This dynasty league draft continued over the weekend, and I made two ballsy picks, so let me break it down.
In the 4th round, after taking Cam Newton, Adrian Peterson, and Wes Welker to start my draft, I took Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown.
Antonio Brown is an emerging player who could be special very soon
While Brown probably wouldn’t have lasted too much longer, this pick was a bit of a reach, especially since I took him over Marques Colston. Obviously, since this is a dynasty draft, I took Brown with the long-term in mind. The problem I had with Colston is I didn’t feel comfortable banking on him and his problematic knees since I’m already dealing with a serious injury issue with Peterson. Had I not had that injury-related issue, I would have taken the productive Colston, especially since he’s just signed a new deal.
I liked Brown because he’s obviously very young, but he showed flashes of potentially developing into a special player. The numbers may not show that, as he had a catch rate of only 57%, which isn’t great, but 16 yards a catch is pretty good and was right there with Mike Wallace. Brown actually had more targets last [...]
Today it was time for me to make my second pick in this startup Dynasty Draft. Already in this league the young and productive impact players without issues are dwindling down, and with a QB taken in the First Round (Cam Newton), the two young, stud TEs (Graham and Gronk) gone, and a ton of good WRs still on the board, I wanted to lock up a RB I can hang my hat on.
Of course, the RB depth falls off a cliff quickly, even in 2012 redraft leagues this year, so finding a great back even 20 or so picks in isn’t that easy these days.
My choice was down to Matt Forte and Adrian Peterson. Forte would appear to be the safer choice, based on his health, but he’s got some issues for 2012 and for the long-term. The Bears aren’t paying Michael Bush the type of money they are (four-year deal worth $14 million, including $7 million guaranteed) to just be a backup, so I would imagine he will play a lot and cut into Forte’s production. And that’s assuming Forte’s contract impasse doesn’t get very ugly with a long holdout here in 2012. Going forward, I just don’t [...]
Note: Ages are accurate as of midseason 2010.
What’s interesting about this position is how watered down it is. Because so many backfield are utilizing two (even three) players in a rotation, the number of clear studs is low. And while there are more players these days than usual who do have some value now due to a fairly large role, they’re still in situations that prevent major fantasy production. We’ve also seen fewer legitimate developmental prospects at the position and a lot of players who are kind of in limbo, with little long-term potential and even questionable short-term potential.
I’ll start off this section with the (surprisingly few) players who are clearly slam-dunks for those in keeper leagues: Adrian Peterson (Min, 25), Steven Jackson (Stl, 27), Chris Johnson (Ten, 24), Maurice Jones-Drew (Jac, 25), and Ray Rice (Bal, 23).
It's probably a little early to proclaim Ray Rice as a legit fantasy stud for the long-term, but the guy was incredibly impressive in 2009 – and he's very young
These five players are clearly the cream of the crop, and with youth on their side. Rice may not be a legit top-5 overall RB over the next few years, as the [...]
We knew that was coming, so now the question is, where will LaDainian Tomlinson end up? We know he wants to keep playing, so he’ll be in the league. So where do we start?
We start with the good teams because to LT it’s all about the ring.
That’s why I think he’d be willing to accept a complementary role on a good team, and what better player to work behind than Adrian Peterson? That’s right, I think LT in Minnesota would be great for both parties (that is, assuming the Vikes lose Chester Taylor).
If the Vikings lose Chester Taylor, grabbing LT for the 2010 season would make a lot of sense for them.
If the Vikings do lose Taylor, they’ll need a #2 back. They’ll need a guy who can excel in short yardage (check), catch the ball well (check), pass protect (check) and carry the load for a few games if Peterson gets hurt (check). It would be great if that guy didn’t fumble (check). Especially if Brett Favre returns, why wouldn’t LT want to play for the Vikings? He’s all about the ring, and one could argue that if the Vikes had just dropped the ball 5 times and [...]
As the draft quickly approaches, we’re trying to bang out as much of the magazine writeups as we possibly can, and I’ve just completed about the top-50 RBs. Of course, the draft will change a lot of things, so it’s hard to rank any player for certain. We have also not yet plugged in projections, which can change things once you see the raw numbers. But I do have some rankings and comments on the top-50 guys now, and I’m pretty comfortable with this list, knowing it’s very early.
So here’s what I got at this early stage.
1. Adrian Peterson, MIN – Has to be top dog this year given youth and talent but more action in the passing game would be nice.
2. Michael Turner, ATL – Carried the load all season with great effectiveness in run-heavy offense and was money near the goal so a no-brainer.
3. Maurice Drew, JAC – Major jump in receptions key for 3rd straight strong season and now he truly carries the load plus Holt will help their shaky team.
4. Matt Forte, CHI – Addition of Cutler should help them move the ball and create more opportunities for the slick and productive runner and receiver.
5. LaDainian [...]