We’re going to be organizing and reviewing mock drafts using different league sizes and scoring systems right on up until Week 1 of the regular season. This one is a 12-Team PPR draft with @FantasyGuruSite Twitter followers that awards 4 points for passing TDs.
This was draft was done off the myfantasyleague.com mock draft lobby. The starting lineup requirements were:
1.01 1. Dizzy Johnson, David ARI RB
1.02 2. TTP Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB
1.03 3. Big Hitters Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB
1.04 4. bbread Brown, Antonio PIT WR
1.05 5. WeaponX Beckham, Odell NYG WR
1.06 6. Hardway Evans, Mike TBB WR
1.07 7. Juicy Fruit Jones, Julio ATL WR
1.08 8. PK Green, A.J. CIN WR
1.09 9. Enigma Howard, Jordan CHI RB
1.10 10. Calhoun79 Gordon, Melvin LAC RB
1.11 11. Softball Jesus McCoy, LeSean BUF RB
1.12 12. Steven Ferrari Freeman, Devonta ATL RB
Analysis: Is the RB back? The answer was yes in the first round of this PPR league with 7 RBs taken through the first 12 picks. The big three backs went off the board first which seems to be the case in most leagues so far this summer although that could change if the news on Zeke is bad.
Good Value: Julio as the fourth receiver off the board is a nice spot for him. I’m seeing more leagues where Mike Evans is being taken before Julio as we did here but with an almost certain drop in targets for Evans coming this season I’m not feeling him over Julio.
Bad Value: Jordan Howard as the 4th back selected at #9 overall is a bit of a reach. His current ADP of 16 tells us he would likely have been available for his owner in the second round.
2.01 13. Steven Ferrari Hilton, T.Y. IND WR
2.02 14. Softball Jesus Cooper, Amari OAK WR
2.03 15. Calhoun79 Thomas, Michael NOS WR
2.04 16. Enigma Nelson, Jordy GBP WR
2.05 17. PK Ajayi, Jay MIA RB
2.06 18. Juicy Fruit Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
2.07 19. Hardway Gurley, Todd LAR RB
2.08 20. WeaponX Fournette, Leonard JAC RB
2.09 21. bbread Murray, DeMarco TEN RB
2.10 22. Big Hitters Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
2.11 23. TTP Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR
2.12 24. Dizzy Bryant, Dez DAL WR
Analysis: Most teams are in BPA mode here and surprisingly we saw the first QB and the first TE get selected about a round earlier than they normally do.
Good Value: I would take Jordy Nelson all day every day as the ninth WR off the board as he was here. He led the league in red zone targets last year (29) and should be in line for another big season.
Bad Value: I think it’s a leap of faith taking Amari Cooper at #14 overall as WR7. Michael Crabtree has been the better Raiders WR to own over the last two seasons so clearly this owner is banking on a year three breakout from Cooper. I can’t justify taking him over Jordy or Michael Thomas.
3.01 25. Dizzy Luck, Andrew IND QB
3.02 26. TTP Kelce, Travis KCC TE
3.03 27. Big Hitters Cooks, Brandin NEP WR
3.04 28. bbread Robinson, Allen JAC WR
3.05 29. WeaponX Baldwin, Doug SEA WR
3.06 30. Hardway Mixon, Joe CIN RB
3.07 31. Juicy Fruit Watkins, Sammy BUF WR
3.08 32. PK Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR
3.09 33. Enigma Crowell, Isaiah CLE RB
3.10 34. Calhoun79 McCaffrey, Christian CAR RB
3.11 35. Softball Jesus Cook, Dalvin MIN RB
3.12 36. Steven Ferrari Miller, Lamar HOU RB
Analysis: Four teams used one of their first three picks on a QB or a TE. I’m not going in early on either of those positions this year but if you want the top scoring QB or TE this is likely where you’ll find him.
Good Value: Lamar Miller at #36 overall and RB16 seems like really good value as his current ADP is 26. This draft was held just before the D'onta Foreman news broke so the Miller pick is looking even better now.
Bad Value: Luck and Cook. There’s no reason to go this early on Andrew Luck as he’s usually available a couple of rounds later. We’re still not entirely sure where he is in terms of his shoulder and he still hasn’t begun throwing so he’s a risky pick this early. I can’t see taking him over Brady. If Dalvin Cook is getting 15+ touches a week beginning in Week 1 (which we don’t know yet) he could be worth a selection this high, but his ADP suggests you can wait a couple more rounds before taking him.
