After a long and cold offseason, eventual Hall-of-Famer Adrian Peterson has a new home in New Orleans.
Per various media reports, the Saints have inked 32-year-old Peterson to a two-year deal worth $7M total ($3.5M/year). Mark Ingram is due $3.7M in 2017. For only comparison’s sake, new-Patriot Mike Gillislee just signed a two-year offer sheet worth $6.4M.
While the narrative, for some reason, still exists that Peterson “isn’t human” and can play through anything, the simple fact remains: Father Time is undefeated. All Day may still have a little juice in the tank, but he’ll have to overcome yet another knee injury (meniscus) and his career-worst season to-date in his new home in the South.
Peterson was stopped for fewer than two yards on 65% of his 37 carries in 2016, which is miles below his 2015 (46.1% of carries stopped for two or fewer yards) and 2013 (45.5%) rates. It may be a small sample of basically two games worth of carries, but there is no denying that Peterson—when healthy—was not his usual self in 2016.
However, Peterson’s new team does have a much rosier outlook in their trenches. In 2016, the Saints’ allowed the second-fewest percentage of team carries to be stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage while the Vikes’ gave up the seventh-most “stuffed” runs.
Still, fantasy football boils down to one key reoccurring theme: Opportunity. Let’s see where Peterson may stand with the Saints.
Slicing the Saints’ Pie
Over the past five years, the Saints’ backfield has been a bastion of fantasy excellence in a PPR light. In fact, as a team, New Orleans running backs have ranked 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, and 1st in PPR points among all NFL squads. That is absurd dominance and consistency for a volatile league.
In Peterson’s case, his slice of the pie may be a bit smaller. All Day has certainly delivered some epic seasons on the ground, but the main rub with his playing style is that he’s never been much of a receiver. That’s obviously a key tenant of not only being a PPR threat in today’s NFL, but it’s also a major part of the Saints’ offensive attack.
Over the past five years, Saints’ backs have ranked 1st
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