Jul 7, 2010
We will update our ADP report with analysis later this week, but for now let’s take a look at some of the key movers and shakers. Those interested can download our latest ADP file in the download section of the site right now, and it includes PPR ADP as well as Average Auction values. We’ll update our ADP report with analysis later this week, but for now let’s take a look at some of the key movers and shakers.
Ryan Mathews (SD) – He’s up over four spots, and people are starting to realize he’s going to get a ton of touches this year. I am concerned about the potential issue with LT Ryan McNeil and of course Vincent Jackson, but I’d still draft him really early.
Cedric Benson (Cin) – He’s only down about four spots, but while his situation doesn’t seem dire, I wouldn’t be surprised if he got suspended 1-2 games. I spoke with NFL Network’s Mike Lombardi this week and he focused on the conduct aspect of Benson’s situation, and even if he’s not convicted of any crime, Roger Goodell could have an issue with the fact that Benson’s even in this boat.
Jahvid Best (Det) – He’s up six spots, as fantasy players are clearly expecting big things. I’m not so sure yet. He’s capable of going off, but I have to see it in the preseason – like I did with Chris Johnson in 2008.
Vincent Jackson (SD) – He’s down 16 spots, and I wonder if he could tumble further. I don’t think Jackson’s a particularly good guy, based on his actions and what I’ve heard about him, so I’m worried about this situation getting really ugly (and yes, I’m miffed that he’s blown us off for interviews for like four years).
Ben Tate (Hou) – He’s up over five spots, which I don’t exactly get. I like the guy’s chances in this system, but I don’t see a ton of upside with Steve Slaton and Arian Foster here. Tate’s a possible flex guy this year, and probably not a great #2. Going in the 5th round is a bit much at this early stage. He hasn’t done a thing yet, and he missed some time in the OTAs with a hamstring.
Jeremy Maclin (Phi) – He’s up seven spots, and that could be because people are realizing this guy can do a lot of different things and will be a major key in Philly this year.
Jay Cutler (Chi) – He’s up eight spots, as the positive vibes in Chicago with Mike Martz are starting to kick in. I’d take those vibes with a grain of salt, and the picks do still scare me, but if he’s healthy he’s going to put up big numbers, no doubt.
Devin Aromashodu (Chi) – He’s up over 10 spots, which doesn’t make a ton of sense, since he’s behind Johnny Knox. Aromashodu should still play a ton from that spot, but he’s going a little too early. We just don’t know if you can count on him early in the season.
Brett Favre (Min) – He’s up four spots, which is better than down four spots. We’re still waiting for an answer on his ’10 status, but I’m really looking forward to Week One, when Favre and the Vikings take on the Saints.
Michael Bush (Oak) – This is a case of the data being raw, but he’s way up 25 spots since our last update. I’ve said for well over a year he needs to be the guy, and I think finally he will be at least utilized consistently and more frequently.
Steve Slaton (Hou) – He’s down nine spots, which doesn’t make sense to me. People must be reading that Foster has been running with the starters, but that means nothing because Slaton wasn’t cleared to practice for the minicamps. I like him as a value pick for depth or as your flex, especially in a PPR.
Donovan McNabb (Phi) – He’s down 10 spots, which is more like it. He should tumble at least behind Carson Palmer eventually.
Malcom Floyd (SD) – He’s up 18 spots, which is very fair for a guy who is looking like possibly the #1 WR for at least over a month in SD.
Carson Palmer (Cin) – He’s down 11 spots, yet Benson’s down only 4-5. We’ll see what happens, but Palmer’s value might be getting even better.
Johnny Knox (Chi) – He’s finally moving up, and since our last ADP update he’s way up almost 30 places. He deserves to be and is still a value at 114.
Chester Taylor (Chi) – He’s up 18 spots, which is good because he was going too low.
Chad Henne (Mia) – He’s another guy going too low, and now things are settling into where they should be, since he was way undervalued. He’s up 20+ spots since our last update in mid-June.
Vince Young (Ten) – He fell a full round from before the news of his little incident hit the ADP arena. That’s fair, since it was a red flag.
Roy Williams and Kevin Walter (Dal and Hou) – Both are down 20 spots, which is probably because both will face some serious competition for their jobs.
Jacoby Jones (Hou) – Speaking of Walter’s competition, Jones is up 10+ spots.
Bernard Scott (Cin) – Only up two spots, which is a surprise. But he could soar 15-20 places if Benson is suspended even 1-2 games.
Those are the guys who jumped out at me, but check out the full ADP update late this week.