Note: The rookie player reports are organized by 2017 ranking, based on talent, opportunity, situation, and the latest news. Below all the reports, we have long-term dynasty rankings at each position.

1. Deshaun Watson, Hou

School: Clemson Ht: 6’2” Wt: 221 | 40: 4.66 Year: 3Jr

Drafted: 1st round, 12th overall

Scouting Report: There are going to be many varying opinions on this year’s QB class, as there are multiple interesting players who have different things to like about them, but in the eyes of certain beholders may also have fatal flaws. Upon studying these passers, we keep coming back to Watson as the most complete player in the class, and the one who is most likely to succeed in the NFL. At Clemson, Watson was a two-year full-time starter with moderate action as a freshman at Clemson before tearing his ACL. He recovered from surgery quickly, leading the Tigers to the National Championship with a stellar performance against Alabama in his final career game, the year after being the runners-up to the Tide. Watson threw for over 10,000 yards with 90 TDs and 32 INTs in his college career, and he added 1934 rushing yards with 26 TDs, though he isn’t exactly Marcus Mariota out there. Nonetheless, Watson has more than enough mobility, as his NFL Combine results show (mockdraftable.com has his best athletic comp as Donovan McNabb, which is fascinating). Watson also has a very good feel for playing from within the pocket, which is something other top prospects like DeShone Kizer and Patrick Mahomes really need to refine. Watson has the most advanced mental skillset of any passer in this class, and his experience in that area shows. Watson was very good at manipulating defenders with his eyes, and overall, his pocket mechanics were the strongest we saw from the top prospects in the class (aside from maybe Mitchell Trubisky). However, like most QBs coming from a shotgun-heavy offense, he can get lazy with mechanics despite a good feel for them, and he may have the weakest arm of the top prospects. That’s a bad combo that did lead to turnovers at Clemson, and will absolutely lead to them in the NFL. Watson also threw a lot of picks as a junior – 17 – many of them coming on forced throws or just plain bad decisions. And despite a strong overall Combine, reports about horrendous throw velocity showed up about a week later, though we never really found this to be an issue on tape. In all, Watson is an impressive person with an impressive resume, consistently stepping up in big games and showing excellent leadership qualities. Despite some concerns about his height and measured arm strength, he consistently made high-level throws in college. Watson would almost certainly be best in a shotgun-based passing offense surrounded by good weapons, but so would most quarterbacks coming out of college these days.

Fantasy Analysis: The Texans spent a ton of draft picks to simply get rid of Brock Osweiler, and then to trade up for Watson, who was our #1 pre-draft QB in this interesting class. Though Houston coach Bill O’Brien said immediately after drafting Watson that he still considers Tom Savage his starting QB, we’re not buying it. We thought Watson was the most pro-ready QB in this class, and we expect him to be Houston’s signal-caller Week 1. While Watson’s situation isn’t perfect – the offensive line is a little suspect – it’s way better than most rookie QBs get. He has a nice receiving corps with DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, Braxton Miller, and C.J. Fiedorowicz. His run game should be functional at a minimum, with Lamar Miller and intriguing rookie D’Onta Foreman. And Watson also has the advantage of his legs, which should provide added value (he’s not an elite mover, but can contribute much like a Dak Prescott type). Watson threw a lot of picks last year at Clemson – 17 – but we’re told a good number of those can be attributed to his receivers. Clemson does run a simplistic offense, which is a concern as Watson transitions to the NFL, but there’s no reason to assume the very smart Watson can’t handle the move. He’s just a calm, controlled guy, much like Prescott, and he can handle the tough love O’Brien will provide. Watson is the best bet in this class to start 16 games, which is why he’s our #1 post-draft rookie QB for 2017.

