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Articles: Stat Info & Analysis

Week 5 Stat-Pack
Week 5 Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Friday, October 14, 2016 08:02 PM EDT
In the weekly “Stat Pack”, I will go team-by-team and breakdown three key statistics that helps explain the week that was. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but instead to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Here is the Week 5 Stat Pack. Enjoy...
Monday Night Wrap-Up: Week 5
Monday Night Wrap-Up: Week 5
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, October 11, 2016 03:56 PM EDT
The Stock Watch UP Doug Martin (RB, TB) – Yes, we’re upgrading a player who didn’t even play in the MNF slopfest. Martin has missed each of the last three games with a hamstring injury, but the Bucs have a Week 6 bye, and we’re anticipating he returns after that. And with Charles Sims on IR, Marti...
Who to Flex?
Who to Flex?
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 8, 2016 10:12 PM EDT
When trying to decide who to play as your flex, there are two basic factors to consider: the candidate player's ability and his matchup. Late last season, I did a series of articles on who to start at RB, WR, and TE that looked at quantifying those factors. You might want to look over those articles...
Week 4 Snap Report
Week 4 Snap Report
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 8, 2016 10:01 PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals RB David Johnson has played more than 95% of the snaps in two of Arizona’s four games. He’s on the field in all game situations and now with Chris Johnson injured there is less depth behind him. He’s played more snaps than any RB in the league so far. RB Andre Ellington hasn’t pl...
Week 5 Production Tracker
Week 5 Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 8, 2016 09:12 PM EDT
It is time to review Week 4’s defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a ...
Week 5 Kicker Recommendations
Week 5 Kicker Recommendations
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 8, 2016 09:07 PM EDT
Kickers averaged 7.6 FP, a little below 2015's average. The system had an excellent week. For the second straight week, the average FP lined up exactly as I'd like to see, from "Sits" scoring the lowest to "Starts" scoring the highest. And W-L percentage also cooperated: "Sits" and "Starts" were cor...
Week 4 Stat-Pack
Week 4 Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 8, 2016 08:42 PM EDT
In the weekly “Stat Pack”, I will go team-by-team and breakdown three key statistics that helps explain the week that was. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but instead to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Here is the Week 4 Stat Pack:   ...
Inside the Boxscore: Week 4
Inside the Boxscore: Week 4
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 8, 2016 08:25 PM EDT
Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals Final Score: MIA - 7 | CIN - 22 Targets/Carries/Red-Zone Info: Miami Dolphins WR Jarvis Landry had 10 targets and 7 receptions for 61 yards. His long was 24 yards. Yds/Tgt: 6.1, Catch Rate: 70%. WR DeVante Parker had 3 targets and 2 receptions for 20 yards. ...
Field Position Matters
Field Position Matters
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 1, 2016 05:04 PM EDT
I think if you search the archives, you can find previous articles that I've written about how important it is where a player's opportunities occur. But as statistical analysis tools proliferate on the Internet, particularly PFR's Play Index and RotoViz's Screener App, I feel like I need to dig deep...
Week 3 Snap Report
Week 3 Snap Report
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 1, 2016 11:00 AM EDT
Arizona Cardinals RB David Johnson has played more than 95% of the snaps in two of Arizona’s three games. He’s on the field in all game situations except when they are way ahead and they want to run out the clock with Chris Johnson. He’s played more snaps than any RB in the league so far. RB Andre...
Week 4 Production Tracker
Week 4 Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 1, 2016 10:39 AM EDT
It is time to review Week 3’s defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a ...
Week 3 Stat-Pack
Week 3 Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 1, 2016 10:06 AM EDT
In the weekly “Stat Pack”, I will go team-by-team and breakdown three key statistics that helps explain the week that was. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but instead to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Here is the Week 3 Stat Pack. It’s ...
Inside the Boxscore: Week 3
Inside the Boxscore: Week 3
PUBLISHED: Saturday, October 1, 2016 09:15 AM EDT
Houston Texans at New England Patriots Final Score: HOU - 0 | NE - 27 Targets/Carries/Red-Zone Info: Houston Texans TE Ryan Griffin had 10 targets and 8 receptions for 52 yards. He also had 1 deep ball. Yds/Tgt: 5.2, Catch Rate: 80%. WR DeAndre Hopkins had 8 targets and 4 receptions for 56 yard...
