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Articles: Stat Info & Analysis

2016 Offensive Identities Summary: Part 1
2016 Offensive Identities Summary: Part 1
PUBLISHED: Thursday, April 20, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
"It's still wise to understand a team's identity" - John Hansen, "2005's Lessons Learned" It's been a long time since John wrote that and started me taking a statistical look at the offensive identities of each year's teams, to see what they would tell me about the coming year. This has gone from ju...
Davante Adams and Mike McCarthy WRs
Davante Adams and Mike McCarthy WRs
PUBLISHED: Friday, April 14, 2017 11:10 AM EDT
Since Mike McCarthy became head coach, the Packers have drafted six wideouts in what used to be called the first day of the draft - Rounds 1 through 3, (counting Ty Montgomery, even though he seems to have converted to running back). Those players have totaled 6415 fantasy points (FP) in point-per-r...
Yards Created: 2017 Class Breakdown
Yards Created: 2017 Class Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 11, 2017 03:10 PM EDT
If you have read Yards Created for the last year now, you know what the deal is. It's April. It's almost (real) draft time. And it's time to digest a fantastic running back class with a ton of data. However, if you are a new Yards Created reader - welcome! Please head here for a full overview of my ...
2016's Distance Scoring Analysis
2016's Distance Scoring Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, April 10, 2017 11:32 AM EDT
Whether your league awards bonuses for distance scoring or not, it's definitely worth noting which players score longer TDs. The NFL is all about making plays, and longer plays (of course) mean more points. On the flip side, some players who scored a lot of longer TDs could be due for a serious TD r...
Brandon Marshall and WR2s
Brandon Marshall and WR2s
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, April 5, 2017 11:59 AM EDT
I'm at the beach so I'll keep this short and let the pictures do most of the talking. Assuming Brandon Marshall is the #2 WR on the Giants (measured by fantasy points per game, PPR), what is his fantasy value in a 12-team league?                                           About a third of all NFL te...
Quarterbacks and Home-Field Advantage
Quarterbacks and Home-Field Advantage
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 31, 2017 11:08 AM EDT
Recently, I had a message board exchange with long-time subscriber and frequent poster, Dallas Sharks. He pointed out that Drew Brees and the Saints often have troubles on the road. I responded with some numbers on Brees' home and away stats and that I suspect all QBs have some home-field advantage ...
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 27, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
Even if your league doesn't award bonuses for the 300-yard or 100-yard thresholds, the following article, which breaks down all the key skill players and accounts for how often they hit these marks in 2016, is a valuable one. It doesn't merely speak to a player's talent and ability to put up big yar...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 24, 2017 10:45 AM EDT
Previously, I wrote about the chances of a running back bouncing back from a workload drop to have a productive fantasy year. I want to use that study to analyze those RBs who saw a big usage decline in 2016 and their prospects in 2017. But first, one thing I didn't cover in the initial article was ...
Yards Created: Fournette's 2015 and 2016
Yards Created: Fournette's 2015 and 2016
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 01:35 PM EDT
A lot can happen in a year. That's especially true in football. Injuries, scheme/personnel changes, and general talent degradation all work in ways to change year-over-year player performance. After struggling through an ankle injury for all of 2016, Leonard Fournette missed six games and averaged 2...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 11:21 AM EDT
In 2014, Adrian Peterson had 23 touches (carries and catches) after handling the ball 308 times the year before. He came back in 2015 to rank 2nd in points per reception formats. In 2014-2015, DeMarco Murray went from 449 touches to 237. He ended 2016 as the #6 RB for fantasy. These two RBs went fro...
Quarterback Career Years in 2017?
Quarterback Career Years in 2017?
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 16, 2017 11:44 AM EDT
Last week I wrote about the Top 12 QBs in 2016 and whether or not they'd just had their career year. I also published three tables comparing the historical performance of QBs coming off career years in the following season compared to similar QBs (in age, fantasy rank, and rushing performance) did a...
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, March 15, 2017 07:04 PM EDT
After a long NFL regular season, it is officially time to switch gears and focus on the upcoming NFL Draft. With the offseason on the horizon, I am embarking on a lengthy, fun, and significant process called Yards Created. If you’re new or need a refresher on what Yards Created is all about, I’d hi...