 

2. Mitchell Trubisky, Chi

School: North Carolina | Ht: 6’2” Wt: 222 | 40: 4.67 Year: 4Jr

Drafted: 1st round, 2nd overall

Scouting Report: In evaluating Trubisky, the question we kept coming back to was “how good can this guy be?” It’s a different answer than, say, DeShone Kizer or Patrick Mahomes would give to the question. Those two guys have outstanding physical traits that Trubisky simply lacks. Trubisky doesn’t have A good comparison for Trubisky would be Kirk Cousins, though Trubisky does have the edge in mobility and playmaking ability.Kizer’s size, nor does he have the arm strength of either player. In fact, he has a very similar athletic profile to DeShaun Watson, though we simply like Watson’s game better on film. Trubisky may have the highest floor of any QB in this draft outside of Watson, but his range of outcomes is capped. All in all, Trubisky is a decent thrower with good pocket feel, perhaps as good as any QB has in this class. When executing within the timing and rhythm of North Carolina’s offense, he looked comfortable and accurate, consistently making good decisions. In one year of starting for the Tar Heels (a big bone of contention for Trubisky critics), the QB completed 68% of his throws at 8.4 YPA, with 30 TD and just 6 INT. Most of the time, he was comfortable executing the offense. But when he wasn’t, that’s when the flaws started to show. When his early reads weren’t there, Trubisky’s mechanics tended to break down, as did his decision-making. In more ways than one, he reminded our guy Greg Cosell of Kirk Cousins, and the comparison fits – Trubisky tends to be an upper-body torque thrower, like Cousins, and gets worse when things aren’t as clearly defined early in the down, also like Cousins. An edge Trubisky has on Cousins is his excellent mobility and playmaking ability, as his workout metrics and 8 career rushing TDs indicates. But like Cousins and Alex Smith, Trubisky sometimes looks like he’s throwing a balloon on deeper throws, which is likely to always be an issue, though cleaning up his mechanics can help (he can lock his front leg). Trubisky was clearly impressive in his only year starting at North Carolina, but another question is how much more he’d be picked apart if he had more time as a starter (like Watson has been). In our view, Trubisky is a supporting-piece QB, the type who needs a good team around him, like Smith and Cousins, and his mobility can add a nice element to a run game (which is why it’s interesting the Chiefs have reportedly watched Trubisky work out). He has a good feel for the position, but there are some flaws that likely will keep him from becoming a truly high-level passer.

Fantasy Analysis: The Bears absolutely view Trubisky differently than we do, as they traded up to get him (giving up multiple picks to move up just one spot), and made him the first QB taken (he was our #3 QB pre-draft). Perhaps the Bears view the success Kirk Cousins has had as a good primer for Trubisky, in that he can be surrounded by talent and become more of a distributor. The Bears will still operate through the run game with Jordan Howard, and their offensive line is at the least decent. The question is the receiving corps – Cameron Meredith is promising, but otherwise there’s little proven talent here. Kendall Wright could catch a lot of balls, but Kevin White is an unknown, and Eddie Royal is always hurt. Second-round TE Adam Shaheen is a project. TE Zach Miller is often injured. And there are valid questions about his coaching support here. There are conflicting reports on if head coach John Fox was even aware of the desire to draft Trubisky, and we know that frequent coaching-staff changes can really stunt the growth of a young QB. But for just 2017, we think Trubisky has the second-best chance to start a full season among rookies (behind Deshaun Watson). The Bears did sign Mike Glennon to a big contract this off-season, and for what it’s worth are still calling Glennon their starting QB. But a team doesn’t often draft a guy #2 overall and sit him for long. Trubisky will play this year, it’s just a matter of when. And though we have questions about his upside, there is a playmaking element to his game that could translate to some low-end fantasy success.

