Seasonal
Fantasy Guru is the premier award winning destination for Fantasy Sports Advice! Providing Expert Analysis, Strategy, and Fantasy Tools to more than 100k members for more than 20 years!
WR Targets and Fantasy Rank, Updated
In trying to predict future WR performance, I often estimate that “X” number of targets equates to “Y” level of WR fantasy. You might wonder where these estimates come from. They start with this graph: I plotted each WR’s targets against his seasonal rank in fantasy points per game among WRs, from 2002 to the Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Ray’s Ramblings: Hitters, A Check In
Ray Flowers takes a look at the hitters around the infield and the outfield. Bogaerts is surging. Braun can still produce when in the lineup. Bregman and Bryant continue to mash the baseball. Yandy Diaz heads to the IL. Brian Dozier and a glimmer of hope. Hosmer is finally hitting. La Stella is tearing it Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Dynasty Strategy: Advanced Tactics
Structural advantages were something we discussed last week, and it will be the main focus of this piece for the next couple of weeks. There’s a few very important concepts I use as building blocks, that once explained, will make the success probability charts easier to apply strategy-wise. Dynasty leagues have a plethora of concepts Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Ray’s Ramblings: Mound Mavens May 22nd
Do the Braves have an ace in Mike Soroka? Who is Jake Arrieta at this point? David Price returned, and the results were very positive for the Red Sox lefty. Yu Darvish is improving, sort of. Cashner has been effective. Corbin has been solid, but there are some concerns. Minor has been a major contributor Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2019 Prospect Stock Watch: May 22
As the offseason progresses, and the 2019 rookie class evolves, there’s a constant churn of draft prospect information. Some is good, some bad. This article will help clear the noise and get to the truth. There’s a lot of information out there, but only some of it is valuable. This article will also evolve and shift, based Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Ray’s Ramblings: Mound Mavens, May 21st
Ray Flowers takes a look at the bump. Alcantara is coming off a shutout. Does it matter? Is Buehler all the way back? How have things gone in Anaheim for rookie Griffin Canning? Eickhoff has hit a speed bump with the Phillies. Which of the righties, Fiers and Gausman, should you be targeting? Dakota Hudson Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Future NFL Draft Prospects: May 21
I’ve now done 11 volumes of “Future NFL Prospects” and it felt like time for some rankings. Apparently, this is rankings week for me, as I also released a dynasty rankings update earlier today. Through 44 players profiles, and projecting draft position for all of them (beyond Missouri WR Jalen Knox), there’s a lot least an Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
NFL Dynasty Rankings Update – 5/21/19
Considering all my rookie drafts (and two startups) are just about wrapping up, I figured it was time to do a dynasty rankings update. There’s not going to be analysis on this (in the article), as things haven’t changed for the veterans since free agency, but always feel free to reach out in the Chat if Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
MLB Weekly Preview: May 20-26
Jeff Mans and I were sitting around the metaphorical campfire, singing “Kumbaya” and talking about baseball, the future of the fantasy business and days of old. He reflected upon his Fantasy Alarm days and then, Eureka! Like a flash of lightning, the thought sprung from his mind… the MLB Weekly Preview. For those of you…
Best Ball ADP Values
Free agency has come and gone, and so has the Draft. Best Ball season is approaching full swing, and this early on is a great time of year to jump in with volume, as ADP hasn’t fully adjusted to the offseason moves. Here, I’m highlighting some best ball values as I currently see them in Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Ray’s Rundown – 05/18
Every rookie in the world was seemingly called up this past week. Ray Flowers gives his breakdown of: Brendan Rodgers, Keston Hiura, Austin Riley, Nicky Lopez, Oscar Mercado, Willie Calhoun and Corbin Martin. Closers in Waiting, Waiver-wire HITTERS (Cron, Aledmys Diaz, Dyson, Kipnis, La Stella, Mallex Smith) and PITCHERS (Chase Anderson, Chris Archer, Chris Bassitt, Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Dynasty Strategy: The Startup
The base of every dynasty league is the startup. Auction or snake, Superflex (SF) or 1QB, rookies included or not, the startup is by far the most important area of a dynasty league. A lot of teams’ futures will sink or swim in the coming years because of how the players are distributed initially, and it’s Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Offensive Identities 2018, Part III: The Passing Game (continued)
