A couple of weeks ago, I published my cheat sheet chart that translates WR targets into fantasy value. Today, I want to look at how many targets a typical team’s WR corps sees: A #1 WR is the wideout on a team who gets the most targets; a #2 sees the 2nd most, etc. I’m
Evergreen
The Value of RB Opportunities
Tyler Buecher’s article on the red zone efficiency of running backs reminded me of some work I did last season but didn’t publish. Here’s a couple of quick charts (PPR scoring). While they are from 2013-2017, I doubt they changed much in a year: The first one shows how the value of a running back’s
League Formats – Super Flex
Hello folks! I am beyond excited to be writing my first column for Fantasy Guru. If you are wondering who the heck I am, I have been in working in the industry since 2010. Previously, my work could be found on Football Diehards, Yahoo, the DraftKings Playbook, and in multiple other formats. I enjoy combining
Intro To Bestball Fantasy Football & FAQ
Bestball has seemingly become the offseason drug of choice for both draft addicts and DFS players, alike. You will see slews of articles, tweets, blurbs, etc. outlining roster construction, strategies, targets, and fades. But for those who have never delved into the format, it begs the question… “What exactly is Bestball?” Bestball is a format
Where to Play Bestball?
Entering 2019, there are now more sites than ever that are offering bestball leagues to join. Between league size, payout structure, roster construction, etc. there’s a bestball league to fit almost any user’s need and style of play. In this article, we’ll go over the more popular sites identifying key elements that differentiate them as
Bestball Roster Construction
When it comes to bestball leagues, every little edge adds up. If you’re a mass bestball drafter like me (100-plus leagues), we use these drafts to gain a pulse on ADP as it shifts throughout the offseason and to bring in some additional cheddar on the side. One of the easiest things you can do
Have You Given Up On Fantasy Baseball?
It’s June. The lure of fantasy football is calling you, the Siren’s song floating through your ear canal whispering — PPR… Are you still all in with your fantasy baseball season, or has your mind started to drift to other topics? SEASON LONG FANTASY BASEBALL I return to the question that I posted recently in
Average Draft Position and Fantasy Points Per Game
We don’t draft as well as we think we do. As a group. I’m sure some of you are from Lake Wobegon and are above average drafters, but the rest of us aren’t that good. The next few charts show that. If we really knew what we were doing, this is the graph we’d get
Teammate Scores
We’re about to get into the heat of the offseason, and with rookies on NFL rosters, prospect evaluation is about to become less important (until next offseason). However, before we send off the rookie evaluation process, I did want to throw out an idea I’ve been working on. Last offseason (before I joined FantasyGuru), I
Why Don’t Players Bunt?
Men are macho. Get a gaggle of men together, what the hell is a gaggle anyway?, and you will see one fella try to out macho the next guy nearly every time. Whichever fella has bigger biceps, a faster car or the more expensive watch has to be the winner. Men are all about being
Should Baseball Ban the DH?
Some folks love the home run. They can’t get enough of it. They love watching majestic 450-foot fly balls arch into the seats, sent skyward by men with massive muscles. To others, they would prefer to watch that in batting practice, not in games. With seemingly every player in baseball capable of hitting 20 homers
Is Baseball Too Expensive?
I recall going to baseball games as a child with great fondness. My family would head to the deli, grab some huge sandwiches, drive along the San Francisco Bay, pull into the parking lot and head into Candlestick Park to watch the Giants struggle for victory against opponents that often dwarfed the Giants in talent.
Are Expected Stats Ruining Fantasy Baseball?
A few days ago, I asked the question What is Wrong With Fantasy Baseball? The response from many was that nothing is wrong (if you think that, you’re wrong). In this piece I’ll take a stab at something that I hope there will be more unanimity with – that expected stats are ruining fantasy baseball.
Dynasty Strategy: The Startup
The base of every dynasty league is the startup. Auction or snake, Superflex (SF) or 1QB, rookies included or not, the startup is by far the most important area of a dynasty league. A lot of teams’ futures will sink or swim in the coming years because of how the players are distributed initially, and it’s
Running Back Receiving Touchdowns
For many years, I have been confident that RBs who score multiple (more than two) receiving TDs in one season will score less of them in the next season. This has been one of the surest examples of regression to the mean in fantasy football. The reasons essentially were that few runners scored more than
What Is Wrong With Fantasy Baseball?
Fantasy Baseball is at a crossroads. Each year, interest in the game seems to wane. Take it from one of the few people who has been in this industry for nearly two decades working full-time, we have a problem with fantasy baseball. Last season, for the first time in 15-year, MLB attendance dropped below 70
Sports Betting Strategy, 101
Money Lines The most common MLB bet has to be the money line. Unlike most sports, there isn’t a point spread involved in handicapping baseball. Let’s say the Orioles are playing the Yankees and the Yankees are -165 on the ML vs the Orioles at +155. When you’re betting on a favorite at -165 (Yankees),
Soccer Betting, 101
Betting in general is tough. We grind over numbers, look at trends, watch games and make judgements on form. Before all of that, are the basics. Soccer in particular is slightly different than other sports. In this article we’ll explore the basics of betting on SOCCER, or football as the rest of the world calls
The Betting 101 Podcast Series
Bankroll Management To download the podcast, click here! Buying Points and Teasers To download the podcast, click here! Closing Line Value To download the podcast, click here! Making Numbers To download the podcast, click here! Parlays To download the podcast, click here! What is a Point Worth? To download the podcast, click here!
Formula 1, 101
Hi, everyone, I’m Jesse Weller, and starting today I’ll be providing Formula 1 bets here at Guru Elite! I’m assuming most of you are here in the US, so it’s likely you’re not that familiar with Formula 1. With that in mind, I’ve compiled a quick breakdown that, I hope, accomplishes 4 things: Introduces you