 

3. DeShone Kizer, Cle

School: Notre Dame Ht: 6’4” Wt: 233 | 40: 4.83 Year: 3So

Drafted: 2nd round, 52nd overall

Scouting Report: Kizer had a roller-coaster college career. He was a two-year starter who wasn’t supposed to start – the much-hyped Malik Zaire was Notre Dame’s QB in 2015, but broke his ankle during the Irish’s second game. In stepped Kizer, who immediately led Notre Dame to a comeback win in that game, then to a 10-3 record and a Fiesta Bowl appearance. Though Kizer’s performance was similar statistically in 2016, the Irish performance was not, as ND finished at 4-8. In all, Kizer started virtually two full seasons with ND, completing just over 60% of his passes for a strong 8.4 YPA. He threw for 5805 yards with 47 TDs and 19 INTs, including a 26/9 ratio in Notre Dame’s disastrous 4-8 2016. Overall, if you’re a QB size truther, Kizer is pretty much the only high-end talent you can focus on in this class. His size/arm strength combo is strictly unmatched in this Draft. While Patrick Mahomes probably has more arm talent, he simply doesn’t have Kizer’s pocket-passer frame. And make no mistake, Kizer can make every throw. He has a quick release with a good feel for pocket movement, which is a nice combo with his 4.83 speed. And though he didn’t do a ton under center at Notre Dame, coach Brian Kelly did employ some NFL-style play-action elements out of the pistol. In all, Kizer is a strong body who lacks elusiveness, but can be a red-zone threat as a runner based on size alone (he had 18 rushing TDs in college). On the downside, Kizer can occasionally get lazy with his mechanics, locking his front leg. He can also fail to set his weight and sail the ball, a problem that plagued Carson Wentz as a rookie. And though Kizer showed poise as a pocket passer (of which Mahomes showed just about none), he too often left throws on the field by not pulling the trigger when needed, and that’s a problem that will get bigger in the NFL, especially if his decision-making is affected (he forced some throws in college). Kizer is clearly a smart and talented passer, but he needs to work through things quicker at the NFL level if he’s going to have a chance to be a high-level starter. He likely needs to be coached, and sitting may be the best thing for him.

Fantasy Analysis: Honestly? We think this is a fantastic spot for Kizer. Make fun of the Browns all you want, but they’ve built a very nice support system for a young QB. They have decent options at WR and TE, a rock-solid run game, and an offensive line into which they’ve poured money and draft picks. In addition to all that, the most important piece here is coach Hue Jackson, who has earned a positive reputation for developing young QBs. We don’t think Kizer is ready to start right away, and we don’t expect he will – Cody Kessler is almost certain to enter the season as Cleveland’s top QB. But as a pure physical specimen, Kizer is way more gifted than Kessler. Jackson’s major work with Kizer will be on getting him to recognize and process coverage quickly, but can Kizer learn those things without actually playing? All considered, we do expect to see Kizer and some point this year, and we absolutely think Cleveland can be a decent spot for a QB to have fantasy value. Add in a few rushing TDs, and Kizer could end up being a cheap, successful DFS option at some point this year, in addition to a QB streamer.

 

4. Patrick Mahomes II, KC

School: Texas Tech | Ht: 6’2” Wt: 225 | 40: 4.8 Year: 3Jr

Drafted: 1st round, 10th overall

Scouting Report: Let’s get this out of the way: if you’re laying a big bet on Mahomes, you’re betting on him being an exception to the rule. That isn’t to say Mahomes could be seen as a much better Johnny Manziel, or he can become a Rodgers or Brett Favre-like improviser, as we saw when he put up massive college numbers.Mahomes lacks talent; in fact, it’s the exact opposite. In terms of arm strength and movement ability, Mahomes is the most gifted passer in this entire draft class. He makes some near-impossible throws look easy, and if you squint, you can seen an Aaron Rodgers-like laser attached to his right arm. Despite no feel for mechanics at all, Mahomes was generally a very accurate passer. That may not be surprising, since his father was an MLB pitcher and Mahomes himself was a promising pitcher himself before quitting baseball to focus on football. But Mahomes, on film, showed almost no feel for the nuances of the QB position at all. In Texas Tech’s Air Raid offense under Kliff Kingsbury, Mahomes put up massive numbers – 11,252 yards (8.3 YPA), 93 TDs, and 29 INTs in a little over two years as a starter. But it’s an offense that doesn’t require a QB to perfect the finer details of the position, and it allows a freelancer like Mahomes pretty much every chance to do just that. So what you’re betting on Mahomes doing is: 1) being able to play in the NFL without pocket presence 2) transitioning from the Air Raid to the league. It’s next to impossible to do 1, and few have had success with 2. Last year’s #1 overall pick Jared Goff was an Air Raid QB, and he didn’t assuage any concerns. In fact, you can argue the best Air Raid QBs in NFL history are Nick Foles and Kevin Kolb. That’s best. Other entrants into the NFL from the Air Raid include Case Keenum, John Beck, Geno Smith, and Brandon Weeden. Now, Mahomes has more physical ability than all of those guys, and in terms of arm strength, he’s in rarified air. So you can argue he’s a much better version of Johnny Manziel without the off-field issues, or he can become a Rodgers or Brett Favre-like improviser. If physical skills are what you want, everything else be damned, Mahomes is your guy. Heck, you may even think mechanics are overrated in his instance, since he was an accurate thrower without them. He also ran for 22 TDs in college, so there’s mobility here to go with the arm. But he has no feel for NFL-style passing concepts, and he was also often injured in college, spraining an MCL in 2015, plus injuring his throwing shoulder and left wrist in 2016 (the latter required surgery). Mahomes has the physical skill and instincts you love to see, but will that be enough to give him success in the NFL?

