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2017 Free Agents: Quarterbacks
2017 Free Agents: Quarterbacks
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 25, 2017 03:09 PM EDT
Note: Free agency and salary data is from overthecap.com. Note: The text below is from our February 2017 Free Agency Preview and remains unchanged from the initial publishing. However, we do remove players from these previews as they sign with teams to give readers a look at all the current free ag...
2017 Free Agents: Running Backs
2017 Free Agents: Running Backs
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 25, 2017 03:08 PM EDT
Note: Free agency and salary data is from overthecap.com. Note: The text below is from our February 2017 Free Agency Preview and remains unchanged from the initial publishing. However, we do remove players from these previews as they sign with teams to give readers a look at all the current free ag...
2016 Offensive Identities Summary: Part 1
2016 Offensive Identities Summary: Part 1
PUBLISHED: Thursday, April 20, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
"It's still wise to understand a team's identity" - John Hansen, "2005's Lessons Learned" It's been a long time since John wrote that and started me taking a statistical look at the offensive identities of each year's teams, to see what they would tell me about the coming year. This has gone from ju...
Davante Adams and Mike McCarthy WRs
Davante Adams and Mike McCarthy WRs
PUBLISHED: Friday, April 14, 2017 11:10 AM EDT
Since Mike McCarthy became head coach, the Packers have drafted six wideouts in what used to be called the first day of the draft - Rounds 1 through 3, (counting Ty Montgomery, even though he seems to have converted to running back). Those players have totaled 6415 fantasy points (FP) in point-per-r...
Yards Created: 2017 Class Breakdown
Yards Created: 2017 Class Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 11, 2017 03:10 PM EDT
If you have read Yards Created for the last year now, you know what the deal is. It's April. It's almost (real) draft time. And it's time to digest a fantastic running back class with a ton of data. However, if you are a new Yards Created reader - welcome! Please head here for a full overview of my ...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Quarterbacks
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Quarterbacks
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 11, 2017 12:01 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Brock Osweiler (traded to Cle from Hou) - Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, the Texans are trading Brock Osweiler and their 2018 2nd round pick to Cleveland. Fantasy Analysis: Wow. Essentially, Cleveland is making a trade we usually see in the NBA. They're absorbing Brock Oswe...
2016's Distance Scoring Analysis
2016's Distance Scoring Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, April 10, 2017 11:32 AM EDT
Whether your league awards bonuses for distance scoring or not, it's definitely worth noting which players score longer TDs. The NFL is all about making plays, and longer plays (of course) mean more points. On the flip side, some players who scored a lot of longer TDs could be due for a serious TD r...
Brandon Marshall and WR2s
Brandon Marshall and WR2s
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, April 5, 2017 11:59 AM EDT
I'm at the beach so I'll keep this short and let the pictures do most of the talking. Assuming Brandon Marshall is the #2 WR on the Giants (measured by fantasy points per game, PPR), what is his fantasy value in a 12-team league?                                           About a third of all NFL te...
Quarterbacks and Home-Field Advantage
Quarterbacks and Home-Field Advantage
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 31, 2017 11:08 AM EDT
Recently, I had a message board exchange with long-time subscriber and frequent poster, Dallas Sharks. He pointed out that Drew Brees and the Saints often have troubles on the road. I responded with some numbers on Brees' home and away stats and that I suspect all QBs have some home-field advantage ...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Offensive Line
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Offensive Line
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 27, 2017 11:37 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Russell Okung (SD from Den) - The Chargers signed Okung to a four-year, $53 million deal, with $25 million guaranteed, according to ESPN's Josina Anderson. Fantasy Analysis: Okung, who represents himself, did a good job of getting himself a fat deal with $25 million gu...
