More often than not, the answers to each upcoming season’s burning questions wind up being important keys to the success of a fantasy draft, so they’re worth exploring in depth. 2014 seems to be a little more straightforward than 2013, but there are still some critical situations that need to be placed under the microscope. Here’s my top-10.
Is it time to pass on Andre Johnson?
The ultimate volume receiver, Johnson’s been in the top-5 in WR targets the last four times he’s played all 16 games, including the last two seasons. And dating back to 2006, Johnson’s recorded 100+ catches every season he’s played 16 games (he’s done it five times, including the last two seasons). But it might be time to let someone else draft him. Johnson is unhappy with his contract, and probably with the direction of the Texans, who are breaking in a new head coach and a
It’s hard to completely write off a future Hall of Famer, but Andre Johnson is certainly looking less appealing than usual in 2014
new QB. A trade is unlikely, since that would cost the team $11.96 million in dead money. He also has three years and $34.5 million left on his [...]
As I hope most subscribers fully comprehend, I am on a never-ending mission to improve FantasyGuru.com as a service. There is no end to this pursuit; it’s a constantly evolving endeavor that for me will only conclude when I’m no longer with the site, which, thanks in large part to the surprise arrival of twins in 2006 for my wife and me, won’t be happening any time soon.
We’re going to put Greg Cosell’s elite knowledge of matchups to more use than ever in 2014.
As we enter our 20th season of publishing, I’m proud of the fact that our subscription price has not gone up in 19 years – and the fact that the service and all it entails is light years away from where it was in the 90s, when my analysis at times was limited to statements like “He’ll be okay.” I happened to notice that line of riveting analysis in a hard-copy newsletter I produced in 1996, and it prompted me to literally LOL.
Full disclosure: I went back and looked at the boxscore from that week and he actually was more than “okay,” rushing for 101/1 and adding 3/71 in the passing game.
The point is that we’ve [...]
If you have not noticed already, we uploaded our initial batch of 2014 projections, so feel free to check them out at your leisure. In 2013, due to popular demand, we switched our default scoring system to PPR, but you can create a custom non-PPR scoring system in about 5 seconds here and simply toggle to your Non-PPR projections whenever you’d like to see non-PPR projections.
Our projections are so much more than the actual yardage/TD numbers for all the skill players, so if you’re a new subscriber or need a refresher, here’s an overview of everything you can get out of viewing our projections.
Custom Cheat Sheet – Whenever we update our projections, it also updates our custom cheat sheet tool, so you can right now print out a 1-page cheat sheet customized to your scoring system (assuming you set one up in MyGuru). There are a ton of options, but keep in mind we also produce in the preseason generic cheat sheets for both positional rankings and top-200 overall for both PPR and Non-PPR. The custom cheat sheet does generate a top-200 for your scoring system, but it goes 100% by projected points, making it QB-heavy at the top. That’s [...]
I am not sure if it is a function of the two extra weeks afforded to us this year with the draft being pushed back on the calendar, but I feel like I have a better handle on things this year at this early stage. I have a lot of thoughts about drafting this year, and I do believe I’ve been influenced by the myriad statistical analysis articles we’ve posted this year (over 20 separate articles already in 2014).
I’ll obviously get to my thoughts out there as we move forward, but there are two things I’m focusing on more than usual this year, and they are:
The schedule – I’ve never studied it more than I have this year. It’s true that we just don’t know how each defense will perform this year, but do we know anything for certain when handicapping the NFL? Not really. We do know some teams will be particularly strong or weak against the run or the pass, and that’s something to hang your hat on. There is more depth than ever at the skill positions, so I believe an advantage can be gained this year by paying more attention to the schedule and the matchups. [...]
I have been working on a massive Post Free Agency Stock Watch, which is aimed at putting all the activity into perspective and conveying to readers how free agency has changed the fantasy landscape for 2014.
I use the word “massive” a lot because it describes most of the articles we do. I really want to continue to try to scale back our word counts because I know it’s usually too much. But on the other hand I insist on covering all the angles I think are important. So it’s a constant battle. For example, the writeup I did today on Montee ball, who is the top RB upgrade on my list.
I don’t think there’s any repetition in this entry, but it is very long, possibly “massive.”
I’m curious as to your thoughts on a writeup like this. Is it too long? I feel it has enough stats to back our endorsement of Ball, but are there too many? Or not enough? If you’re inclined, give me your thoughts below or on twitter (@Fantasy_Guru).
Note: This is actually not yet proofed or edited by anyone but me.
Montee Ball (Den) – The RB position is a young man’s game, yet when you play with [...]