Fantasy Analysis: The Chiefs spent plenty of capital trading up to get Mahomes at 10th overall, which absolutely suggests head coach Andy Reid sees his former pupil, Brett Favre, in Mahomes. But there are still reasons to be concerned here. Remember, of course, that Reid really lost the reins on Michael Vick in Philly, and the Eagle offense became a series of designed plays rather than a well-executed gameplan. That led to Reid’s downfall with the Eagles. And of course, betting a lot on a player to become Favre is foolish in and of itself – Mike Holmgren is generally regarded as the coach who really managed to get Favre to buy into playing with “controlled chaos.” Reid clearly believes he can do the same with Mahomes. But if Reid is tempted to sit Alex Smith and play Mahomes early, we could see the whole thing come crashing down. Our guess is the Chiefs have a plan of restraint, as this is still a competitive football team, and Smith is the unchallenged starter. But Mahomes has a massive skillset and major upside. He needs to learn how to harness it before he has a chance to reach it.

 

5. C.J. Beathard, SF

School: Iowa | Ht: 6’2” Wt: 219 | 40: N/A Year: 5Sr

Drafted: 3rd round, 104th overall

Scouting Report: Beathard has football in his blood, as he’s the grandson of legendary Charger GM Bobby Beathard. So above all, Beathard is regarded for his football acumen. In the purest sense, he’s a timing-and-rhythm passer with a good feel for where to go with the ball. His arm is more than adequate, and when he’s well protected, he makes good decisions early in the down. However, when things get a little muddied in the pocket, he can panic and make bad decisions. He’s a far better early-in-the-down player than late in the down, and is not a strong improviser. He’s way better with a good supporting cast around him, as his junior numbers (61.6%, 17 TD, 5 INT) prove in comparison to his senior numbers (56.5%, 17 TD, 10 INT). Beathard probably peaks as a backup in the league, but if you’re really into him, you could see a Kirk Cousins or, more likely, Trevor Siemian type of QB.

Fantasy Analysis: We were downright stunned with how highly Beathard got drafted, especially since he was selected ahead of Nathan Peterman, who was a similar (but better) college QB. That said, Beathard’s arm is probably a decent bit better than Peterman’s, so 49er coach Kyle Shanahan might have seen more upside. Shanahan compared his new rookie to his former pupil Kirk Cousins, and you can see why – their strengths and weaknesses are remarkably similar. But we just didn’t see it on tape with Beathard, who was awful as a senior for a mediocre Iowa team after an admittedly pretty impressive junior campaign in which he started to garner draft hype. We’re ranking him pretty highly, though, because the Niners have only Brian Hoyer and Matt Barkley in front of him, so we can actually see him making some starts. More likely than not, Beathard’s smarts and bloodline keep him in the league as a backup, but maybe he figures something out in the NFL.

