The NFL and fantasy landscapes change quickly these days, so if you have a draft strategy, it had better be year-specific. I have already done several mock and real drafts for various publications, and the 2013 trends are pretty clear – so they dominate the following 10 draft tips.
Try to hold off a little before drafting a QB – To summarize the best 2013 draft approach in a word, it’s “patience,” and that specifically applies to the QB position. Just 2-3 years ago, I was all about getting as many impact players as possible, regardless of position, and QB was a big part of that approach. After the passing game bonanza that we saw in 2011, you’d think that I’d be all over the signal-callers as rock-solid early picks. I do still believe in the BPA approach (best player available), and the top QBs are almost always safe and extremely productive options. But in 2013, it doesn’t make nearly as much sense taking a QB early as it did even just one year ago. There are many paths to a championship, and there’s nothing wrong with using a No.1 pick on Aaron Rodgers, or a 2nd-round snag of Drew Brees. [...]
This dynasty league draft continued over the weekend, and I made two ballsy picks, so let me break it down.
In the 4th round, after taking Cam Newton, Adrian Peterson, and Wes Welker to start my draft, I took Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown.
Antonio Brown is an emerging player who could be special very soon
While Brown probably wouldn’t have lasted too much longer, this pick was a bit of a reach, especially since I took him over Marques Colston. Obviously, since this is a dynasty draft, I took Brown with the long-term in mind. The problem I had with Colston is I didn’t feel comfortable banking on him and his problematic knees since I’m already dealing with a serious injury issue with Peterson. Had I not had that injury-related issue, I would have taken the productive Colston, especially since he’s just signed a new deal.
I liked Brown because he’s obviously very young, but he showed flashes of potentially developing into a special player. The numbers may not show that, as he had a catch rate of only 57%, which isn’t great, but 16 yards a catch is pretty good and was right there with Mike Wallace. Brown actually had more targets last [...]