Jul 22, 2010
There are those who think mock drafting is a waste of time, but not me. There is no question I need a few drafts to warm up and get used to the flow and possible directions a draft will be going in, so I highly recommend mock drafting at least 2-3 times before doing the real thing.
Yesterday, I was in New York City for the 1st annual Sirius/XM Fantasy Celebrity league, and I actually went away from my core strategy for 2010, which is not to reach for too many players. I didn’t exactly reach for guys, but I really didn’t get a lot of value with most of my picks. Ultimately, I drafted a ton of really good players, and if things go well I could destroy this league, but I could have done better. Most likely, I would have if I had logged in a few more drafts before yesterday (I have to report this was only my second draft of the year).
I’m not going to list my final eight picks because I didn’t make them (I left the event and the final 8 rounds were done online by someone else to fill out the roster), but here’s what that (non-PPR) team looks like.
QB: Kevin Kolb
RBs: Michael Turner, Felix Jones, Jahvid Best, Montario Hardesty
WRs: Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Jennings, Hines Ward, Johnny Knox
TE: Jermichael Finley
After getting pinched in the 3rd and 4th round by my target players going 1 pick in front of me (DeSean Jackson and Beanie Wells), I kind of went totally into play-to-win mode, which isn’t exactly my plan this year. Maybe I just can’t help myself but to play things aggressively, we’ll see. Jackson going right in front of me really hurt (thanks, Mad Dog Russo) because I was left with Sidney Rice and Roddy White as the obvious picks in the 3rd. Normally, I would have been thrilled with either, but Rice’s hip injury scared me a little, and I didn’t feel comfortable taking two Falcons in the first three rounds, since that’s not exactly a high-flying offense. So I settled on Jennings, which was a bit of a buzzkill. I still like Jennings a lot, though. I guess people forgot he was the 4th best fantasy wideout in the league in 2008 with Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball. Then in the 4th, I got a little pissed off when my target (Wells) went right in front of me again and I threw caution to the wind and took yet another Packer in Finley. I absolutely love Finley, and I was okay taking what I think will be the top-2 passing options in a great offense back-to-back, but I did lose all value with the TE position with the pick, so I’m not sure I’ll do that again. Maurice Jones-Drew in the draft got great value with Brent Celek in the 8th round, for example.
Again, I like the players I took. They’re all mostly exciting, upside oriented guys, but the issue with this team is that I’m kind of hoping too many guys break out. I actually think they all will to an extent, but I normally don’t want to rely on planetary alignment for dominance. I want to get better value for players, and ideally I want to get a few more sure things. The good news is I don’t think this team will be bad by any stretch, and it could easily be dominant.
I get another chance to form a team today, as I’m drafting in the NFL.com Expert league starting at 1pm ET. I’ll be doing a radio show from 2-5, so for a portion of the draft I will be distracted as usual, but I’m sure the results today will be more in line with my overall strategy of letting the values come to me, getting as many sure things as possible, and then taking advantage of the great depth with some savvy upside picks.
I’ll be listing my picks here as quickly as I can starting just after 1pm ET.
1:10: I took Randy Moss 10th overall. I’m thinking his catch totals will be even higher with Welker iffy.
1:15: Already have my stud WR in this PPR,and I love the depth at RB this year, so I took Drew Brees in the 2nd round. Moss and Brees feels nice.
1:30: Wanted to test theory of getting safest picks early w/ D. Clark in 3rd. But upside nature took over, Beanie Wells. Will get catches later.
1:35: Okay, so I did go back to getting best possible sure-things, Antonio Gates in the 4th.
Moss, Brees, Wells, and Gates through 4 in PPR. Good example of getting as many impact players as poss. early, with 1 upside play in Wells.
1:45: Played it safe in the 5th with Hines Ward. It’s a PPR, and I could use catches.
1:50: In the 6th, I like Fred Jackson. I can’t see how he won’t have a pretty large role and will catch passes even with Spiller there.
Okay, sorry, had to do the Sirius/XM show during the draft and got bombarded. I wasn’t able to do much more than pull up guys I like in queue and draft them while doing the show. I did get a bunch of good guys, but I left myself a little thin at RB. I took too many WRs late, as I wasn’t able to follow the draft, and I didn’t get a backup QB, but I like this team.
New Orleans Defense
A lot of good players here, but I made two mistakes while attempting to do a radio show while drafting online.
1. I failed to address RB and took too many WRs, so I’ll have to try to make a trade
2. I didn’t get a backup QB.
QB: Drew Brees
RB: Beanie Wells
WR: Randy Moss
WR: Hines Ward
WR: Johnny Knox
Flex: Steve Slaton
TE: Antonio Gates
PK: David Akers
DT: New Orleans
Sorry, this was such a cluster-F!