If you’re interested in this article, first please read my take on the offensive identities (Part 1 and Part 2) of all the teams in 2016. That will explain some of the stats in this article, which I will not explain here. As I did last year, I will write a detailed piece on each team.
Rob Chudzinski enters his 2nd full year as the Colts OC. He took the job after Week 8 of 2015. He had two prior spells as an OC, in Cleveland in 2007-2008 and in Carolina, 2011-2012. He also was HC in Cleveland in 2013 with Norv Turner as his OC. I’ll show all six full seasons in the charts below; Chud has enough history that I'm going to disregard the partial season in 2015 (and he didn't have Andrew Luck for most of those 8 games, so it's of limited relevance anyhow).
RC = Rob Chudzinski offense
NFL = Average NFL offense
Last year was the most wins for a Chudzinski identity team since 2007, and the 2nd most ever. We have limited data on how his offense would look in a winning season and not much more on how he runs a mediocre team's offense. Since Vegas sets this year’s Colts over/under at 8.5 wins (again), that might be a slight issue. I see some upside for this team just because eventually some team in this division will win double-digit games: the Colts did in 2014, it could be them again, although I'm not putting any money on it.
The Offense Overall
Total plays – the sum of rushing and passing plays.
Last year was the most plays Chudzinski has had except the year with Turner as his OC. even 2016 was basically average. In Chudzinski's two non-losing seasons he was right around average. If the Colts are around 8-9 wins, they should have around 1030 plays again, a neutral number for fantasy. The downside is around 1000 plays if they have a losing year.
We have not raised our subscription rate in 23 years, so subscribe today!
- Credibility and top content with a 23-year track record
- Top-3 (out of 140+) in accuracy awarded by Fantasy Pros 2 of the last 3 years
- Advanced database and unique statistical tools that are tops in the industry
- FREE roster and scoring system import from your league's site
- A personal portal to your teams with MyGuru, custom news, projections, etc
- Mobile-friendly site you can use on your phone