Week 5 Kicker Recommendations

Kickers averaged 7.6 FP, a little below 2015's average. The system had an excellent week. For the second straight week, the average FP lined up exactly as I'd like to see, from "Sits" scoring the lowest to "Starts" scoring the highest. And W-L percentage also cooperated: "Sits" and "Starts" were correct two-thirds or more of the time (my goal), "Marginal Starts" were pretty good, and "Neutrals" were around a 50-50 proposition:

As a reminder, the table shows the Average FP of the kickers in each category. A “Win” is if the recommendation is right, relative to scoring 7 FP. For example, three kickers who rated as “Start” last week scored over 7 FP, so there were three “wins.” One “Start” scored under 7 FP, so that was a “loss”, and two equaled 7 FP, which are “ties.” Remember, a “Sit” kicker who gets less than 7 FP is a “win” for the system (three of those last week) and over 7 FP is a “loss” (one of those); a tie is a 7 FP day (none).

The algorithm's record on the year is getting better but its poor Week 2 is still weighing on the season's results:


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Mike Horn
Statistical Analyst

Mike, our resident stat head, has been playing fantasy football for over 15 years and high-stakes leagues for over a decade.  He joined the Fantasy Guru staff in 2005.