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QB Production After Career Years
QB Production After Career Years
PUBLISHED: Friday, February 10, 2017 11:50 AM EST
That’s usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It’s generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They’re almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 9, 2017 02:30 PM EST
So far this offseason, I've reviewed QB and RB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s WR fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). WR Scoring used: Rushing...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC South
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC South
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 8, 2017 03:54 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Atlanta Falcons (11-5; 1st in NFC South) Quarterbacks Matt Ryan – After one of the most impressive quarterback seasons in history, the Falcons’ season ended in utter and blatant despair. The world watched as the Falcons’ slowly bled away a 28...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC East
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC East
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 7, 2017 11:51 AM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Buffalo Bills (7-9; 3rd in AFC East) Quarterbacks Tyrod Taylor – Nothing is official yet, but reading through the tealeaves coming out of Buffalo at the end of the season, it sure feels like Taylor’s time in Buffalo is over. Taylor was actual...
2016's Lessons Learned
2016's Lessons Learned
PUBLISHED: Monday, February 6, 2017 05:42 PM EST
“This game’s over.” That was my tweet at 7:44 PM EST Super Bowl Sunday as the Falcons pulled out to a 21-0 lead. I’m not that naïve/stupid enough to truly believe the game was 100% over, but that was my way of saying the Pats were in big, big trouble. And when the Falcons scored another TD in the ...
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, February 4, 2017 09:40 PM EST
It’s a Super Bowl Special Edition Stat-Pack! With just 2 teams to examine, I’ll focus on both sides of the ball for each team.   Game note: At 59 points, Falcons-Patriots is the largest over/under for the Super Bowl ever, eclipsing Colts-Saints in 2009 (56.5). Falcons Offense Since ATL lost to K...
Super Bowl Player Previews
Super Bowl Player Previews
PUBLISHED: Friday, February 3, 2017 11:36 AM EST
  Quarterbacks 1. Tom Brady (NE vs. Atl, Sun. 6:30 p.m.) Last five weeks: 92/140 (65.7%), 1161 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INTs, 9/4/0 rushing, 25.6 FPG At 39-years-old, Brady is making his unprecedented seventh Super Bowl appearance this weekend. By every stretch of the imagination, Tom Brady has been abs...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC West
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC West
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 2, 2017 03:23 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Arizona Cardinals (7-8-1; 2nd in NFC West) Quarterbacks Carson Palmer – The Cardinals were expected to compete for a Super Bowl in 2016 – after all, they came within one game of representing the NFC in 2015. So there’s no doubt their 2016 sea...
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 2, 2017 12:54 PM EST
Last week, I reviewed QB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s RB fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). RB Scoring used: Rushing/Receiving TD = 6 Fant...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC West
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC West
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 1, 2017 03:17 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Denver Broncos (9-7; 3rd in AFC West) Quarterbacks Trevor Siemian – We always considered it strange that Siemian was actually drafted in 2015, considering he threw just 7 TD to 11 INT as a senior at Northwestern, and finished his college care...
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 1, 2017 01:48 PM EST
In working on my article on 2016 Strength of Schedule Adjusted RB Scores, I noticed something that took me back to a short piece I wrote in June last year. I'm going to update that article, which I've quoted in its entirety (in italics) below, and add a couple of more charts. We all know last year ...
Super Bowl Kick Returners Preview
Super Bowl Kick Returners Preview
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 31, 2017 04:40 PM EST
R Player  Tm  Pos Vs.  2016 TDs PR Yds PR TDs KR Yds KR TDs Comments  1 Eric Weems Atl WR NE 0 10 0 52 0 New England has not allowed more than 86 combined return yards in six straight games. 2 Dion Lewis NE RB Atl 1 0 ...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC North
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC North
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 31, 2017 01:22 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Chicago Bears (3-13; 4th in NFC North) Quarterbacks Jay Cutler – The Cutler Era in Chicago will likely unceremoniously end this off-season after a mostly polarizing eight years with the Bears. He sprained his thumb in Week 2 and missed five g...