 

6. Nathan Peterman, Buf

School: Pittsburgh | Ht: 6’2” Wt: 226 | 40: 4.82 Year: 5Sr

Drafted: 5th round, 171st overall

Scouting Report: Peterman has something in common with another QB in this class, Davis Webb. He transferred from his original school – Tennessee – when he couldn’t beat out another QB in this class, Josh Dobbs (Webb lost out to Patrick Mahomes at Texas Tech). Peterman transferred to Pitt, where he had solid success as a two-year starter, throwing 47 TD to just 15 INT, while averaging a stellar 9.3 YPA as a senior (just 7.3 as a junior). Peterman has the stereotypical “toughness and poise” teams look for from a pocket passer, and dropped back from under center a lot more than most of the top prospects. There’s a polish to his game that even the top prospects lack, and teams will love that about him. However, he has just a solid arm, and occasionally he would overreact to perceived pressure and force throws too early. When watching him on tape, you view him as a player who has way more of an “idea” of how to play the QB position than a guy like Mahomes, but he also doesn’t have the physical ability of a guy like Mitchell Trubisky, let alone Mahomes. With just decent size and arm strength, and with plenty of questions about how much better he can actually get, Peterman just doesn’t have high-end upside.

Fantasy Analysis: Peterman lands in an interesting QB room, in that there’s a competent starter the Bills aren’t fully sold on in Tyrod Taylor. There’s also second-year man Cardale Jones, who is pretty much the exact opposite of Peterman in that he has elite physical tools but lacks refinement. Though he had some pre-draft hype, Peterman’s 5th-round status suggests the NFL views his upside as very limited – he may not have the arm strength required to be even an average starter in the NFL. He should be a long-term backup, and he could even beat out Jones for the #2 job here, but he’s a long shot to start games as a rookie.

 

7. Josh Dobbs, Pit

School: Tennessee | Ht: 6’3” Wt: 216 | 40: 4.67 Year: 4Sr

Drafted: 4th round, 135th overall

Scouting Report: If you want high character in your QB prospect, it’s going to be hard to overlook Dobbs, who has developed a reputation as an incredible leader and phenomenal asset in the community near the University of Tennessee. An aeronautical engineering major in Knoxville, Dobbs is also brilliant. Moreover, Dobbs is a phenomenal overall athlete, posting some of the best scores at the Combine in this QB class. And Dobbs impressed coaches so much that earning Tennessee’s starting job in 2014 forced Nathan Peterman to transfer to Pitt. The problem is his actual quarterback play. Inconsistent with accuracy, pocket presence, decision-making, and mechanics, Dobbs was more of a phenomenal athlete playing QB at Tennessee than anything else. It often showed up – he had 32 rushing TDs in college – but it also contributed to Tennessee’s inconsistency and disappointment as a much-hyped team. Dobbs chucked 27 TDs to 12 INTs as a senior, which is among the worst ratios from this class. Ball security was a big problem, and he often overreacted to pressure and broke the pocket when he didn’t need to. His delivery can get wonky, and in addition to sloppy mechanics, that will lead to turnovers at the NFL level. Dobbs has a big arm and great movement ability, but needs a ton of work otherwise. Fortunately, he has the smarts to work through his issues.

Fantasy Analysis: OMG, next Dak Prescott! Because every year has to have one now, and because Dobbs was selected with the 135th overall pick (like Prescott), that’s obviously what he’s going to become. Obviously, Prescott was a much better college QB than was Dobbs, and his Mississippi State teams were way more successful than Dobbs’ Tennessee teams. Also, it’d take a lot for Dobbs to see the field as a rookie, as he’s behind both Ben Roethlisberger and solid backup Landry Jones. That said, Ben’s health issues are obvious, and all it may take is a fluke injury to Jones for Dobbs to get out there. A high-character prospect, there seems to be no doubt whatsoever that Dobbs will work his tail off to get better, but for him to become anywhere close to Prescott, he’s got a loooot of work to do. Prescott was a much better prospect. That’s not necessarily fair to Dobbs to make that comparison, because after all, he is a 4th-round pick. Development time is expected. Should he get onto the field as a rookie, however, his mobility could give him some surprise fantasy value.

