DFS Marlin’s Catch of the Week: NFL DFS & Betting Selections Week 14

This article was rough from a DFS perspective but absolutely crushed from a betting angle last week, going just 13/25 (52%) for DFS picks but 6/7 on bets. Our cover player didn’t completely flop in Nacua but also did not give us the return we needed based on price point, and we are now converting on cover players 9/13 on the year (69%), which is starting to bring everything in range with our expected average of about 65% success rate across the board. This week, we return to an 11-game slate with just three games on the afternoon slate and eight games on the early slate. The goal of this article is to provide some insight and transparency into my DFS & betting process and approach leading up to an NFL slate, along with picks and plays that I’ve landed on for this week in result. Generally, my goal for the season is to provide DFS plays that hit at a 65-70% clip, and we are just about doing that. Any given week, the approach and strategy may adjust, depending on what the slate looks like and how I want to attack it. Let’s dive into preparation for this week and see how we are attacking Week 14!

Mark Hogan

December 6, 2025

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