Aug 28, 2010
Once again, I am sorry for the lack of updates here. I have been going out of my mind keeping up with all the content this month. My goal is to have the site ready every day of this month for anyone who has a draft, so I want the site as up-to-date as possible because I know people are drafting throughout the month. Obviously, we can’t update everything, but this has been our best year in terms of preseason coverage, and the blog has suffered.
But again, we’re covering everything on the site on a daily basis, so everything’s on the site.
But I did want to chime in on one situation: the Jet RBs.
Yes, LaDainian Tomlinson looks REALLY good, but I feel the need to warn people about him. I love the guy, and my interview with the 25-year old LT in 2004 for our magazine is still my favorite interview of all time. However, I feel the need to point something out; just because he looks great it doesn’t mean he’s poised for a big season. Since he clearly looks like he’s 27 or 28 years old this summer, that’s proof that the last 2-3 years he’s been slowed due to injury – and that’s the problem. At his advanced age of 31, and it’s been the case since he was in his late-20s, LT clearly has serious issues with injuries. These aren’t serious injuries, but his body at this point doesn’t appear to be able to handle the rigors of daily wear and tear, and he suffers some sort of malady. So don’t be surprised if he has some issue, and if that issue once again robs him of the explosiveness he seems to have regained.
And here’s another angle. Let’s say the Jets totally recognize what I’ve outlined above and limit LT’s touches, which is exactly what they should do. That won’t likely translate to a ton of fantasy production. We’ll likely move him up a little from #45 on Monday, but that’s about right: LT should be a #4 fantasy RB. I might bump him a little in PPR, but he’s at best a low-end #3 in PPR. We have him for 38 catches as of today, and we’ll probably bump him up to the low-40s in catches. That might be a tad low, but we’re incorporating LT’s long history of injuries with that.
And here’s another factor to consider: Shonn Green’s looked just fine this summer. This guy’s a heck of a power back, and with QB Mark Sanchez continuing to struggle a little, he still needs to be the foundation of this offense. If anything, the LT hype this summer has helped increase Greene’s value, so I’m more than fine with him.