4.01 37. Steven Ferrari Jeffery, Alshon PHI WR
4.02 38. Softball Jesus Adams, Davante GBP WR
4.03 39. Calhoun79 Brady, Tom NEP QB
4.04 40. Enigma Allen, Keenan LAC WR
4.05 41. PK Reed, Jordan WAS TE
4.06 42. Juicy Fruit Landry, Jarvis MIA WR
4.07 43. Hardway Wilson, Russell SEA QB
4.08 44. WeaponX Pryor, Terrelle WAS WR
4.09 45. bbread Lynch, Marshawn OAK RB
4.10 46. Big Hitters Brees, Drew NOS QB
4.11 47. TTP Hill, Tyreek KCC WR
4.12 48. Dizzy Hyde, Carlos SFO RB
Analysis: 5 QBs in the first 46 picks is a little more than we usually see. 48 picks into this draft and there are still plenty of impact players on the board.
Good Value: People seem to be split on Marshawn Lynch this year but he looks like a steal to me at #45 overall. If he can just be 2016 Latavius Murray he will be well worth a pick here. He’s usually a third rounder.
Bad Value: Keenan Allen isn’t a bad value here based on his ADP but there’s just too much downside (injuries, lots of mouths to feed in LA) with him for me to take him as WR19 as he was here.
5.01 49. Dizzy Olsen, Greg CAR TE
5.02 50. TTP Winston, Jameis TBB QB
5.03 51. Big Hitters Montgomery, Ty GBP RB
5.04 52. bbread Sanders, Emmanuel DEN WR
5.05 53. WeaponX Anderson, C.J. DEN RB
5.06 54. Hardway Diggs, Stefon MIN WR
5.07 55. Juicy Fruit Bryant, Martavis PIT WR
5.08 56. PK Crabtree, Michael OAK WR
5.09 57. Enigma Tate, Golden DET WR
5.10 58. Calhoun79 Moncrief, Donte IND WR
5.11 59. Softball Jesus Carr, Derek OAK QB
5.12 60. Steven Ferrari Eifert, Tyler CIN TE
Analysis: Owners in this league continued to be aggressive with the QBs as Winston and Carr went off the board in this round. They both usually go about 30 picks later.
Good Value: Both Crabtree and Tate are usually 4th round picks in a league of this size. There’s no reason to think either of them will see their production take a significant step backwards this year.
Bad Value: I like Tyler Eifert but not at #60/#61 overall as TE5. His ADP is 75 so in fairness to his owner, he would likely not have been available when his owner picked again at the Round 7/8 turn.
6.01 61. Steven Ferrari Edelman, Julian NEP WR
6.02 62. Softball Jesus Davis, Corey TEN WR
6.03 63. Calhoun79 Snead, Willie NOS WR
6.04 64. Enigma Abdullah, Ameer DET RB
6.05 65. PK Gore, Frank IND RB
6.06 66. Juicy Fruit Henry, Derrick TEN RB
6.07 67. Hardway Coleman, Tevin ATL RB
6.08 68. WeaponX Graham, Jimmy SEA TE
6.09 69. bbread Marshall, Brandon NYG WR
6.10 70. Big Hitters Crowder, Jamison WAS WR
6.11 71. TTP Ware, Spencer KCC RB
6.12 72. Dizzy Ingram, Mark NOS RB
Analysis: Lots of low-end RB2/high-end RB3 types in this round. If you’re loading up on WRs early and/or taking a QB or TE early, these are some of the names you could wind up with as an RB2.
Good Value: I love Jamison Crowder at #70 overall about a round and a half later than his ADP suggests he should go. He could wind up leading the Redskins in receptions this year considering Reed’s injury issues and both Pryor and Doctson essentially being brand new in Washington.
Bad Value: This is too early to take Derrick Henry (ADP 79) in my view. Obviously you’d like to get him if you’re a DeMarco Murray owner (this owner wasn’t), but as a weekly contributor don’t look for much from Henry if Murray is healthy.
