NFL

 Stat Info & Analysis 

Le'Veon Bell was a dominant fantasy force as a running back since being drafted in the 2nd round by the Steelers in 2013. From that season through 2018, he was in the Top 10 in FP/G (points-per-recept...
This is the third in a series on fantasy defenses. I started with an overview of trends in defensive fantasy scoring and last week looked at whether a defense's "base" alignment affected its fantasy s...
Last week I analyzed what fantasy production we can expect from A.J. Green this year in light of how many games he's missed the past three years. This week, I want to expand that analysis to all veter...
Picking up from last week's article on fantasy defensive scoring, this week I want to look at whether a defense's "base" alignment ("4-3" or "3-4") affects its fantasy scoring. A quick primer on metho...
A.J. Green has now missed substantial time in two of the last three years, playing just 35 games in that time. He'll be 31 when the season starts. Is his body starting to break-down? Many years ago (2...
This off-season I want to look at fantasy scoring by Team Defenses. Some of the issues I want to look at are the impact on Tm D fantasy points of: changing head coaches and defensive coordinators; hav...
Kickers averaged 10.8 FP in the Championship Round. The system projected all four kickers as Starts and all scored 7 FP or better, so that's pretty good: As a reminder, the table shows the Average FP...
So far this offseason, I've reviewed QB and RB fantasy performance in 2018 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I'm going to apply the same method...
Strength of Schedule Adjusted RB Scores for 2018 Earlier, I reviewed QB fantasy performance in 2018 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I'm going...
Every year, after the season ends, I look back at player performance (in fantasy points) adjusted by factoring in their strength of schedule (SoS). I want to strip out the effects of difficult or easy...
Last year I wrote on article about the drop in fantasy scoring in 2017. The summary points from that article: Non-QB fantasy scoring was down almost 4.4 FP/G per team from 2016 to 2017. It wasn't just...
Kickers averaged 8.0 FP in the Divisional Round. The system had good results if you compare the Starts (10.0 FP and all wins or ties) to the other categories. The big miss for the system was on the Ma...
Click HERE for the Week 16 Box Scores! ...
Last week I did an analysis of running back attrition in 2018.  This week I'll play the same methods to WRs.  If you read last week's article, skim down to the chart.  The next few paragraphs explain ...
Football is often compared to war.  Personally, I think that's overdone, but the constant toll on bodies on the NFL is somewhat analogous to a war of attrition.  As the season winds down, I want to lo...
A couple of years back, I did an analysis of what available-on-waivers TEs you should grab if your regular TE got hurt heading into Weeks 14-16. I defined "available" as TEs ranked outside the Top 15 ...
As often happens at this time of year, I start thinking about picking a defense for the fantasy playoffs.  This article is an update of one that I wrote two years ago, but with two more years of data....
As often happens at this time of year, I start thinking about picking a defense for the fantasy playoffs.  This article is an update of one that I wrote two years ago, but with two more years of data....
We're down to the point in the season that fantasy owners are either scrambling for a playoff spot or making playoff preparations (okay, some are done for the year, but I'll ignore that).  More than e...
One of the great questions of fantasy football is how much of a player's scoring is his performance and how much is due to his strength (or weakness) of schedule.  Today I'm going to present graphics ...
  In the article I wrote last week, Who Do Rookies Target?, I put this table in the endnotes: The FP value of a generic target by position[1]:           What this says is that a typical RB scores 1.4...
  We now seem to have four rookie QBs taking over after being highly-drafted.  Does this make a difference on which positions get targeted? I limited my study to rookie QBs with 150+ pass attempts (ro...
Welcome to my weekly overview of offensive snaps and skill player usage. The goal of this piece will be to use snap counts to help us spot anomalies and identify offensive player usage trends. This sh...
  Two games is a small sample.  Trying to make predictions based off the stats from a small sample is pointless.  So I'm going to write a pointless article, or at least prove that it's pointless when ...

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