 

8. Chad Kelly, Den

School: Mississippi | Ht: 6’2” Wt: 224 | 40: N/A Year: 5Sr

Drafted: 7th round, 253rd overall (Mr. Irrelevant)

Scouting Report: Kelly’s clearly a phenomenal athlete, and it’s evident watching him. He has plus mobility, running for 15 TDs in his two years as Ole Miss’ starting QB, and he also has a massive arm. The bloodlines are good, as well, as he’s the nephew of Hall of Famer Jim Kelly. The problem is… well, basically everything else. Kelly had originally committed to Clemson, but was kicked off the team after clashing with coaches. This shouldn’t have come as a surprise to Dabo Swinney and his staff, as Kelly was also suspended in high school. Kelly spent one year at a community college before committing to Ole Miss, but was arrested at a Buffalo nightclub on disorderly conduct charges shortly after that commitment. All in all, he had two relatively successful years at Ole Miss following the arrest, but his college career came to an abrupt end with a torn ACL and meniscus in his right knee in November (the second time he has torn the ACL in that knee, the first being at Clemson). On the field, Kelly has sloppy mechanics and footwork, and is pretty much entirely an arm thrower, but he’s not as effective at it as Patrick Mahomes. He’s got an “I’m goin’ deep” mentality to his game, almost to a fault, and sometimes that just doesn’t work in the NFL. So what we have is an unpolished player, coming off a serious injury, with major character concerns.

Fantasy Analysis: Because of myriad issues, we didn’t think Kelly was a draftable player, and he barely was drafted, as he was the final pick of the 2017 NFL Draft. But it’s interesting that he landed in Denver, as the Broncos turned 2015 7th-rounder Trevor Siemian into a somewhat competent starting QB in 2016. Kelly is currently buried on the depth chart behind Siemian and 2016 1st-rounder Paxton Lynch, but the Broncos are going to have an open competition, and it’s not impossible to think Kelly could see the field at some point this year.

 

9. Davis Webb, NYG

School: California | Ht: 6’5” Wt: 229 | 40: 4.79 Year: 4Sr

Drafted: 3rd round, 87th overall

Scouting Report: Webb had an interesting college career. He started out at Texas Tech, and his performance forced fellow hyped prospect Baker Mayfield to transfer to Oklahoma. However, by 2015, Webb was unseated by another whirlwind, fellow 2017 NFL Draft class member Patrick Mahomes. So Webb graduated early from TTU and transferred to Cal, where he put together the best statistical season of his career. But if you’re paying attention, we already have two red flags against Webb – Texas Tech and Cal. Webb played in the Air Raid at both schools, and if you want the history of Air Raid QBs in the NFL, read Mahomes’ scouting report above (hint: it’s not good). The fact that Webb succeeded Jared Goff isn’t going to help him. Tall and thin, Webb has adequate arm strength and a quick release, certainly more than enough to play in the NFL. Webb’s mechanics can be sloppy, a lot like most Air Raid QBs, but unlike Mahomes, his accuracy was mediocre to poor (he’d make some “WOW!” throws and some “wow…” throws, if you catch our drift). And like Goff, he worked a very thin line between poised and rushed in the pocket on his college film, which led to some really poor decisions in crowded coverage, which is very troubling in an Air Raid offense. On the plus side, Webb tied Goff’s single-season Cal record with 43 total TDs, and has a reputation as a great leader and student of the game. If not for Goff last year, Webb may be viewed as a better overall prospect than he is right now, but fair or not, Webb has to answer for the sins of his predecessors. It was hard to separate that when watching him on film. He’ll ideally sit for a while, like Goff should have.

Fantasy Analysis: Webb definitely will sit in 2017, and for the Giants, ideally beyond. While starting QB Eli Manning struggled last year, he’s never missed a start since ascending to the Giants’ top QB spot late in his rookie season. The Giants also brought in Geno Smith to back up Eli, and say what you want about Geno, he’s a competent backup. We didn’t love Webb on film and felt the Giants reached for him, and it’d be an upset if he plays at all as a rookie.

