offense under Mike Macdonald, which ran the ball on 50% of its plays (the league average was 44%) on the way to winning the Super Bowl. And in the 32-team NFL era, since 2002, teams with (what I’ll call) defensive head coaches have run on an average of 43.6% of their plays compared with a 42.2% rushing rate by “offensive HCs.” So it seems pretty open-and-shut that you should go out and draft pieces of Macdonald’s running game and especially target Ravens’ and Titans’ RBs (new defensive HCs Jesse Minter and Robert Saleh, respectively). Conversely, you’d want the passing games on teams with HCs having an offensive background. Of course, if it were that simple, I’d be about done with this article… You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
The Trend Toward Running QBs 2025 Continues
The Trend Toward Running QBs Continues You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
A Graphic Depiction of the Predicted vs. Actual QB Types for the 2025 Season
2025 Kicker Recommendations: A Graphic Depiction of the Predicted vs. Actual QB Types You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Algorithm Edition
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Algorithm Edition You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Playoffs in Review
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Playoffs in Review You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 22
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Human Edition You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Human Edition
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Human Edition You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 21
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 21!! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 20
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 20!! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 19
2025 Kicker Recommendations: Week 19!! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.