Identifying a Quarterback's Career Year

That’s usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It’s generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They’re almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusual happening, which usually means the opposite will occur in the near future.

-- 2016's Lessons Learned

Two weeks ago, I started looking into QB "career years". Then, I wrote about what happens to a QB's fantasy numbers the season after a career year. But of course that is only useful if we can actually identify a career year when it occurs. This week, I'm going to start to answer my second question from the previous article: how do we know what just happened WAS a career year?

The previous article had a detailed definition of what I mean by "career year." H...

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Mike Horn
Statistical Analyst

Mike, our resident stat head, has been playing fantasy football for over 15 years and high-stakes leagues for over a decade.  He joined the Fantasy Guru staff in 2005.