This is the last week before the FedEx Cup and a course that can be scored on except for last year. Winning scores are usually around -20 with the exception of last year where before the playoffs it was at -15. A week where Webb Simpson will more than likely be super chalk just because he owns this course and smashes nearly every single year. I won’t talk much about last week, but a recap is we had Finau as the top guy in it but other than that we had quite a few misses and a few hits. Hopefully we can get a good week in right before the FedEx cup playoffs where we should see some nice contests we can play. Let’s get to it!!
Course Preview
This week we make our way over to Greensboro, N.C., Sedgefield County club to compete at the Wyndham Championship. The field is not the greatest but brings some talent with Will Zalatoris being up top. Sedgefield is kind of a predictive course with guys who do well here, and comp course tend to do well every year. Sedgefield is a 7,131 par 70 with four par 3’s two par 5’s and twelve par 4’s. Eight of the par 4’s are ranging from 400-450 yards making them kind of predictable for players and how they play on holes with those ranges. The par 5’s are reachable in two and two of the par 3’s are shorter than 180 yards making them easier holes compared to most par 3’s. Just like last week players who are great with the putter should succeed here and these greens are easy to hit so good irons players should give themselves plenty of great birdie looks. We have another Donald Ross designed course and this week we have Bermuda grass greens. Now on to the player breakdown.
Stats I am Looking at
- SG: APP
- Fairways gained
- Prox: 150-175 and 125-150
- P4: 400-450
- BoB gained
- SG: P on Bermuda greens
Player Breakdown
Webb Simpson (Cash/GPP)
Chalky or not chalky Webb smashes this course and at the comp courses. He is great on Donald ross courses and is just going to top 10 once again here and play well.
Sungjae Im (Cash/GPP)
Course sets up well for Sungjae and anytime we play on Bermuda greens he is always in play as that is his favorite putting surface and that is exactly what we get this weekend.
Billy Horschel (Cash/GPP)
I wish he was sub $10k because he usually isn’t that type of player, but he has a couple top 10 finishes at this course and comes in 9th in my model this week. He can score here and his best putting surface is Bermuda where he has gained 6.9 and 5.2 strokes at this course the last two years.
Russell Henley (Cash/GPP)
I really hope he is low owned this week because I love him in this spot. He has two top 10 finished in the last two years and he is 10th in my model and is an amazing iron player. I will try and fit him and another guy up here together in my lineups.
Denny McCarthy (GPP)
Actually, plays well at this course and that is a big thing to look at here. His stats don’t really lineup for this week, but I am willing to overlook that just a bit because he plays well here and is a good putter who can get very hot.
Si Woo Kim (Cash/GPP)
He has four top 5s at this course including a win in 2016. He is not a great putter but seems to putt just fine here and I think he can get to a top 10 once again and have upside like previous years.
Kevin Kisner (Cash/GPP)
Last week was so bad from him on a course he should have been good at. This week is another one of those setups from him and he won here last year and finished 3rd the year before. This is your prototypical Kisner course, and he is great on Bermuda greens so that is another thing.
Joohyung Kim (GPP)
A GPP play just because he hasn’t shown himself in a bunch of tournaments yet, but did play well last week which a comp course. He should do well and so far, his best putting surface is Bermuda.
Taylor Pendrith (Cash/GPP)
He is a good golfer and finished 2nd last week while we were on him and let’s get a repeat of last week and have him smash here. He is more expensive, but the field last week was a bit better and that’s why.
Brian Harman (GPP)
Has a very up and down track record at this course but has played the comp courses well. He should be lower owned this week and I think he could do well with how hot his putter can get and his irons being decent.
J.T Poston (GPP)
Call me crazy but I think he can do well this week. His form is actually good, and he has a win here a couple years ago. I know he has a bunch of missed cuts surrounding but that is why I only recommend him for deep Gpp only.
Justin Rose (Cash/GPP)
The biggest thing I could see holding him back this week is going to be his irons but with these greens easy to hit I don’t think anything else will be of issue. Has a 10th here last year and comes in number 1 in my model.
Scott Stallings (GPP)
Playing out of his mind right now along with a 4th at the Charles Schwab, which is a comp course to here. He has not had the greatest success, but this is some of the best forms he has had coming in.
Sebastian Munoz (Cash)
I know it sounds crazy with me putting him under a cash tier, but he has missed two cuts the entire year. Comes in 7th in my model along with making the cut here the last three years. The reason I don’t love him for Gpp is because he has two top 15s all year, which the rest of the weeks would not pay off in GPP.
Adam Svensson (GPP)
Man, if he can find that putter this week he will be towards the top. He lost 1.9 strokes putting on his worst surface this past weekend and finished 24th. Now we are on Bermuda where he should be a bit better and finish top 20.
Brendon Todd (Cash/GPP)
Did someone say putting contest? Well, here we go with a guy who seems to gain 5+ strokes putting on a weekly basis. His main issue is those irons which I am hoping this course fixes that a bit.
Cheng Tsung Pan (GPP)
Has no missed a cut here in four times out, problem is two of the times he finished last on the weekend, and another is his putter sucking. He does have the upside, but I wouldn’t play him outside of a big GPP contest.
Harris English (GPP)
Bad form and stats don’t line up, but he has never missed a cut here and plays decent at the comp courses. I don’t have hit as a filler guy for GPP lineups.
Russell Knox (GPP)
Pretty cheap for a guy who has played decent here and at the comp courses I am looking at. Very risky golfer but you won’t find much safety the further you go down.
Rickie Fowler (GPP)
I’m just waiting for the week he top 10s and brings everyone back in. It very well could never happen also so I might be just pulling straws here.
Patton Kizzire (GPP)
I have him in the article a lot of weeks out of the year, but he does have upside and should be priced above some guys down here.
Rory Sabbatini (Cash/GPP)
Smashes at this course and is a good golfer on Donald Ross designs. I know he is risky, but I am willing to take the top 5 upside he brings here. Will more than likely be a bit chalky.
Scott Piercy (GPP)
More of a punt type play that should not have much ownership. Has played decent here and the comp courses.
Nick Hardy (GPP)
Not the greatest recent form, but I feel like he can excel at this course as long as the putter is there. He has a couple of top 10s at this course.
Rafa Cabrera Bello (Cash/GPP)
Cheap guy who can and has done well here in the past. It usually isn’t his putter as much as his APP game that affects him and how he plays.
Doc Redman (Deep GPP)
This is a deep GPP play this week for a guy who can score massive points when his game is on and also a guy who can go out and gain 5 strokes putting.
Ryan Moore (GPP)
As you have seen from the last couple of weeks, I probably would recommend following me into this black hole, but I will be going back to him.
Ryan Armour (GPP)
Did not play well here last year but prior to that he had four top 25s with two of those being an 8th and a 4th. Also plays well at a couple comp courses.
