Initial thoughts on preliminary 2010 projections

In case you missed it, we put up our initial projections on Friday. It’s really early in the game and there’s a ton of uncertainty, but I thought it would make for an interesting post to submit some of the rankings that I’m most intrigued by and offer some reasoning behind them.

I’m sure anyone looking at these projections has some questions or comments, and if you do on any of these players listed below feel free to chime in and I’ll do my best to address them.

Aaron Rodgers at #1 – I think it’s the right thing to do because of his running ability. That’s an element for fantasy he really has over the other elite players at the position. 115 rushes and 9 rushing TDs over the last two years is nothing to sneeze at. And I feel a heck of a lot better about the OL, which was the only concern for Rodgers in 2009. He did get in a funk last year, but after seeing him work himself out of it, he’s now officially elite in my eyes.

Kevin Kolb at #10 – It was a very tough call between and Jay Cutler for that 9th spot. [...]

Plan on drafting Marshall

The Broncos today traded WR Brandon Marshall to the Dolphins for a 2nd round pick in next week’s draft, along with what is reportedly another 2nd round pick in 2011’s draft. Marshall was a restricted free agent until yesterday, when he signed his $2.521 million tender from the Broncos, which facilitated the trade. And today, he signed a massive 4-year, $47.5 million extension with Miami, which included $24 million guaranteed.

It’s always difficult to evaluate any acquisition involving a troubled player or anyone with issues off the field, but if we can assume the Dolphins did as much due diligence as possible and that Marshall’s going to make minimal waves for Bill Parcells and head coach Tony Sparano, this is an excellent move for Miami. Especially since their division rival in New York added wideout Santonio Holmes this week, the Dolphins simply had to find a way to add a legit #1 receiver for their offense, and they certainly did so by bringing Marshall into the fold.

Starting QB Chad Henne is a work in progress, but he has all the tools to be a nice NFL starter for years to come. He has a strong arm, showed the ability last year [...]

QB Keeper Overviews

Note: Ages are accurate as of midseason 2010.

I’m a little behind breaking these out, but I did want to wait until the bulk of the free agent action took place. I’ll be busting my ass to offer similar overviews for RB, WR, and TE in the next 4-5 days. My goal’s to have them all up by next Wednesday, so we can move on to the NFL Draft and our pre-draft rookie stuff.

Here’s my take on the QB landscape for those in keeper leagues:

Given his youth, supporting cast, and what he's shown so far Packer QB Aaron Rodgers is about as appealing as it gets at the QB position for those in keeper leagues

The QB position in the NFL isn’t exactly bursting with young talent, so if you have a stud like Drew Brees (31), Peyton Manning (34), Aaron Rodgers (26), or Philip Rivers (28), then you’re doing really well at this position in your keeper or dynasty league. If you’re in a dynasty league or don’t have any restrictions in terms of the number of years you can keep a player, Rodgers (who will be 27 in December) and Rivers (who will be 29 in December) may [...]

Some Keeper QB and RB Picks

I spent time this weekend updating our Keeper League Rankings, and while doing so I found a good number of players who are kind of jumping off the page right now as keeper values, sleepers, etc. So I figured they would make for a good post. Here’s what I got right now at QB and RB, beyond the obvious.

Trent Edwards (QB, Buf) – Clearly, the addition of Terrell Owens helps a lot for the short-term. You could easily make the argument that Owens and Lee Evans is one of the best three 1-2 punches in the league at WR. Some people think Edwards stinks, but those people either haven’t seen him play much, or are basically clueless. I’m not saying Edwards will be great, or even very good, but what I am saying is that he has the tools and the intangibles to excel. He’s exhibited enough game to lead me to believe that he’ll have a very nice career these next 5-7 years.

Luke McCown (QB, TB) – If the Bucs don’t get Jay Cutler, then we’re looking at McCown being Tampa’s starter in 2009. McCown may be somewhat similar to Aaron Rodgers in that he’s young but experienced in [...]

Quarterback Keeper Overviews (Updated: 2/18/09)

In years past, we would produce these massive keeper overviews, yet I don’t think people even noticed them or if our work (probably 200 hours worth of it) was truly worth it, especially since our regular player previews for the upcoming season, to be released this year in late May, contained much of the same information and analysis. By the time things got busy in June, July, and August, we’re unable to update these massive overviews, anyway, so I’m trying to streamline things a little.

This year, I’m going to try to approach the off-season keeper coverage in this blog, and I’m going to approach it differently. For one, I’m going to approach each position similar to how I approach the Draft Plan, going over the various tiers of players and cover how I view them for the long-term. In addition, I’ll chime in here at least once a week with a keeper thought or two, typically covering a player who is in the news currently. So instead of us spending time writing about Drew Brees and how he’s a desirable keeper, which is beyond the obvious, we’ll have more time to discuss the merits of, say, Kellen [...]

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John Hansen

Specializing in football, Hansen is one of the most connected fantasy writers in the country.

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