Note: Ages are accurate as of midseason 2010.
What’s interesting about this position is how watered down it is. Because so many backfield are utilizing two (even three) players in a rotation, the number of clear studs is low. And while there are more players these days than usual who do have some value now due to a fairly large role, they’re still in situations that prevent major fantasy production. We’ve also seen fewer legitimate developmental prospects at the position and a lot of players who are kind of in limbo, with little long-term potential and even questionable short-term potential.
I’ll start off this section with the (surprisingly few) players who are clearly slam-dunks for those in keeper leagues: Adrian Peterson (Min, 25), Steven Jackson (Stl, 27), Chris Johnson (Ten, 24), Maurice Jones-Drew (Jac, 25), and Ray Rice (Bal, 23).
It's probably a little early to proclaim Ray Rice as a legit fantasy stud for the long-term, but the guy was incredibly impressive in 2009 – and he's very young
These five players are clearly the cream of the crop, and with youth on their side. Rice may not be a legit top-5 overall RB over the next few years, as the [...]
Now that RB Mike Bell is officially an Eagle, it’s time to discuss how the move affects both backfields.
First up, for the Saints, the move is good news for Pierre Thomas. Granted, it’s not a bonanza for Thomas, but it helps. We heard repeatedly last year from league sources that the Saints weren’t comfortable with Thomas as their main power guy, thus the serious emergence of Bell. The Saints do still have Lynell Hamilton at their disposal, and Hamilton appears capable of handling a decent portion of Bell’s power role from last year, at the very least the short-yardage carries inside the five yard line. Thomas isn’t a terrible inside runner, but he’s not big and sturdy enough to consistently do the dirty work inside, so for those in TD-only leagues Hamilton needs to be on the radar. He could score 7-8 TDs this year in this great offense, easily.
So right now it looks like the Saints will roll with Thomas and Reggie Bush carrying probably about 85% of the load. These two are interchangeable in some ways, but Thomas is clearly the better pure runner, with Bush being more of a moveable chess piece. Both guys take some fantasy [...]
It’s been a hectic day. Just after wrapping up the 90-minute podcast with Adam Caplan and Greg Cosell, I went right to the first expert draft of the year. This is for Fantasy Sports Magazine, always the first draft of the year. I won this league last year, and I’m trying to repeat.
The scoring here is very typical, so all you need to know is that it was a PPR league. I drafted 3rd. I’ll list the whole draft in a reply post, and Adam Caplan, who also participated in the draft. But here’s my drafted team in the order in which the players were selected.
Matt Forte – Picking 3rd, I figured he’d be my pick, with AP and MJD going 1-2. Forte was actually the #1 fantasy back in a PPR league last year, and I see no reason why his production won’t be as good or even better with Jay Cutler on the team.
Steve Smith – Not a particularly gutsy or great pick, but I’ve always loved Smith and I’m always [...]
As the draft quickly approaches, we’re trying to bang out as much of the magazine writeups as we possibly can, and I’ve just completed about the top-50 RBs. Of course, the draft will change a lot of things, so it’s hard to rank any player for certain. We have also not yet plugged in projections, which can change things once you see the raw numbers. But I do have some rankings and comments on the top-50 guys now, and I’m pretty comfortable with this list, knowing it’s very early.
So here’s what I got at this early stage.
1. Adrian Peterson, MIN – Has to be top dog this year given youth and talent but more action in the passing game would be nice.
2. Michael Turner, ATL – Carried the load all season with great effectiveness in run-heavy offense and was money near the goal so a no-brainer.
3. Maurice Drew, JAC – Major jump in receptions key for 3rd straight strong season and now he truly carries the load plus Holt will help their shaky team.
4. Matt Forte, CHI – Addition of Cutler should help them move the ball and create more opportunities for the slick and productive runner and receiver.
5. LaDainian [...]
It’s been a few weeks since I broke out my QB Keeper Overviews here, and it’s already time to update them. But before I do that I’m going to try to bang out the other key positions within the next week and catch completely up.
Next up, it’s the RBs.
At first glance, while there is good depth, I notice a little bit of a void when it comes to true studs at the position. So if you’re in a keeper league that retains only 3-4 players, I advise your approach your keepers much like you should have been approaching a standard redraft league the last two years: don’t take a RB just because he’s a RB and take the best players, period. Keep in mind, of course, the pool of attractive options will increase after the draft.
That said about the lack of quality at the top, I’m personally ranking some young guys who I do think are for real very high, even though they’ve really only “done it” for one year.
Let’s take a look at the top guys.
There aren’t many RBs who are clearly their team’s workhorse, so if you have one on your team, and he’s a young stud, then [...]