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2016 Offensive Identities Summary: Part 1
2016 Offensive Identities Summary: Part 1
PUBLISHED: Thursday, April 20, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
"It's still wise to understand a team's identity" - John Hansen, "2005's Lessons Learned" It's been a long time since John wrote that and started me taking a statistical look at the offensive identities of each year's teams, to see what they would tell me about the coming year. This has gone from ju...
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Wide Receivers
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Wide Receivers
PUBLISHED: Monday, April 17, 2017 05:47 PM EDT
The NFL draft season is officially upon us, but we've been in serious information-gathering mode for months now. Our Joe Dolan and Tom Brolley watch tons of college football each fall, and they've studied plenty of tape - we've included plenty of links for you to watch these prospects too. But we al...
Davante Adams and Mike McCarthy WRs
Davante Adams and Mike McCarthy WRs
PUBLISHED: Friday, April 14, 2017 11:10 AM EDT
Since Mike McCarthy became head coach, the Packers have drafted six wideouts in what used to be called the first day of the draft - Rounds 1 through 3, (counting Ty Montgomery, even though he seems to have converted to running back). Those players have totaled 6415 fantasy points (FP) in point-per-r...
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Running Backs
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Running Backs
PUBLISHED: Thursday, April 13, 2017 12:25 PM EDT
The NFL draft season is officially upon us, but we've been in serious information-gathering mode for months now. Our Joe Dolan and Tom Brolley watch tons of college football each fall, and they've studied plenty of tape - we've included plenty of links for you to watch these prospects too. But we al...
Yards Created: 2017 Class Breakdown
Yards Created: 2017 Class Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 11, 2017 03:10 PM EDT
If you have read Yards Created for the last year now, you know what the deal is. It's April. It's almost (real) draft time. And it's time to digest a fantastic running back class with a ton of data. However, if you are a new Yards Created reader - welcome! Please head here for a full overview of my ...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Quarterbacks
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Quarterbacks
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 11, 2017 12:01 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Brock Osweiler (traded to Cle from Hou) - Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, the Texans are trading Brock Osweiler and their 2018 2nd round pick to Cleveland. Fantasy Analysis: Wow. Essentially, Cleveland is making a trade we usually see in the NBA. They're absorbing Brock Oswe...
2016's Distance Scoring Analysis
2016's Distance Scoring Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, April 10, 2017 11:32 AM EDT
Whether your league awards bonuses for distance scoring or not, it's definitely worth noting which players score longer TDs. The NFL is all about making plays, and longer plays (of course) mean more points. On the flip side, some players who scored a lot of longer TDs could be due for a serious TD r...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Running Backs
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Running Backs
PUBLISHED: Thursday, April 6, 2017 02:12 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Latavius Murray (signed by Min from Oak) - The Vikings inked Murray to a three-year deal early on March 16, after he visited with the team on the previous Tuesday. Fantasy Analysis: Effectively going from one of the league's best offensive lines in Oakland to one of th...
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Tight Ends
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Tight Ends
PUBLISHED: Thursday, April 6, 2017 12:23 PM EDT
The NFL draft season is officially upon us, but we've been in serious information-gathering mode for months now. Our Joe Dolan and Tom Brolley watch tons of college football each fall, and they've studied plenty of tape - we've included plenty of links for you to watch these prospects too. But we al...
Brandon Marshall and WR2s
Brandon Marshall and WR2s
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, April 5, 2017 11:59 AM EDT
I'm at the beach so I'll keep this short and let the pictures do most of the talking. Assuming Brandon Marshall is the #2 WR on the Giants (measured by fantasy points per game, PPR), what is his fantasy value in a 12-team league?                                           About a third of all NFL te...
Post-Free Agency Stock Watch
Post-Free Agency Stock Watch
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, April 4, 2017 04:40 PM EDT
Each off-season I go through a process to get ready for the upcoming campaign, and it starts with pouring over stats from the previous season and familiarizing myself with the upcoming rookie class. But things always heat up when the league year kicks off and players start changing teams. It's the f...
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Quarterbacks
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Report: Quarterbacks
PUBLISHED: Monday, April 3, 2017 01:19 PM EDT
The NFL draft season is officially upon us, but we've been in serious information-gathering mode for months now. Our Joe Dolan and Tom Brolley watch tons of college football each fall, and they've studied plenty of tape - we've included plenty of links for you to watch these prospects too. But we al...