7.01 73. Dizzy Parker, DeVante MIA WR
7.02 74. TTP Benjamin, Kelvin CAR WR
7.03 75. Big Hitters Gillislee, Mike NEP RB
7.04 76. bbread Walker, Delanie TEN TE
7.05 77. WeaponX Ryan, Matt ATL QB
7.06 78. Hardway Henry, Hunter LAC TE
7.07 79. Juicy Fruit Martin, Doug TBB RB
7.08 80. PK Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR
7.09 81. Enigma Garcon, Pierre SFO WR
7.10 82. Calhoun79 Powell, Bilal NYJ RB
7.11 83. Softball Jesus Perkins, Paul NYG RB
7.12 84. Steven Ferrari Perine, Samaje WAS RB
Analysis: Still plenty of viable fantasy starters available 75+ picks into this draft.
Good Value: There were some really nice cheaper PPR options available in this round, most notably, Powell, Garcon and Fitzgerald. I was thrilled to get Larry at this spot as WR36. The latest Guru projections have him as WR20 in this format.
Bad Value: I think taking Hunter Henry as the 8th TE off the board is a bit aggressive. His current ADP is 100.
8.01 85. Steven Ferrari Ross, John CIN WR
8.02 86. Softball Jesus Coleman, Corey CLE WR
8.03 87. Calhoun79 Hunt, Kareem KCC RB
8.04 88. Enigma Woodhead, Danny BAL RB
8.05 89. PK Peterson, Adrian NOS RB
8.06 90. Juicy Fruit Lacy, Eddie SEA RB
8.07 91. Hardway Cobb, Randall GBP WR
8.08 92. WeaponX Meredith, Cameron CHI WR
8.09 93. bbread Jackson, DeSean TBB WR
8.10 94. Big Hitters Maclin, Jeremy BAL WR
8.11 95. TTP Prosise, C.J. SEA RB
8.12 96. Dizzy Williams, Mike LAC WR
Analysis: It was all RBs and WRs in this round. We saw some rookies trying to make names for themselves (Ross, Hunt) and veterans trying to have bounce-back seasons (Woodhead, Peterson, Lacy, Cobb).
Good Value: I’m not all-in on Adrian Peterson by any stretch but he fell a couple of rounds in this draft (ADP 67) and he is definitely worth a shot in this range. He may be frustrating this year because he likely won’t help you much unless he scores (think Jeremy Hill the last couple of seasons).
Bad Value: John Ross is an exciting player but he may be a bit buried on the depth chart in Cincinnati so I can’t see him returning value on his selection here as the 38th WR off the board.
9.01 97. Dizzy Brown, John ARI WR
9.02 98. TTP Matthews, Jordan PHI WR
9.03 99. Big Hitters Decker, Eric TEN WR
9.04 100. bbread Newton, Cam CAR QB
9.05 101. WeaponX Johnson, Duke CLE RB
9.06 102. Hardway Doctson, Josh WAS WR
9.07 103. Juicy Fruit Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE
9.08 104. PK Cousins, Kirk WAS QB
9.09 105. Enigma Mariota, Marcus TEN QB
9.10 106. Calhoun79 Bennett, Martellus GBP TE
9.11 107. Softball Jesus Ertz, Zach PHI TE
9.12 108. Steven Ferrari Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB
Analysis: We started this round wrapping up a run on WRs as we had 8 WRs taken over 9 picks (#91-#99). If you’re waiting on your starting QB this seems to be a nice spot to grab one.
Good Value: Zach Ertz’s ADP is 105 so this is the round he should be going in but he looks like a strong value based upon the latest Guru projections which have him as TE7. He was taken as TE11 here.
Bad Value: None of note.
10.01 109. Steven Ferrari Prescott, Dak DAL QB
10.02 110. Softball Jesus Tucker, Justin BAL PK
10.03 111. Calhoun79 Williams, Tyrell LAC WR
10.04 112. Enigma Ebron, Eric DET TE
10.05 113. PK Doyle, Jack IND TE
10.06 114. Juicy Fruit Broncos, Denver DEN Def
10.07 115. Hardway Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def
10.08 116. WeaponX Blount, LeGarrette PHI RB
10.09 117. bbread Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB
10.10 118. Big Hitters Gostkowski, Stephen NEP PK
10.11 119. TTP Texans, Houston HOU Def
10.12 120. Dizzy Seahawks, Seattle SEA Def
Analysis: We saw some teams grabbing their defenses early but there were still some guys who may be fantasy starters on the board.
Good Value: LeGarrette Blount’s current ADP of 78 suggests he should have been gone long before this round. If he can score even half as many touchdowns this year as an Eagle as he did last year as a Patriot he will be well worth a pick this late.
