NFL

 Stat Info & Analysis 

Click HERE for the Week 16 Box Scores! ...
Last week I did an analysis of running back attrition in 2018.  This week I'll play the same methods to WRs.  If you read last week's article, skim down to the chart.  The next few paragraphs explain ...
Football is often compared to war.  Personally, I think that's overdone, but the constant toll on bodies on the NFL is somewhat analogous to a war of attrition.  As the season winds down, I want to lo...
A couple of years back, I did an analysis of what available-on-waivers TEs you should grab if your regular TE got hurt heading into Weeks 14-16. I defined "available" as TEs ranked outside the Top 15 ...
As often happens at this time of year, I start thinking about picking a defense for the fantasy playoffs.  This article is an update of one that I wrote two years ago, but with two more years of data....
As often happens at this time of year, I start thinking about picking a defense for the fantasy playoffs.  This article is an update of one that I wrote two years ago, but with two more years of data....
We're down to the point in the season that fantasy owners are either scrambling for a playoff spot or making playoff preparations (okay, some are done for the year, but I'll ignore that).  More than e...
One of the great questions of fantasy football is how much of a player's scoring is his performance and how much is due to his strength (or weakness) of schedule.  Today I'm going to present graphics ...
If you're interested in this article, first please read my take on the offensive identities (Part 1, Part 2, and Part 3) of all the teams in 2017.  That will explain some of the stats in this article,...
  In the article I wrote last week, Who Do Rookies Target?, I put this table in the endnotes: The FP value of a generic target by position[1]:           What this says is that a typical RB scores 1.4...
  We now seem to have four rookie QBs taking over after being highly-drafted.  Does this make a difference on which positions get targeted? I limited my study to rookie QBs with 150+ pass attempts (ro...
Welcome to my weekly overview of offensive snaps and skill player usage. The goal of this piece will be to use snap counts to help us spot anomalies and identify offensive player usage trends. This sh...
  Two games is a small sample.  Trying to make predictions based off the stats from a small sample is pointless.  So I'm going to write a pointless article, or at least prove that it's pointless when ...
Adrian Peterson and Aging Backs Wearing Down I've avoided drafting Adrian Peterson since he signed with Washington.  He didn't play well last year and of course I'm worried about his age.  He did have...
If you read my identity article on Randy Fichtner and the Steelers, you will have noticed I am concerned about JuJu Smith-Schuster's ability to repeat what he did in 2017:  namely, score on a lot of h...
Last week I addressed the home/away splits of Ben Roethlisberger.  It's well-known that he's a lot better at home than on the road, at least in recent years.  Since 2013, at home he averages 26 comple...
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If you've been reading much of the content on this site, you know Ben Roethlisberger is an excellent fantasy QB at home and a terrible one on the road.  For example, Tom Brolley and Graham Barfield ha...
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Last year, Tyreek Hill completed one of the greatest outlier seasons ever. Hill finished as fantasy football's WR9 (PPR), despite finishing tied with Marquise Goodwin for 22nd among receivers in targe...
The 2018 season is finally upon us! It was a long, brutal winter - but the NFL is barreling towards another new campaign. With an influx of fresh, talented young rookie QBs and plenty of free agent mo...

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