Terrelle Pryor's Floor & Ceiling in Washington
Terrelle Pryor's Floor & Ceiling in Washington
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 13, 2017 09:20 PM EDT
As far as historical standards go, Terrelle Pryor is a complete outlier. At 27-years-old, Pryor played his first full pro season as a wide receiver after playing quarterback for his entire career. It's safe to say it worked out. Pryor posted a 77/1007/4 season essentially as a 27-year-old rookie wid...
Brandin Cooks' Arrival/Departure Impact
Brandin Cooks' Arrival/Departure Impact
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 13, 2017 01:32 PM EDT
At this point, words truly don't do Bill Belichick's mastery and aggressiveness as general manager justice. Just six weeks removed from winning the Super Bowl in an epic comeback fashion, Belichick elected to pull a blockbuster trade that wasn't entirely unexpected, but still impressive. After a few...
Martellus Bennett Makes Perfect Sense with the Pack
Martellus Bennett Makes Perfect Sense with the Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, March 11, 2017 10:18 PM EST
After becoming an unsung hero in the Packers' 2016 playoff run, it was certainly a little bizarre that Green Bay was not keen on bringing Jared Cook back in 2017. It all makes sense now. Packers' GM Ted Thompson rose from his annual free agency slumber and inked veteran Martellus Bennett to a deal w...
Alshon Jeffery and the Rebuilt Eagle Offense
Alshon Jeffery and the Rebuilt Eagle Offense
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 10, 2017 08:48 PM EST
In 2016, the Eagles' fielded one of the most haphazard and misguided receiving corps in the entire NFL. That will change in 2017. On the "opening" day of free agency, the Eagles signed two new wideouts to the team: Alshon Jeffery (one-year, $14M deal) and Torrey Smith (three-year deal, worth up to $...
DeSean Jackson and Buccaneer Targets
DeSean Jackson and Buccaneer Targets
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 10, 2017 08:46 PM EST
Of all the moves to take place during this year's free agency period, no move better encapsulates a team knowing what they need than DeSean Jackson moving to Tampa Bay. As one of the most aggressive passers in the league, Jameis Winston will absolutely love throwing to Jackson. Per NFL Fantasy's Mat...
Which QBs Had Career Years in 2016?
Which QBs Had Career Years in 2016?
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 9, 2017 11:04 AM EST
That's usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It's generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They're almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
Brandon Marshall to NYG Analysis
Brandon Marshall to NYG Analysis
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, March 8, 2017 11:31 AM EST
At nearly 33-years-old and coming off a low-flying year with the Jets, Brandon Marshall did not want to leave the Big Apple. He's getting his wish. The Giants' inked the veteran to a two-year, $12M dollar deal per various media reports. From a scheme standpoint, this is a really strong fit. New York...
Yards Created: Dalvin Cook
Yards Created: Dalvin Cook
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 6, 2017 02:29 PM EST
Ideally, the NFL Combine should answer questions--not create them. At running back specifically, we should make special note of weight-adjusted 40-yard dash times and the three-cone agility drill. As you would expect, being fast and relatively agile is important for NFL success. That's not necessari...
Identifying a Quarterback's Career Year
Identifying a Quarterback's Career Year
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 3, 2017 01:08 PM EST
That's usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It's generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They're almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
Yards Created: Kareem Hunt
Yards Created: Kareem Hunt
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 28, 2017 03:13 PM EST
No matter the competition level, dominant players always turn heads. Kareem Hunt is no different. After missing two games due to a suspension and pulling a hamstring that strained his abilities in 2015, Hunt elected to return to college for one more year in 2016. It paid off. Hunt ripped the Mid-Ame...
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 21, 2017 11:06 AM EST
After two injury laden and disappointing years in Jacksonville with the always-enigmatic Blake Bortles, Julius Thomas is headed down Florida’s coast to South Beach. Per various media reports, Jacksonville traded Thomas for Miami’s 2017 seventh round pick. Oddly, after rumors swirled the two teams w...
Quarterback Career Length
Quarterback Career Length
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 16, 2017 01:18 PM EST
Every so often, when working on a study, some other topic piques my interest. While working on QB Career Years, I got to wondering how long the careers of running QBs are vs. traditional dropback quarterbacks. So this is a quick look at that question. The first thing is to define terms and scope th...
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 15, 2017 09:41 AM EST
If you’re like me, you played a ton of video games all throughout your childhood. Sounds fun, right? I’m not a total dork—I promise. Seriously though, some of my best memories as a kid involve a game called Backyard Football on those old, clunky PC’s where the hard drive tower alone weighed in exce...

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