Bad Value: Some folks like to grab the #1 kicker or defense on their board early but I’m not taking a kicker or a defense until the last couple of rounds of my draft. I would much rather take a shot at a potential fantasy starter than grab a defense.
11.01 121. Dizzy Bryant, Matt ATL PK
11.02 122. TTP Bailey, Dan DAL PK
11.03 123. Big Hitters Patriots, New England NEP Def
11.04 124. bbread Vikings, Minnesota MIN Def
11.05 125. WeaponX Wallace, Mike BAL WR
11.06 126. Hardway Crosby, Mason GBP PK
11.07 127. Juicy Fruit Vinatieri, Adam IND PK
11.08 128. PK Riddick, Theo DET RB
11.09 129. Enigma Rivers, Philip LAC QB
11.10 130. Calhoun79 Williams, Jamaal GBP RB
11.11 131. Softball Jesus Cardinals, Arizona ARI Def
11.12 132. Steven Ferrari Howard, O.J. TBB TE
Analysis: The kicker and defense love continued in this round but there are still solid PPR depth players available not to mention potential QB1s.
Good Value: I was able to get Theo Riddick 45 picks later than his ADP (83) in this PPR draft. Fantasy owners seem to be buying in to Ameer Abdullah being the Lions’ lead back this year, and he will be…but Riddick’s role in the passing game should remain largely unchanged. He has averaged 5 catches per game over the last two seasons (26 games).
Bad Value: None of note but I’d still be waiting on my kicker for sure.
12.01 133. Steven Ferrari White, Kevin CHI WR
12.02 134. Softball Jesus Stafford, Matthew DET QB
12.03 135. Calhoun79 Enunwa, Quincy NYJ WR
12.04 136. Enigma Britt, Kenny CLE WR
12.05 137. PK Thielen, Adam MIN WR
12.06 138. Juicy Fruit Wentz, Carson PHI QB
12.07 139. Hardway Dalton, Andy CIN QB
12.08 140. WeaponX Manning, Eli NYG QB
12.09 141. bbread Janikowski, Sebastian OAK PK
12.10 142. Big Hitters Taylor, Tyrod BUF QB
12.11 143. TTP Njoku, David CLE TE
12.12 144. Dizzy Kamara, Alvin NOS RB
Analysis: We had five QBs selected in this round and teams were filling out their backups and bye week replacements.
Good Value: Quincy Enunwa (ADP 106) and Kenny Britt (ADP 126) stand out as players who should lead their respective teams in targets and receptions who were both available 135 picks into this draft.
Bad Value: None of note.
13.01 145. Dizzy Bortles, Blake JAC QB
13.02 146. TTP Tannehill, Ryan MIA QB
13.03 147. Big Hitters Engram, Evan NYG TE
13.04 148. bbread Flacco, Joe BAL QB
13.05 149. WeaponX Thomas, Julius MIA TE
13.06 150. Hardway Hooper, Austin ATL TE
13.07 151. Juicy Fruit Jones, Marvin DET WR
13.08 152. PK Palmer, Carson ARI QB
13.09 153. Enigma West, Terrance BAL RB
13.10 154. Calhoun79 Panthers, Carolina CAR Def
13.11 155. Softball Jesus Watson, Deshaun HOU QB
13.12 156. Steven Ferrari Fuller, Will HOU WR
Analysis: Five more backup QBs went in this round along with some upside TE plays.
Good Value: West and Jones. Terrance West should start the year as the lead back in Baltimore while Kenneth Dixon is out, and he normally goes about two rounds earlier than he did here. It’s worth noting that West’s schedule against the run over the first few weeks of the season looks pretty good so could be a nice RB2/Flex option for at least a month. Marvin Jones has a current ADP of 110 (WR47) and he lasted all the way until 151 (WR 55) here. I know he disappeared last season after a hot start and the Ebron hype train is starting to roll again, but Jones is looking undervalued to me so far this year as a guy who will likely catch 65+ balls and have some big games for the Lions.
Bad Value: None of note.
