Last week’s article was actually pretty good with a majority of our guys finishing well. Crappy part is guys like Spieth and HV3 absolutely losing how to play golf and screwing me out of a lot of money. We now come to the last week where we will crown a FedEx champion. We only have 30 golfers this week and each golfer depending on the FedEx cup standings will start at a certain stroke with Scottie Scheffler starting at -10 and trickling all the way down to five guys starting at even. On to the course breakdown!
This week we go back to East Lake in Atlanta where we have a lot of good data to base our golfers off of unlike last week. I personally do not like the scoring system where guys start 10 shots back on the leader, but I do understand why they do it. This course plays as a 7,319-yard par 70 with four par 3’s, twelve par 4’s and two par 5’s. six of the par 4’s are over 450 yards with three par 3’s also over 200 yards. This course is going to test all around game from these guys along with being long off the tee. Also included in that you will need to be fairly accurate off the tee as these fairways are very narrow and embodies the Donald Ross design.
Stats I am Looking at
- Par 4 scoring
- SG: App
- Good drive gained
- Bogey Avoidance
Xander Schauffele (Cash/GPP)
I would not be surprised to see him as the highest owned on the slate being as he owns East Lake. He has not finished outside of the top 7 here and it is a no cut event as well. I will more than likely be going here this week.
Scottie Scheffler (Cash/GPP)
Another guy who will be very highly owned and for good reason starting at -10. I personally would rather avoid both of these guys over Cantlay this week so hopefully that gives me somewhat of an edge in this tournament.
Jon Rahm (GPP)
I will not fault you if you fade him this week but coming in starting at -3 along with not being all that great lately, he should come in lower owned than normal. If he does, I am more than willing to take a chance because outside of the starting scores he could be the highest scoring guy.
Rory Mcllroy (Cash/GPP)
He has a decent chance of actually winning the tournament this week. Has played so well this year and coming in with great form. Finished 8th last week while losing over 4 strokes putting. I like him quite a bit here.
Justin Thomas (GPP)
Did not have a good week last week and has kind of struggled the past five events. Give me him for some massive upside even though he is starting at -3 he can finish top 3 and score a bunch of points with how he scores.
Sungjae Im (Cash/GPP)
Like I always say, when Sungjae is on Bermuda greens he is in play. On top of that he will be starting at -4 and that is well behind the leader but also doable to the point if he had a great week he can be right there in the end.
Matthew Fitzpatrick (Cash/GPP)
Going to be very popular, has never played at this tournament before but sets up well and is 4th in the overall model this week. Also coming in with good form and great on Bermuda greens.
Hideki Matsuyama (GPP)
I know I said I would never say his name again but we have a small field to work with and has a couple of good finishes at this course in prior years. Has the talent to bring big upside this week.
Corey Conners (Cash/GPP)
Very mediocre finishes at this course but should be lower owned this range and has good irons and 2nd in the field in good drives. He has the talent to move up the leaderboard and score well.
Collin Morikawa (Cash/GPP)
Way too cheap in my opinion this week. Will not win this being as he starts at -1 but he has great upside here and if his putter is working a top 5 is well within range.
Jordan Spieth (GPP)
Was playing out of his mind on Thursday and Friday, and then just completely fell apart over the weekend, which hurt a lot. I will be going back to him for GPP only as if his driver is like last week he will finish dead last but if he can find something, he will do well.
Billy Horschel (Cash)
You can really make a case for him in GPP due to the fact of him doing well at this course but should be safe to score well here.
Scott Stallings (Cash/GPP)
I think Straka will bring massive ownership this week starting at -4 but I believe Stallings should give you a bit of leverage and come in a little less owned. I could be wrong about that because Stallings has played well and even finished 2nd last week but I like him no matter what.
Brian Harman (Cash/GPP)
I believe he is in the article nearly every week and that will not change here. Good recent form and his best putting surface is Bermuda. Starts down here at -1 but he can still score great for this price.
Aaron Wise (Cash/GPP)
Going to be the last person for the article and the cheapest I will be playing. Wise is a good talent and could outscore many guys above him this week.
This week is super weird with a smaller number of golfers to choose from but you can make edges for yourself just on how you build. Basic build I believe will be stars and scrubs but I can see a more balanced build or starting with a guy like Jon Rahm will be a bit different. I personally will not be playing Scottie Scheffler or Xander in my lineups. The reason being is they will more than likely combine for 60+% ownership and I only play GPP lineups trying to win it all. Is this strategy a good one? No, it is not but if I think Rahm or Rory can play lights out and make a bunch of birdies then they should be lower owed and have the potential to outscore the top guys with just pure scoring opportunities. If going a stars and scrubs build I do not hate it but you need to hope the studs play well and at those prices, they will still need to score well along with finish top 3 to pay off.