It’s a Super Bowl Special Edition Stat-Pack! With just 2 teams to examine, I’ll focus on both sides of the ball for each team.

 

Game note: At 59 points, Falcons-Patriots is the largest over/under for the Super Bowl ever, eclipsing Colts-Saints in 2009 (56.5).

Falcons Offense

  • Since ATL lost to KC in Week 13, Matt Ryan has averaged 310.2 YPG, has an 18:0 TD-to-INT ratio, and has thrown for 9.54 YPA. Ryan led the league in YPA for the full year by a mile (9.3).
  • In that span since the loss to KC, Atlanta is averaging 39 points per game.
  • Falcons have eclipsed 40 points in three of their last six games.
  • For perspective, the 2013 Broncos averaged 37.9 PPG while the undefeated 2007 Patriots averaged 36.8 PPG.
  • This is way back in 2013, but Belichick did not use a single ISO corner to shadow Julio. He went for 6/108 on 13 targets that day.
  • Devonta Freeman has caught 4+ passes in five-straight while Coleman has at least 3 catches in four-straight.
  • In the regular season, the Patriots allowed the second-most receptions per game to enemy RBs and nearly 60% of their PPR fantasy points allowed to RBs came via the passing game, by far the highest dependency in the league.

Falcons Defense

  • Vic Beasley has 12 QB hurries in his last five games.
  • The Falcons’ corners are struggling. RCB Jalen Collins has allowed a touchdown in three of his last four games.
  • LCB Robert Alford has allowed 5/81/1 and 5/51/1 in coverage in the Falcons two playoff games.
  • Slot corner Brian Poole has allowed 8.95 yards per coverage target in his last five games, well above league average of about 7.6 YPT.
  • The Falcons’ run defense is really struggling, too. Over last five weeks Atlanta has allowed 558 yards on 104 carries (5.37 YPC) to SF, GB, CAR, NO, and SEA.

Patriots Offense

  • Per Rich Hribar of Rotoworld, since Tom Brady returned from suspension, the Pats’ have scored on 49% of their offensive possessions – second only to ATL in that category (57%).
  • The Patriots only trailed on 17% of their snaps this year, the best rate in the league. The Falcons trailed on 28% of snaps, second-best.
  • Patriots RB snaps over the past five weeks: Lewis (132), Blount (131), White (104)
  • Patriots RB touches in that span: Blount (76), Lewis (73), White (21)
  • Atlanta allowed the most receptions (6.7) and yards per game (55) to enemy running backs in the 2016 regular season.
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