Last week was good for plays in the article but I did not do good because I only had a couple 5/6 lineups. In the article we had I think 4 of the top 5 guys up there. I saw some cashed well and made a good penny this weekend. Now we move back on and try to do the same this week and smash the earth. LET’S GET TO IT!!
This week we make our way to the Charles Schwab in Dallas Fort Worth at Colonial CC. It is an easier course than last week and has the same kind of similarities. The difference is the fairways are smaller, so it is more of a second shot course-mitigating distance and also don’t need to be great ARG this week, which brings certain guys from last week into play. Course history is actually pretty big this week as the past 5 winners finished t10 or better in the previous years. While that isn’t going to be the end all be all it is predictable for this course. This week we have a 7,200 par 70 with two par 5’s, 12 par 4’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s is easy with the par 5 1st hole is the easiest hole on the course. The other par 5 is a little more difficult being over 600 yards so it will be a three shot one for sure. We will not have a birdie fest this week, but guys can get after it and still score well. App and putting on bent grass greens are big this week and stats we will be looking at while picking our golfers. Now onto the player breakdown.
Stats I am Looking at:
Par 4 350-400
SG: P on bent grass
I guarantee he will be looking to do good here this week after that awful week he had at the PGA championship. He is from Dallas, and I can see an easy top 10 this week with potential.
Collin Morikawa (Cash/GPP)
Screwed me last week and I am going right back to the well because just like last week he sets up very well and the course is easier. What do you need to excel here? Good irons and good drives which he lines up well with.
Jordan Spieth (Cash/GPP)
This is his course and has finished outside of the top 10 once in the last 5 years. This is an easy play but just like me having him in this article so will everybody else.
Viktor Hovland (GPP)
Another guy who benefits from it being similar course as last week but less emphasis on Arg which is awesome for him. He is very good with his irons.
Abraham Ancer (Cash/GPP)
This seems like his type of course where he doesn’t need to be long. He is a good driver of the ball with decent irons and a great putter on bent so this lines up good for him.
Tony Finau (GPP)
I wish he was not completely broken but he has played well here in the past and if he can find that game again, he can win this tournament.
Daniel Berger (GPP)
I hope that everyone gets off Berger this week because of his stinker last week because I like him here. Just seems like the perfect bounce back spot.
Billy Horschel (Cash/GPP)
Probably going to be more for cash games than for GPP, but I do think he can well here and has never missed the cut here in the last 5 times.
Webb Simpson (GPP)
Hasn’t really been great lately but there are giving a comp course of Wyndham to here and if that is the case that is where Webb smashes all the time.
Mito Pereira (Cash/GPP)
I don’t love him this week but his stats look great for me and it sets up kind of like last week.
Bryson DeChambeau (GPP)
He probably does not play but if he does then I would want a piece of him in GPP just due to his upside when he is on. Check back later in the week to see if he is playing.
Kevin Na (Cash/GPP)
This is my direct pivot off of Kokrak this week and hope he is half of the ownership because I like him a lot.
Gary Woodland (GPP)
Has finished 14th and 9th his last couple times at this tournament. His APP and drives are good for me, and I will be on him.
Chris Kirk (Cash/GPP)
Oh, yeah this is my dude this week. Top 20 here we come and yes that is enough for his price at this tournament which is not a birdie fest.
Brian Harman (Cash/GPP)
He is going to be a good play this week. Stats for the most part lineup and also has great course history here.
Justin Rose (GPP)
Everything besides his APP is spot on in the model this week. He always has some good course history here so we should see a good week from Rose.
Sebastian Munoz (Cash/GPP)
Actually, has some good recent form and I can see him finishing top 25 here this week which would be good for him.
Kevin Kisner (Cash/GPP)
He is always better on shorter courses which are his words. Wyndham is a comp course and he won there last year and finished 3rd the year before.
Patrick Reed (GPP)
Not playing the same but he is too cheap this week and I am more than willing to go right back to him.
Patton Kizzire (GPP)
Finished 3rd here last year and has played decent at the Wyndham in the past. Could be a nice spot for him.
Denny McCarthy (Cash/GPP)
I really hate to admit this, but he is in a really good spot this week. His form is good and also plays at the Wyndham very well finishing 15th and 9th the last two times there.
Doug Ghim (GPP)
He is GPP only because he has been very up and down as of late, but it seems like he is finding something.
Brian Stuard (GPP)
Recent form is not great but has not missed a cut at this course in the last 5 years and also plays wyndham decently.
JT Poston (GPP)
I love him as a GPP value play this week. He is kind of coming into form and has had good finishes here and at the Wyndham prior so this could be another top 20 for him.
Austin Smotherman (Cash/GPP)
Just seems way too cheap for a guy who is pretty good with his irons and can score.
Brandt Snedeker (GPP)
Super sneaky play this week that has some upside to him. His recent form is god-awful but has the tools to do well here and has won at the Wyndham before. Also has made the cut every time at this course in the last 5 years.
Adam Svensson (Cash/GPP)
Punt play who has great irons and if his putter shows up he will have a solid week.