May 10, 2012
I did another mock draft last night, this one for Lindys magazine, which will be on newsstands in roughly 6-8 weeks. I cannot post the whole draft, but I can quickly review my picks with some thoughts. As usual, I lost interest toward the end and stopped crossing guys off my list, but it was a pretty solid draft, nevertheless.
This was a 12-team mock, non-PPR, 6 points for rushing/receiving TDs and 4 points for passing TDs. I had the 3rd overall pick.
1st round – I took Ray Rice over LeSean McCoy even though it’s a non-PPR and McCoy scored 20 TDs. I don’t think McCoy comes close to that number this year, whereas Rice scored 15 TDs and had more rushing and receiving yards in 2011.
2nd round – Looking for impact players, I gladly take Jimmy Graham, who I apparently reached for in the previous draft at 12 overall.
3rd round – Still looking for studs, preferably young ones, I took A.J. Green over Michael Vick, who I felt had a chance to slip to me in the 4th (missed him by one pick).
4th round – I don’t want to get pinched at QB, so I grabbed the usually reliable Tony Romo, who is very consistent when he plays. Dallas is looking pretty solid on paper this year.
5th round – I’m not in love with the pick, but it’s hard to argue with Dwayne Bowe in the 5th round of a 12-teamer. The guy was solid with the terrible Tyler Palko starting games for them last year.
6th round – Here’s where I look to steal some values and potential impact players, so I took a tiny bit of a reach with Eric Decker. It’s not a PPR, but he can be a very good red zone threat for Peyton Manning. I continue to be fascinated by the fact that seemingly every time I hear Manning talk this year, he’s saying the name “Eric Decker.”
7th round – I kind of waved the white flag in this round looking for a back I could rely on by taking BenJarvus Green-Ellis (again). He’s clearly going to be the guy unless they bring someone else in capable of pushing him for time, so he was somewhat appealing. But this pick is hardly “Gurrific.” It does help that this is a non-PPR, although I think Law Firm will catch 30-35 balls this year.
8th round – I’ve been holding off on RB in my drafts and now I’ve taken BJGE and Peyton Hillis twice. It’s a non-PPR, but Hillis could certainly be the goal line back for what should be a good offense. I know Hillis went a little crazy last year, but when he was healthy he looked good, and with a one-year deal he has every reason to play well. He should get 200 carries here and some catches. The main problem with holding off on addressing RB is you always have to take some shakier options in the middle rounds. Then again, if one of them comes through, you’re golden. And as I’ve said for years, RB is the easiest position to “fix” on the WW each year.
9th round – Looking for upside, I grab my guy Greg Little, who had his issues last year but all things considered did a solid job after being thrown into a bad situation. This is not a PPR, so his upside may not be great, but I still like him as a potential breakout guy. However, since he has a new rookie QB, a breakout may only happen, say, in the second half of the season. But he’s an ascending player, no doubt, and that’s what I look for in the later rounds.
10th round – Honestly, I’m not crossing guys off my list at this point, so I’m not keeping track as I should. But again, still looking for RBs who have a chance to help me, so I take former 1st round pick Donald Brown, who was definitely improved last year. I’m not high on him this year by any stretch, but he does have a chance. I do think the Colts will have to throw it a ton, and he’s decent in pass pro and can catch the ball.
11th round – I was ready to grab the Niner defense, but I missed them by 1 pick, so I settled for the Green Bay defense. That’s probably not a great idea, to take a defense other than SF before the last 1-2 rounds, but GB’s defense has been pretty solid the last few years, and while they weren’t a great weekly starter last year (but strong overall in terms of scoring), they will be healthier and they’ve addressed their pass rush.
12th Round – Here’s where I’m totally looking for upside, and I was surprised to scan the RB list and see David Wilson still available, so I grabbed him. If he’s ready to play and Ahmad Bradshaw has issues, this is a home run. If he’s ready to play and Bradshaw doesn’t have issues, it’s still a great pick, since Wilson should get 10 touches a game. The question is whether or not he’s truly ready to play, which no one knows. He’s a #1 pick, but if he’s not doing everything he needs to do, he won’t play.
13th round – I passed on a few solid QBs to get Jake Locker. Really, I did so to prove a point. Does anyone think a guy like Joe Flacco is going to net much in a trade? Locker’s certainly a risk, but if he’s in the starting lineup, he’ll likely produce healthy digits on this team, so he could be a great trade option. It’s not crazy to think that if Locker is starting, I might be able to trade Romo for a really nice option at another position.
14th round – I was a little surprised to see Dan Bailey still available with one of the last picks of the draft. He was arguably the best kicker in fantasy last year after David Akers. Through Week 15, he was #2 behind Akers.
Drafting in early May is ridiculous, especially this year, with a ton of situations unsettled and to be determined. But there’s no other choice in the magazine world, and this draft was for a magazine. It’s merely an exercise, and this was a decent one for me. The first three picks were fantastic, and the next three picks were rock solid, but things fell off a little after that. I did finish strong with some nice upside picks late, although the 49er defense would have been huge for this team. Still, in a 12-team league, this is a good starting lineup:
QB: Tony Romo
RB: Ray Rice
RB: BenJarvus Green-Ellis
WR: A.J. Green
WR: Dwayne Bowe
WR: Eric Decker
Flex: Peyton Hillis/Greg Little
TE: Jimmy Graham
PK: Dan Bailey
DT: Green Bay