Every year, after the season ends, I look back at player performance (in fantasy points) adjusted by factoring in their strength of schedule (SoS). I want to strip out the effects of difficult or easy schedules in order to better predict player performance next season. I look at all the offensive fantasy positions, starting with QBs.
This method doesn't always work in spotting changes for next season, because so many factors go into a player's performance. For example, if you go back and read last year’s article, you 'll find a mixed bag of calls. Here's my summary from that article:
A few summary comments, just based on this analysis:
- Carson Wentz, Deshaun Watson, and Jimmy Garoppolo all look even better when their actual performances are adjusted for their SoS.
- While the young guys above are exciting, veterans Matthew Stafford and Philip Rivers still look like Top-10 fantasy QBs in a SoS analysis.
- Don't sleep on Aaron Rodgers; he was playing very well despite a tough schedule.
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