14.01 157. Steven Ferrari Charles, Jamaal DEN RB
14.02 158. Softball Jesus Forte, Matt NYJ RB
14.03 159. Calhoun79 Santos, Cairo KCC PK
14.04 160. Enigma Fleener, Coby NOS TE
14.05 161. PK White, James NEP RB
14.06 162. Juicy Fruit Williams, Joe SFO RB
14.07 163. Hardway Kelley, Rob WAS RB
14.08 164. WeaponX Eagles, Philadelphia PHI Def
14.09 165. bbread Shepard, Sterling NYG WR
14.10 166. Big Hitters Perriman, Breshad BAL WR
14.11 167. TTP Murray, Latavius MIN RB
14.12 168. Dizzy Bradford, Sam MIN QB
Analysis: We recommend looking for upside guys in the late rounds and players who may have slipped through the cracks as teams were grabbing their QB2s and TEs.
Good Value: I like all these RBs where they were taken. We’ll see what Forte and Charles have left to contribute this year but it’s not out of the question those guys could handle a significant share of their respective team’s backfield touches this year. They’re worth a shot this late as is Super Bowl hero James White, rookie Joe Williams who got plenty of buzz this Spring in San Francisco, Rob Kelley who could still be the Week 1 starter in Washington and even Latavius Murray who I could see scoring 6-8 TDs this year in Minnesota.
Bad Value: None of note.
15.01 169. Dizzy Jones, Zay BUF WR
15.02 170. TTP Mack, Marlon IND RB
15.03 171. Big Hitters Foreman, D'Onta HOU RB
15.04 172. bbread Rawls, Thomas SEA RB
15.05 173. WeaponX Williams, Jonathan BUF RB
15.06 174. Hardway Lockett, Tyler SEA WR
15.07 175. Juicy Fruit Matthews, Rishard TEN WR
15.08 176. PK Hopkins, Dustin WAS PK
15.09 177. Enigma Giants, New York NYG Def
15.10 178. Calhoun79 Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB
15.11 179. Softball Jesus Smith, Alex KCC QB
15.12 180. Steven Ferrari Raiders, Oakland OAK Def
Analysis: Some decent RB handcuffs were still available at this point. This draft took place before the Foreman news.
Good Value: Jones and Stewart stand out to me as guys who should be every week contributors to their team’s offenses. Stewart isn’t a sexy pick at all but he could certainly still handle double-digit touches every week for the Panthers as well as their goal line work.
Bad Value: None of note.
16.01 181. Steven Ferrari McManus, Brandon DEN PK
16.02 182. Softball Jesus Goff, Jared LAR QB
16.03 183. Calhoun79 Bernard, Giovani CIN RB
16.04 184. Enigma Boswell, Chris PIT PK
16.05 185. PK Bills, Buffalo BUF Def
16.06 186. Juicy Fruit Smith-Schuster, JuJu PIT WR
16.07 187. Hardway Fiedorowicz, C.J. HOU TE
16.08 188. WeaponX Novak, Nick HOU PK
16.09 189. bbread Samuel, Curtis CAR WR
16.10 190. Big Hitters Mahomes, Patrick KCC QB
16.11 191. TTP Conner, James PIT RB
16.12 192. Dizzy Witten, Jason DAL TE
Analysis: Grab a defense or kicker if you haven’t already or take one more flier on an upside guy.
Good Value: I love the James Conner pick. Remember, there’s no more DeAngelo Williams in Pittsburgh and it looks like Conner is the next man up if Bell can’t play. Conner is nowhere near as talented as Bell (or Williams for that matter) but there’s something to be said for opportunity in what should once again be a very fantasy friendly offense.
Bad Value: None of note.
RB Ajayi, Gore/Peterson
WR Green, D. Thomas, Crabtree
All but one team had at least 1 RB by the end of the first two rounds.
When I’m drafting mid-to-late first round and I go WR, I like to target Ajayi with my second pick as one of the few backs in the league who could log 20 touches per week. I ended up with four of the top 22 WRs according to the latest Guru projections, which gives me an advantage at WR/Flex over the rest of the teams in this league. I’m not thrilled with Gore as my RB2 (his schedule is tough) and I think trying to project Peterson week to week is going to be tough because TDs can be fickle, but I knew I would take a hit at that RB2 spot by going TE early with Reed but I think it was definitely worth it. I’m happy with Jack Doyle, who I think is being undervalued so far, as my TE2 waiting in the wings in the event Reed gets hurt again. Overall this looks like a well-rounded team that I’d be thrilled to go into the season with.
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Paul has been a writer and contributor for Fantasy Guru since 2010, writing plenty of preseason and in-season content, including his preseason Mock Drafts. He’s a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio, a key contributor for The Fantasy Guru Podcast, and can be heard each week on Down to the Wire with Senior Writer Tom Brolley.