 

10. Brad Kaaya, Det

School: Miami (FL) | Ht: 6’4” Wt: 214 | 40: N/A Year: 3Jr

Drafted: 6th round, 215th overall

Scouting Report: Overall, we think Kaaya should have chosen to stay in school to try to get bigger and to refine his game. There’s a lot to like about him, of course. Though he’s on the thin side, he has good height at 6’4,” has a decent arm, and possesses high-level toughness (he got hit a lot at Miami, and played through a throwing shoulder injury as a junior). At nearly 10,000 yards, he’s Miami’s all-time leading passer (ahead of Vinnie Testaverde, Bernie Kosar, Jim Kelly, Gino Torretta, Ken Dorsey, etc). But on the other hand, he does everything just… so… slowly. Kaaya’s feet and mechanics can get lazy, but that’s not uncommon of college QBs these days. Our big question is how many of the hits he took at Miami were of his own doing, because he just didn’t get rid of the ball when he should have. Kaaya had a good feel for Miami’s offense and its concepts, he just took too long to execute them. And the question now is, even though we feel he should have stayed in school, how much better can he actually get? His tape was actually pretty consistent throughout his career, as was his production, as he threw for between 3198 and 3532 yards in his three seasons, with a completion percentage between 58.5 and 62.0 and YPA between 8.3 and 8.5, though he clearly took to Mark Richt’s offense well as a junior and his timing got better. You might remember Byron Leftwich’s career being plagued by the overall slowness of his game, not necessarily the “slowness” of him as an athlete. We could see Kaaya having similar struggles, but we see a decent backup at worst here.

Fantasy Analysis: Kaaya is going to have a chance to beat out 2016 draft pick Jake Rudock for Detroit’s backup QB job behind Matthew Stafford, and we feel he’s a better prospect than Rudock. Still, Kaaya’s climb to fantasy relevance is steep, as Stafford has been both durable and productive as of late. We’d be surprised to see him as a rookie.

 

QB Dynasty/Keeper Rankings

Below, we rank this year’s rookie class based on long-term potential for the next few seasons.
  1. Deshaun Watson (Hou, 22) – The draft’s top QB (in our opinion) lands in a spot where he can make an immediate impact and start the entire season.
  2. Patrick Mahomes II (KC, 22) – Mahomes is a next-level talent who needs to develop a feel for the nuances of his position but he has a massive ceiling.
  3. Mitchell Trubisky (Chi, 23) – Trubisky best profiles as a Kirk Cousins type of passer at the next level, so the Bears need to make sure they surround him with talent.
  4. DeShone Kizer (Cle, 21) – The Browns managed to nab the big-armed Kizer with a second-round pick, and there’s a non-zero chance he starts the majority of their games as a rookie.
  5. Nathan Peterman (Buf, 23) – Peterman may not have the arm strength to be a good NFL starter, but he has the smarts and feel for the position to be a long-term backup, plus Buffalo isn’t committed to Tyrod Taylor.
  6. Davis Webb (NYG, 22) – We didn’t necessarily view him the way the Giants did, but the Giants spent a top-100 pick on Webb to develop him long-term behind Eli Manning.
  7. Joshua Dobbs (Pit, 22) – Though he’s an excellent athlete, it is unfair to call Dobbs “the next Dak Prescott” since Prescott was far more refined and a far better college player than Dobbs.
  8. C.J. Beathard (SF, 23) – We did not like Beathard’s tape at all, but Kyle Shanahan clearly disagrees, comparing his third-round QB to Kirk Cousins.
  9. Chad Kelly (Den, 23) – The nephew of Jim Kelly, the similarities between the two begin and end with the last name. At the least, the younger Kelly is a good athlete.
  10. Brad Kaaya (Det, 22) – Kaaya looks the part of a long-term backup, but landed in a tough spot to get playing time behind Matthew Stafford.