Quick look at 2011′s schedule

As most know, the NFL schedule is out, so it is time to try to break it down from a fantasy perspective. After the draft, I will assign a number grade for each team defense against the run and the pass and compare each team’s schedules using those numbers. While those grades will be tougher to hand out this year and could change somewhat dramatically once free agency occurs, it’s a good way to project strength of schedule rather than going off of last year’s numbers.

However, as I do each year once the schedule comes out, I like to get a look at the schedule based on 2010’s numbers. That exercise may be more viable this year, since teams may not change quite as much personnel-wise given the circumstances with the labor situation. Of course, that factor might be offset by the fact that there are a lot of coaching changes this year (a ton of coordinator changes).

But my sense is SOS may be a little more important this year, so let’s take a look at each team’s schedule and how it looks for QBs (passing) and RBs (rushing). These rankings are for our site default scoring system, which is [...]

Looking at lockout effects for all 32 teams

Today is April 6th, and it is a big day in the NFL. Today is the day the injunction hearing in front of Judge Susan Nelson in Minnesota commences, so we should finally get some news related to this labor strife in the coming days. Granted, we won’t get a resolution, but we’ll get news as soon as this week.

I’ve grown very weary of following all this, but lately I haven’t been all that concerned. I may be misguided, but I’m still 99% convinced there will be a season. To me it’s just a question of how much more of the off-season will be interrupted. Right now, it’s 99% there will be no free agency before the draft, so things have been interrupted already, and significantly so. My initial prediction around the first of the year was that this thing will be settled in mid-to-late May, and that could happen if the players win this first round of the courtroom battle and also win the appeal, which could come down 4-6 weeks after the initial ruling. We’ll see if I’m correct, and no one knows how this thing will play out, but with the off-season already being adversely affected, my [...]

New Upgrade for 2011

As I have stated on this blog in the recent past, we are all still very confident there will be a season, so we are trying our best to proceed as usual. While it is certainly going to be harder to go “big time” with upgrades this year, we do have several cool improvement on the horizon for 2011, and one of them is already completed.

I’ve made it clear this year that I do want to pay more attention to statistical analysis because I do find the league harder to figure out these days, so I think leaning a little more on the numbers can help keep our level of accuracy high. We’re always looking to give readers more information to make the best possible decisions, so I came up with the idea to produce separate projections each week that are 100% tied to the stats, and that’s exactly what we’ve done here.

What you’re looking at here is stat-based projections for Week 17 of the 2010 season. The page defaults to looking at Weeks 1-17 for the numbers. In other words, from Weeks 1-17 in 2010, the Houston Texans gave up 24.16 fantasy points per game to QBs. In Week [...]

A State-of-the-Site Address

On what could be the first of many Monday mornings with no NFL action (outside of the courts), I thought I would chime in here to give readers an update on where we stand as a company.

I’ve said many times over the years that I’m not exactly a businessman. I took zero business classes in college, and while I do regret that now, I’m generally not that interested in business-related things.

However, while the fantasy industry has been re-invented several times and many companies have come and gone, we’re still here doing the exact same things we were doing in 1995 (admittedly, it was basically only me back then). Through 2010, my company has been in business for 16 years, and we’ve grown in each and every one of those years. So I’m doing something right. Yes, I was fortunate enough to grab onto an industry that has been very popular very early on, but over those 16 years there have been many businesses supposedly run by “businessman” that have gone under.

Basically, my approach has been a conservative one. I could have gone for the gusto and gotten in bed with some investor/venture capital people – and I’ve been approached by [...]

Fingers firmly crossed

This past week was a pretty tense week for all of us here at FantasyGuru.com. While we remained convinced the 2011 NFL season, at least in some form, was not  in jeopardy, things were looking quite hairy for a moment there mid-week, and also later in the week.

We’re certainly not out of the woods yet, and we’re trying to resist the urge to assume it’s all going to work out this next week or two, it certainly seems as if enough momentum has been created to get a new CBA done this month, possibly even by the end of this week. But again, the negotiations do still seem fragile and the two sides reportedly still have a lot of work to do, so we have not put the champagne on ice just yet.

I do think there will be a 2011 season, and I’m more confident in that right now than I’ve been all year, but that still has to come to pass. What I’m really hoping for is a quick resolution this month, so we can get rolling with our free agency reviews and NFL draft previews (which we’re going to do regardless of what happens). I just want to [...]

About John Hansen

John Hansen

Specializing in football, Hansen is one of the most connected fantasy writers in the country.

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