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 27, 2017 10:19 AM EST
Every year, after the season ends, I look back at player performance (in fantasy points (FP)) adjusted by factoring in their strength of schedule (SoS). I want to strip out the effects of difficult or easy schedules in order to better predict player performance next season. I look at all the offensi...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC South
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC South
PUBLISHED: Thursday, January 26, 2017 02:37 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Houston Texans (9-7; 1st in AFC South) Quarterbacks Brock Osweiler – Where do we even begin? After an abysmal season in which Osweiler barely managed to look competent in even routine situations, Houston will likely look elsewhere at the quar...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC North
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC North
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 01:00 PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5; 1st in AFC North) Quarterbacks Ben Roethlisberger – It wasn’t too long ago that the Steelers had one of the best receiving corps in the league. Then WR Martavis Bryant was suspended for the season, TE Ladarius Green couldn’t get on the field consistently in 2016, and WR ...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC East
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC East
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 11:49 AM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Dallas Cowboys (13-3; 1st in NFC East) Quarterbacks Dak Prescott – No matter what way you slice it, Prescott had one of the best rookie seasons for a QB ever, and he was the eighth QB taken in the 2016 draft. Thrown into the starting lineup b...
Championship Round Kick Returners Preview
Championship Round Kick Returners Preview
PUBLISHED: Saturday, January 21, 2017 08:58 AM EST
R Player  Tm  Pos Vs.  2016 TDs PR Yds PR TDs KR Yds KR TDs Comments  1 Eric Weems Atl WR GB 0 13 0 59 0 Weems resumed the dual return role in the Divisional playoff round. 2 Dion Lewis NE RB Pit 1 0 0 48 0 ...
Championship Round Tight End Previews
Championship Round Tight End Previews
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 20, 2017 02:21 PM EST
1. Jared Cook (GB vs. Atl, Sun. 3:05 p.m.) Last five weeks: 24/329/1 receiving (41 targets), 12.6 FPG You know it is a rough week for tight ends when this is by far and away the best option. In fairness to him, Jared Cook has really turned his up-and-down play around with Green Bay. In fact, witho...
Championship Round Wide Receiver Previews
Championship Round Wide Receiver Previews
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 20, 2017 02:20 PM EST
1. Antonio Brown (Pit, at NE, Sun. 6:40 p.m.) Last five weeks: 24/386/3 receiving (36 targets), 20.2 FPG What’s Brown been up to this week? We’ll let his social media mishap alone since we see it having no bearing on how this game will actually play out this week. Brown posted 6/108 receiving on 1...
Championship Round Running Back Previews
Championship Round Running Back Previews
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 20, 2017 02:20 PM EST
1. Le’Veon Bell (Pit, at NE, Sun. 6:40 p.m.) Last five weeks: 102/552/3 rushing, 12/56/1 receiving (19 targets), 24.2 FPG If the Steelers are going to win the AFC championship, it’s going to be on the shoulders of Bell, who has been absolutely dominant thus far in the playoffs. Against the Chiefs ...
Championship Round Quarterback Previews
Championship Round Quarterback Previews
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 20, 2017 02:19 PM EST
1. Aaron Rodgers (GB vs. Atl, Sun. 3:05 p.m.) Last five weeks: 127/191 (66.5%), 1616 yards, 14 TDs, 1 INT, 19/90/1 rushing, 20.4 FPG Even though Rodgers is red-hot, the Packers’ receiving corps is a complete mess. Jordy Nelson (ribs) still is not practicing and is a “long shot” to play against the...
The Future of Kirk Cousins
The Future of Kirk Cousins
PUBLISHED: Thursday, January 19, 2017 10:36 AM EST
My local paper's lead sports columnist had a piece today on whether or not Washington should sign Kirk Cousins to a long-term contract. His argument was that the team should, and he argued that "it’s a lot more likely that he stays the same or gets better than he regresses." So I wondered if that wa...
Wednesday Injury Update
Wednesday Injury Update
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 18, 2017 06:07 PM EST
Falcon WR Julio Jones (toe) did not practice Wednesday, as expected. He’ll be good to go for this weekend. Falcon WR Taylor Gabriel (foot) was limited at Wednesday’s practice. Packer WR Davante Adams (ankle) didn’t practice Wednesday, according to ESPN, and HC Mike McCarthy said Adams may not prac...
Championship Round Production Tracker
Championship Round Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 18, 2017 04:23 PM EST
It is time to review the defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a heat ...