2016 New Offensive ID: Lynn/Bills
2016 New Offensive ID: Lynn/Bills
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, September 28, 2016 04:10 PM EDT
It didn't take long for the first coach to get fired. In what may have been a pre-emptive strike, Rex Ryan fired his offensive coordinator Greg Roman after only the 2nd game of the year. While the Bills offense has been bad, ranking just 30th in total yards, the timing was a bit odd. Most of the ugl...
Week 2 Production Tracker
Week 2 Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Thursday, September 22, 2016 11:34 PM EDT
The season is still anew, but it is time to review Week 2’s defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allo...
Inside the Boxscore: Week 2
Inside the Boxscore: Week 2
PUBLISHED: Thursday, September 22, 2016 11:03 PM EDT
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Final Score: NYJ - 37 | BUF - 31 Targets/Carries/Red-Zone Info: New York Jets WR Brandon Marshall had 9 targets and 6 receptions for 101 yards. He also had 4 deep balls. His long was 37 yards. Yds/Tgt: 11.2, Catch Rate: 66.7%. WR Eric Decker had 8 targets and 6 re...
Monday Night Wrap-Up: Week 2
Monday Night Wrap-Up: Week 2
PUBLISHED: Thursday, September 22, 2016 10:39 PM EDT
The Stock Watch Upgrades Jordan Matthews (WR, Phi) – Matthews’ big night in Chicago – 6 catches for 71 yards on 9 targets – could have been much bigger if he hauled in a near-perfect throw from Carson Wentz at the end of the first half, which would have resulted in a long TD and made Wentz’s impre...
Week 2 Snap Report
Week 2 Snap Report
PUBLISHED: Thursday, September 22, 2016 10:31 PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals RB David Johnson played 41 of 66 snaps (62%) in Week 2 after logging 95% of the snaps in Week 1. The Cardinals are smart to lighten his load a little bit and we’re likely to see his snap counts decrease in when the Cardinals are way ahead. RB Andre Ellington played only 6 of 66 s...
Week 2 Stat-Pack
Week 2 Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Thursday, September 22, 2016 10:10 PM EDT
In the weekly “Stat Pack”, I will go team-by-team and breakdown three key statistics that helps explain the week that was. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but instead to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious.   Here is the Week 2 Stat Pack:  ...
2016 Offensive Identity Summaries
2016 Offensive Identity Summaries
PUBLISHED: Sunday, September 18, 2016 12:03 PM EDT
The following are team summaries from Staff Writer Mike Horn's 2016 Offensive ID Series. There is also a PDF version of it found here. Arizona Cardinals Overall the numbers of plays is neutral for fantasy. Fantasy opportunity is only about average for the passing game, and a little below average ...
Week 1 Box Score
Week 1 Box Score
PUBLISHED: Sunday, September 18, 2016 10:56 AM EDT
Carolina Panthers at Denver Broncos Final Score: CAR - 20 | DEN - 21 Targets/Carries/Red-Zone Info: Carolina Panthers WR Kelvin Benjamin had 12 targets and 6 receptions for 91 yards, and 1 TD. He also had 1 deep ball. He had 1 red zone target. His long was 17 yards. Yds/Tgt: 7.6, Catch Rate: 50%...
Week 2 Kicker Recommendations
Week 2 Kicker Recommendations
PUBLISHED: Saturday, September 17, 2016 11:38 AM EDT
The kicker recommendations are back for 2016. When I first started doing this in 2007, my research concluded that it is impossible to predict kicker fantasy scoring precisely, but it is possible to identify a number of kickers who will perform above or below average most of the time. My objective h...
Numbers Theory: Chargers Offense Without Keenan Allen
Numbers Theory: Chargers Offense Without Keenan Allen
PUBLISHED: Saturday, September 17, 2016 11:21 AM EDT
Once 2016 is said and done, Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen will have played just seven full games in two seasons. Last year, a lacerated kidney on a freak play in the back of the end zone ended his season. This year, more randomness derailed Allen’s season. A non-contact ACL-tear suffered in th...
Week 1 Production Tracker
Week 1 Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Saturday, September 17, 2016 10:36 AM EDT
The season is still anew, but it is time to review Week 1’s defensive points allowed data. You may notice that this column is different from year’s past. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access...
As if it Never Happened: Dez Bryant
As if it Never Happened: Dez Bryant
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, August 23, 2016 04:41 PM EDT
In 2015, Dez Bryant suffered from injury to himself and to his QB, posted 9.9 fantasy points per game (FP/G) in point-per-reception (PPR) formats, and was the #52 WR overall in that fantasy system. He was age 27, which is about when WRs peak in performance. Needless to say, he was a big disappointme...