Apr 18, 2012 0
I do not know what would be a bigger mistake: to place a high priority on strength of schedule or to ignore it. There was a time when it was a huge factor, but with fewer shutdown defenses versus the run and the pass and with fewer “get well” defenses in the league right now, SOS can be an overrated element.
However, SOS is still an element to consider, which is why we’re going to continue to do our best to break down each team’s strength of schedule.
As we know, it’s a pass-happy league, so the numbers are way up, which makes handicapping SOS vs. the pass a bigger challenge than ever. Rushing SOS is easier to decipher, but then you get into all the committees and dual backfields, which complicates matters. But clearly, more stock should be put on rushing SOS analysis than passing SOS analysis.
As usual, I arrive at my projected SOS by assigning a number grade to each defense against the run and the pass. I then average out all the grades for both for all 32 teams and then rank them from lowest grade to highest for both the run and the pass. That’s how I arrive [...]