Almost as important as selecting the right players in fantasy is not selecting the wrong ones.

While acknowledging that basically every player in fantasy is worth drafting at a certain point, the major reason our Values and Players to Target list is far bigger than this one, each year with this article we simply try to use common sense. If a player has major durability, playing time, or supporting cast issues, he needs to be downgraded or even outright avoided.

Yet every year in fantasy drafts, we see owners making picks that are setting themselves up for failure. We’re trying to avoid failure each year in this article, which covers the top players we feel are being drafted too high or players whom we’re simply avoiding at any point. 

The way we see it, throwing caution to the wind and paying top dollar for a player with issues is placing an unhealthy reliance on luck. This game of fantasy football is hard enough as it is.

As always, this article will be updated throughout training camp and the preseason once more information comes out, and situations are made clearer (or murkier).

Since ADP (average draft position) is considered heavily in this article, players can move on or off the list as ADP changes throughout the summer, during which we will update the article regularly (in the past, guys we considered overvalued in June actually became appealing come August based on ADP). That, combined with news, team analysis, and stat analysis, forms the basis of this article.

For reference, “overvalued” players are players in whom we see the overall appeal, though their price appears a bit restrictive. “Avoid” players are players for whom we don’t like the situations at all and likely will not be drafting regardless of price.

 

This year, we are excited to announce that we are partnering with FantasyPros.com for ADP (average draft position) data. FantasyPros has long been the industry standard for this data, pooling from multiple sources and multiple drafts to create the most well rounded source of ADP. Soon, we will have an interactive ADP tool on the site using the data.
NoteFor simplicity’s sake, any reference to draft rounds in this article reflects a 12-team league, and reference to specific ADP selections refer to the player’s standing in a 12-team PPR league at the time of publication.

 

Quarterbacks

Overvalued

Carson Wentz (Phi, ADP 133, QB...