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 27, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
Even if your league doesn't award bonuses for the 300-yard or 100-yard thresholds, the following article, which breaks down all the key skill players and accounts for how often they hit these marks in 2016, is a valuable one. It doesn't merely speak to a player's talent and ability to put up big yar...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Wide Receivers
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Wide Receivers
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 24, 2017 02:13 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Brandin Cooks (acquired by NE from NO) - Weeks of trade rumors culminated in a blockbuster deal, as the Patriots sent their 1st and 3rd-round picks in 2017 to the Saints for Cooks and a 4th, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Fantasy Analysis: Wow. Whenever a young sta...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 24, 2017 10:45 AM EDT
Previously, I wrote about the chances of a running back bouncing back from a workload drop to have a productive fantasy year. I want to use that study to analyze those RBs who saw a big usage decline in 2016 and their prospects in 2017. But first, one thing I didn't cover in the initial article was ...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Tight Ends
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Tight Ends
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 23, 2017 03:13 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Martellus Bennett (GB from NE) - The Packers and Bennett agreed to a three-year, $20.25 million contract, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Fantasy Analysis: The Packers are notoriously stingy in free agency, but they made a rare exception to open up the purse s...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Backs
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Backs
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 23, 2017 10:56 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: A.J. Bouye (CB, signed by Jac from Hou) - Per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, Bouye moves to Jacksonville, forming one of the best CB duos in the league with Jalen Ramsey.  Fantasy Analysis: Bouye held quite the coming out party last season, as a true "shutdown corner." Th...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Linebackers
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Linebackers
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 23, 2017 10:55 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Jelani Jenkins (LB, signed by Oak from Mia) - Jenkins switches coasts as a possible replacement for Malcolm Smith. Fantasy Analysis: Back in 2014, Jenkins was a speedy LB2/LB3, putting up 108 tackles and averaging 7.1 FPG. Since then, he's battled injuries and the inco...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Kickers/Punters
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Kickers/Punters
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, March 21, 2017 01:05 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Steven Hauschka (signed by Buf from Sea) - Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, the Bills are signing the former Seahawk Haushcka to a four-year deal worth $12M. Fantasy Analysis: Kicker news! After Buffalo let Dan Carpenter walk, the Bills' elected to make Hauschka the sixth-ric...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 11:21 AM EDT
In 2014, Adrian Peterson had 23 touches (carries and catches) after handling the ball 308 times the year before. He came back in 2015 to rank 2nd in points per reception formats. In 2014-2015, DeMarco Murray went from 449 touches to 237. He ended 2016 as the #6 RB for fantasy. These two RBs went fro...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Line
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Line
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 10:56 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Connor Barwin (DE/OLB, signed by LAR from Phi) - The veteran pass rusher moves to the West Coast to play for Wade Phillips on a one-year contract, per ESPN's Adam Caplan. Fantasy Analysis: The good news: Barwin will get to play for Phillips, who culled a ton of product...
Quarterback Career Years in 2017?
Quarterback Career Years in 2017?
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 16, 2017 11:44 AM EDT
Last week I wrote about the Top 12 QBs in 2016 and whether or not they'd just had their career year. I also published three tables comparing the historical performance of QBs coming off career years in the following season compared to similar QBs (in age, fantasy rank, and rushing performance) did a...
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, March 15, 2017 07:04 PM EDT
After a long NFL regular season, it is officially time to switch gears and focus on the upcoming NFL Draft. With the offseason on the horizon, I am embarking on a lengthy, fun, and significant process called Yards Created. If you’re new or need a refresher on what Yards Created is all about, I’d hi...
Terrelle Pryor's Floor & Ceiling in Washington
Terrelle Pryor's Floor & Ceiling in Washington
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 13, 2017 09:20 PM EDT
As far as historical standards go, Terrelle Pryor is a complete outlier. At 27-years-old, Pryor played his first full pro season as a wide receiver after playing quarterback for his entire career. It's safe to say it worked out. Pryor posted a 77/1007/4 season essentially as a 27-year-old rookie wid...
Brandin Cooks' Arrival/Departure Impact
Brandin Cooks' Arrival/Departure Impact
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 13, 2017 01:32 PM EDT
At this point, words truly don't do Bill Belichick's mastery and aggressiveness as general manager justice. Just six weeks removed from winning the Super Bowl in an epic comeback fashion, Belichick elected to pull a blockbuster trade that wasn't entirely unexpected, but still impressive. After a few...
Martellus Bennett Makes Perfect Sense with the Pack
Martellus Bennett Makes Perfect Sense with the Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, March 11, 2017 10:18 PM EST
After becoming an unsung hero in the Packers' 2016 playoff run, it was certainly a little bizarre that Green Bay was not keen on bringing Jared Cook back in 2017. It all makes sense now. Packers' GM Ted Thompson rose from his annual free agency slumber and inked veteran Martellus Bennett to a deal w...
Alshon Jeffery and the Rebuilt Eagle Offense
Alshon Jeffery and the Rebuilt Eagle Offense
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 10, 2017 08:48 PM EST
In 2016, the Eagles' fielded one of the most haphazard and misguided receiving corps in the entire NFL. That will change in 2017. On the "opening" day of free agency, the Eagles signed two new wideouts to the team: Alshon Jeffery (one-year, $14M deal) and Torrey Smith (three-year deal, worth up to $...