After a long and cold offseason, eventual Hall-of-Famer Adrian Peterson has a new home in New Orleans.
Per various media reports, the Saints have inked 32-year-old Peterson to a two-year deal worth $7M total ($3.5M/year). Mark Ingram is due $3.7M in 2017. For only comparison’s sake, new-Patriot Mike Gillislee just signed a two-year offer sheet worth $6.4M.
While the narrative, for some reason, still exists that Peterson “isn’t human” and can play through anything, the simple fact remains: Father Time is undefeated. All Day may still have a little juice in the tank, but he’ll have to overcome yet another knee injury (meniscus) and his career-worst season to-date in his new home in the South.
Peterson was stopped for fewer than two yards on 65% of his 37 carries in 2016, which is miles below his 2015 (46.1% of carries stopped for two or fewer yards) and 2013 (45.5%) rates. It may be a small sample of basically two games worth of carries, but there is no denying that Peterson—when healthy—was not his usual self in 2016.
However, Peterson’s new team does have a much rosier outlook in their trenches. In 2016, the Saints’ allowed the second-fewest percentage of team carries to be stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage while the Vikes’ gave up the seventh-most “stuffed” runs.
Still, fantasy football boils down to one key reoccurring theme: Opportunity. Let’s see where Peterson may stand with the Saints.
Slicing the Saints’ Pie
Over the past five years, the Saints’ backfield has been a bastion of fantasy excellence in a PPR light. In fact, as a team, New Orleans running backs have ranked 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, and 1st in PPR points among all NFL squads. That is absurd dominance and consistency for a volatile league.
In Peterson’s case, his slice of the pie may be a bit smaller. All Day has certainly delivered some epic seasons on the ground, but the main rub with his playing style is that he’s never been much of a receiver. That’s obviously a key tenant of not only being a PPR threat in today’s NFL, but it’s also a major part of the Saints’ offensive attack.
Over the past five years, Saints’ backs have ranked 1st, 4th, 1st, 1st, and 1st in cumulative team receptions at the position.
Adrian Peterson has never caught...