May 17, 2010
I’m still pretty busy working on our 2010 player profiles, but this morning I took a moment and checked out Peter King’s first look at his 2010 Power Rankings and I was SHOCKED by some of the placements (Seattle at #11, Carolina at #8, for example). So I figured I’d whip up my own set.
I’ve been studying up on 2010 hardcore style for about six weeks now, and I certainly wasn’t sleeping in February and March, so here’s what I got off the top of my head. I know I’m not going out on any major limbs right now, but that may change once training camps start up.
In the playoffs:
1. IND – Manning’s playing out of his mind now, and his receiving corps should be better. Defense is shaky, but it’s potentially okay.
2. NO – Haven’t lost enough from 2009 to prompt me to expect anything but great things again.
3. MIN – This ranking assumes they have Brett Favre. With Favre, if CB Cedric Griffin makes a speedy recovery, you could make a very strong case for them #1. Without Favre, I’d probably put them at #13. If they have Favre and get Albert Haynesworth, they are #1.
4. GB – Stability here is fantastic, and given how good their offense is and how well they adjusted to Dom Capers’ 3-4 defense last year and how the OL is in better shape, this team could be 13-3 in 2010.
5. BAL – Some secondary issues, but the offense is stacked, and that defense is always somehow pretty damn good.
6. NYJ – Obviously loaded, but I’m not going to buy in totally until we see their chemistry, health, etc. Too many times I see situations that seem to be too good to be true actually be too good to be true. In many ways the Jets in 2010 seem too good to be true.
7. DAL – Certainly a very good team, but the OL is a question and their defense isn’t dominant.
8. NE – Defense should be better and that’s the key, plus Brady should be more comfortable. They do have some receiver issues, of course.
9. SD – Love the offense, but what about the defense? They held up surprisingly well last year, but questions about their ability to stop the run and their secondary looks shaky.
10. PIT – If the stud safety is healthy, the defense will be better but they do still have CB issues. And that situation with the QB.
11. NYG – The defense is extremely talented, and if they can come around and get healthy, this looks like a very good team given how well the passing game did last year.
12. CIN – This is actually a very good team on paper and very well rounded. QB Carson Palmer just has to be the Palmer of old, or close to it. If so, this is a good offense, and the defense is solid.
Note: I know I don’t have an NFC West team in here and one has to make the playoffs.
Right there for playoff spot, but fall just short:
13. PHI – Still very good, but they do have some secondary issues, may not be able to lean on the running game, and Kolb as much as I like him may lose some games for them due to his inexperience.
14. HOU – Great offense, and the front seven is okay. But that secondary looks really weak.
15. MIA – Like what they are doing and like QB Henne a lot. But to me they have questions on the front seven, even with LB Dansby added.
16. TEN – They were better than their record last year, and QB Young does win. There’s enough talent here to seriously compete for a playoff spot.
17. ATL – Quality team, but still not sold on that young defense and the offense has something to prove.
Decent teams, but not ready to make the post season:
18. CHI – Defense should be better and so should the offense. They should be very competitive.
19. SF – Pretty nice team, but QB Alex Smith does limit you a little, and they may be a year away. But great division to be in and that could mean a division title.
20. WAS – Defense should be good, but DT Haynesworth’s issues are a concern. Offense will be better with McNabb.
21. ARI – Should have a good running game and Matt Leinart may not kill them as much as their weak defense does.
22. DEN – To me, they’re a complete mess. If their revamped defensive front falls flat and the (aged) secondary falls short, they could be like 6-10, even in this bad division. Their passing game should stink, and the running game isn’t great. Oh, and all of a sudden they have OL issues.
23. OAK – Competitive in 2009 and now they have a real QB. They won’t make the playoffs, but 8-8 is possible.
24. CAR – Very good OL, running game, and secondary. Very questionable front seven and QB play isn’t stellar. Receiving corps still poor. No way that they seriously challenge for the playoffs.
25. DET – On the rise, but let’s not go crazy. They need a ton of things to fall perfectly in place, but they’ll win 5+ games.
26. JAC – Terrible receiving corps and weak secondary, just like last year.
27. SEA – I think Matt Hasselbeck is done, and their secondary is bad. They also have no pass rush, a shaky OL, lack a go-to back, and their receiving corps is brutal. Otherwise, they’re good to go.
28. KC – This team is on the rise, but they have a ton to prove and I’m not buying it yet. Still have issues on the OL, front seven, and their secondary isn’t strong just yet.
29. CLE – Also on the rise, but only slightly in 2010 and still have a serious QB issue and the receiving corps is awful.
30. TB – I really think the Bucs have something in Raheem Morris, but based on their talent and inexperience, they’re going to lose a lot of games again.
31. STL – Good OL and running game, but the defense isn’t very good, and their QB won’t scare anyone in 2010.
32. BUF – How you don’t address your QB, OL, and WR issues in the offseason – at least one of them – is beyond me.