Questions were asked, and you responded. So, taking a bit of a break from Player Profiles for a brief moment, I thought I would speak to the answers that were crowdsourced on topics such as who is the #2 starting pitcher, the #2 rookie, the over under for homers for Machado and who is the better player, Harper or Arenado?

Pretty resounding victory here for the rankings source. Thank you, by the way, for trusting us to help you to do that. I was surprised to see depth charts, didn’t think most folks were in leagues that were deep enough for those to matter. Glad to see that there wasn’t an over-reliance in draft day software.

 

For a few years now, I’ve been writing about the First Round, explaining that you have roughly a 1/3 shot of your first round selection producing a first round season. I’m not surprised the answer was Trout, but it is surprising that the duo got 94 percent of the vote. 

 

This call is certainly a 2-team race as deGrom and Sale soak up 85 percent of the vote. Again, I’m struck by the fact that everyone is so sure that it’s obvious that the top-3 are separate from the rest of their comrades. With nearly 2,000 votes, seeing just seven percent in the “other” category was a bit surprising to me. 

The results were a resounding agree. Interestingly, there were a whole bunch of really surprised folks who were vociferous in their disapproval of the position that Arenado was a better player. Given the overall game of both, including the other half of the game (defense), I’m just not sure how anyone could disagree with the statement that Arenado is a better player (he has won six Gold Gloves in six years while Harper’s defense went in the tank last year). 

Recency bias? Age bias? Health bias? It was pretty close indeed, but it sure seems like recency bias played a significant part in the results. 


From February 1st until the date of this article, Robles has moved past Jimenez in the NFBC ADP by about 13 spots. From a fantasy perspective, it seems much easier to me to build a case that Robles will provide more value this season, because of his playing time outlook, his overall approach and his speed. 

Glasnow has the biggest arm. Check. He also has the largest potential variance. I’m not surprised at the results which were pretty darn close for the top-3. It’s pretty rare you would list four options and see all four get to 20 percent, and we almost got there here. 

In each of the last four seasons, Machado has hit at least 33 homers. In 3-of-4 seasons he’s hit at least 35. He’s also averaged 36 homers a season in those four years. Park Factors in 2018 show Baltimore to be 9th with a 1.12 mark in the homer category while Petco was 16th at 0.98. When taking things to the next level, righties in the homer category, Baltimore was 106 and 97 in San Diego. The park in San Diego plays at a lower level than Baltimore, but its not like it’s the pitchers haven people think it is. 

I’m shocked at this answer. Hamilton is the 43rd outfielder coming off the board in the NFBC at 162.3 overall since February 1st. With the dearth of steals available, I’m really surprised that folks view the speedster this way. Awful last season, Hamilton was still tied for 5th in baseball in steals with 34. Toss in the fact that his APD is literally more than 100 spots lower this season than last (54.5), and I’m just really surprised.