So far, I’ve looked at the basics of offensive identity in 2018 (plays from scrimmage; how many fantasy points (FP) those plays generated; how many of those plays were “wasted” from a fantasy perspective; and the relationships between wins and plays and FP) and the running game (including the correlations between running plays and winning, Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Running Back Receiving Touchdowns
For many years, I have been confident that RBs who score multiple (more than two) receiving TDs in one season will score less of them in the next season. This has been one of the surest examples of regression to the mean in fantasy football. The reasons essentially were that few runners scored more than Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2019 Player Profile: Brendan Rodgers
Brendan Rodgers is one of the best young prospects in the game. Toss in that he will get to play half his games at Coors Field, and you can understand the excitement that accompanies him. Reports are suggesting that the vaunted prospect will be called up Friday, and that means we have to break him Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Ray’s Ramblings: Mound Mavens, May 17th
What is wrong with Aaron Nola? Ray Flowers does some digging. Bieber has been good, minus the homer issues. Duffy – is he ever worth it? Foltynewicz just can’t seem to find what he had last season. Hendricks has snapped back, from some early season struggles, and has looked dominant the last month. Kikuchi has Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Projected Draft Position: 2019 Review
One of the most important indicators of future success for NFL prospects is draft position. If you’re skeptical of that fact, check this out. While where a player goes on draft day isn’t the be-all and end-all of their career, historical trends suggest the earlier a player is drafted, the higher their likelihood of NFL success Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Future NFL Draft Prospects: May 14
The NFL is built upon what college football provides. Every year, there’s a focus on incoming rookies and players who are going to make impacts for their new teams, but where did those players come from? What did they look like as underclassmen in college? How productive were they? The goal of this article is Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2019 Player Profile: Keston Hiura
Keston Hiura has one of the best hit tools amongst all minor leaguers. He has been called up by the Brewers to give that hit tool a working at the big-league level. What does the can’t miss kid have to offer? What role will he fill for the Brew Crew? How should he fit into Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
MLB Weekly Preview: May 13-19
Jeff Mans and I were sitting around the metaphorical campfire, singing “Kumbaya” and talking about baseball, the future of the fantasy business and days of old. He reflected upon his Fantasy Alarm days and then, Eureka! Like a flash of lightning, the thought sprung from his mind… the MLB Weekly Preview. For those of you…
2019 Rookie Tight End Rankings
Last week, the essentials were provided. Both Jeff Mans (Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings) and I (Rookie Dynasty Rankings) posted Dynasty Rankings, and also, a Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft. If your rookie draft was last week, that should’ve been able to provide a great baseline. HOWEVER, I know there’s a lot of folks out there who want some Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Best Ball Winners & Losers
If you were to ask anyone who plays in a league with me what my most prominent weakness would be, the answer would be a resounding, “WAIVERS!” I love drafting, but let’s be honest here; when you’re in the thick of the NFL season, managing high volumes of season-long leagues, dynasty leagues, DFS lineups, and maybe Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
Ray’s Rundown – 05/11
Ray Flowers discusses the following. Vlad Guerrero’s struggles vs. expectations. The same with Eloy Jimenez. What to make of Adalberto Mondesi’s amazing start? Dee Gordon avoids IL. Mike Zunino to IL – how to handle filling that catcher spot? Waiver-wire HITTERS (Dickerson, Dietrich, Healy, La Stella, Pence, Profar, Sano) and PITCHERS (Alcantara, Cubs bullpen, Fiers, Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.
2019 Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings
Last week, the essentials were provided. Both Jeff Mans (Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings) and I (Rookie Dynasty Rankings) posted Dynasty Rankings, and also, a Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft. If your rookie draft was last week, that should’ve been able to provide a great baseline. HOWEVER, I know there’s a lot of folks out there who want some Read More! You need a subscription to access this content. Choose from the following: VIP Memberships – Seasonal Annual Season-long content, draft guide, rankings, podcasts, and Discord access. $109.99 VIP Memberships – VIP Monthly Includes all plans: Seasonal, Daily, and Betting, plus exclusive tools and Discord. $99.99 NFL Memberships – NFL (All-In) $499.99 Already a member? Sign in.