If you’re interested in this article, first please read my take on the offensive identities (Part 1, Part 2 and Part 3) of all the teams in 2016. That will explain some of the stats in this article, which I will not explain here. As I did last year, I will write a detailed piece on each team.
Adam Gase had a pretty good first year as a HC in Miami, with 10 wins and a wildcard spot. His offense may not have been all he wanted, but maybe the 2nd season for the players in his system will fix that. We now have four years of his identity to judge by; I'm using him as the key to this offense, not OC Clyde Christensen.
Miami addressed its defense in the draft, except for a 7th round pick at WR, so the changes on offense have been limited to the departure of LT Branden Albert and arrival of TE Julius Thomas in trades. Albert's departure has been filled within by 2016 1st round pick, Laremy Tunsil, who was drafted as a tackle but played guard last year. It remains to be seen if that boosts the o-line, but the return of Mike Pouncey at center should help.
AG = Adam Gase’s offense
NFL = Average NFL offense
Gase added 4 wins to the Dolphins total last year, the third time in 4 years as an OC/HC that his team posted double-digit wins. The Broncos in 2013-2014 were excellent, the 2015 Bears were not very good. Vegas thinks the Dolphins are going to regress in 2017, with the over/under at just 7.5 wins. The Dolphins probably have a tougher schedule this year, with the AFC West replacing the AFC Central and the NFC South in and the NFC West out. Some advanced measures like Football Outsiders DVOA and PFR's SRS indicate the Dolphins over-achieved last year. Still, I think I'd take the over and expect 8-9 wins; I don't expect much change to the offense because of the W-L record.
The Offense Overall
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