Quarterbacks and Home-Field Advantage
Quarterbacks and Home-Field Advantage
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 31, 2017 11:08 AM EDT
Recently, I had a message board exchange with long-time subscriber and frequent poster, Dallas Sharks. He pointed out that Drew Brees and the Saints often have troubles on the road. I responded with some numbers on Brees' home and away stats and that I suspect all QBs have some home-field advantage ...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Offensive Line
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Offensive Line
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 27, 2017 11:37 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Russell Okung (SD from Den) - The Chargers signed Okung to a four-year, $53 million deal, with $25 million guaranteed, according to ESPN's Josina Anderson. Fantasy Analysis: Okung, who represents himself, did a good job of getting himself a fat deal with $25 million gu...
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 27, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
Even if your league doesn't award bonuses for the 300-yard or 100-yard thresholds, the following article, which breaks down all the key skill players and accounts for how often they hit these marks in 2016, is a valuable one. It doesn't merely speak to a player's talent and ability to put up big yar...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Wide Receivers
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Wide Receivers
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 24, 2017 02:13 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Brandin Cooks (acquired by NE from NO) - Weeks of trade rumors culminated in a blockbuster deal, as the Patriots sent their 1st and 3rd-round picks in 2017 to the Saints for Cooks and a 4th, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Fantasy Analysis: Wow. Whenever a young sta...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 24, 2017 10:45 AM EDT
Previously, I wrote about the chances of a running back bouncing back from a workload drop to have a productive fantasy year. I want to use that study to analyze those RBs who saw a big usage decline in 2016 and their prospects in 2017. But first, one thing I didn't cover in the initial article was ...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Tight Ends
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Tight Ends
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 23, 2017 03:13 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Martellus Bennett (GB from NE) - The Packers and Bennett agreed to a three-year, $20.25 million contract, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Fantasy Analysis: The Packers are notoriously stingy in free agency, but they made a rare exception to open up the purse s...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Backs
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Backs
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 23, 2017 10:56 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: A.J. Bouye (CB, signed by Jac from Hou) - Per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, Bouye moves to Jacksonville, forming one of the best CB duos in the league with Jalen Ramsey.  Fantasy Analysis: Bouye held quite the coming out party last season, as a true "shutdown corner." Th...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Linebackers
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Linebackers
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 23, 2017 10:55 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Jelani Jenkins (LB, signed by Oak from Mia) - Jenkins switches coasts as a possible replacement for Malcolm Smith. Fantasy Analysis: Back in 2014, Jenkins was a speedy LB2/LB3, putting up 108 tackles and averaging 7.1 FPG. Since then, he's battled injuries and the inco...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Kickers/Punters
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Kickers/Punters
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, March 21, 2017 01:05 PM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Steven Hauschka (signed by Buf from Sea) - Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, the Bills are signing the former Seahawk Haushcka to a four-year deal worth $12M. Fantasy Analysis: Kicker news! After Buffalo let Dan Carpenter walk, the Bills' elected to make Hauschka the sixth-ric...
Yards Created: Fournette's 2015 and 2016
Yards Created: Fournette's 2015 and 2016
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 01:35 PM EDT
A lot can happen in a year. That's especially true in football. Injuries, scheme/personnel changes, and general talent degradation all work in ways to change year-over-year player performance. After struggling through an ankle injury for all of 2016, Leonard Fournette missed six games and averaged 2...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 11:21 AM EDT
In 2014, Adrian Peterson had 23 touches (carries and catches) after handling the ball 308 times the year before. He came back in 2015 to rank 2nd in points per reception formats. In 2014-2015, DeMarco Murray went from 449 touches to 237. He ended 2016 as the #6 RB for fantasy. These two RBs went fro...
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Line
2017 Player Movement Tracker: Defensive Line
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 10:56 AM EDT
Players acquired by new teams: Connor Barwin (DE/OLB, signed by LAR from Phi) - The veteran pass rusher moves to the West Coast to play for Wade Phillips on a one-year contract, per ESPN's Adam Caplan. Fantasy Analysis: The good news: Barwin will get to play for Phillips, who culled a ton of product...
2017 Free Agency Preview: Quarterbacks
2017 Free Agency Preview: Quarterbacks
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 10:31 AM EDT
Note: Free agency and salary data is from overthecap.com. Unrestricted Free Agents Tony Romo (Dal, 37) – It’s hard not to feel bad for Romo, who has given his body to the Cowboys and still got unseated by a hurricane in rookie QB Dak Prescott. Romo suffered a back injury in his first series of the...

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