Aug 8, 2009
I’m trying to stay positive, and I certainly feel good about the site and the content we’re putting out there, but I just have a feeling that 2009 is going to be the year of the Buzz Kill, and we’ve seen seasons like this before.
And what do I mean when I say Buzz Kill?
Well, last year was quite the opposite of a buzz kill year. There were so many intriguing players in good situations – and many of them came through. This year, I don’t see nearly as many, as I’ve stated ad nauseam.
Here’s a good example: I’ve pegged Pierre Thomas as a HUGE key to my 2009 draft plan. That’s great, right? Well the Saints may still sign Edgerrin James. If they do, that’s a MAJOR buzz kill. A massive Buzz Kill. I love Chris Johnson, but I’m now thinking LenDale White will command more carries this year, so that’s something of a buzz kill. I do still think Johnson is very much worthy of a #1 pick because he’s special. I actually kind of like Jason Campbell as a little sleeper this year, but his OL is a major problem – a buzz kill. I love Michael Bush as a sleeper, but Justin Fargas is something of a buzz kill for him. A few weeks ago I liked Torry Holt as the #1 and go-to guy for the Jags, even though I know his best days are behind him. He’s looking sluggish in camp, and I’m pulling back from him despite what is a great situation for fantasy (at least in terms of the number of pass targets and catches). Buzz kill.
That’s basically what I’m taking about, stuff like that. Sometimes, fantasy players need planetary alignment, and asking for it is asking a lot.
In this type of environment, I fully expect fantasy players to be utilizing rent-a-players a lot, so look for that to be prevalent this year. There will be many guys who will be very helpful for fantasy, but not over the courser of a full season, so watch out for that.
The other thing we can do is hop on board the situations that are not in the buzz kill realm. Here are some of them.
The Chargers – I’m seriously thinking Phil Rivers needs to be #4 at QB. I’m about ready to do it – love this team and offense.
The Patriots – Easy call here. Don’t be afraid to draft from this team; they’re going to be great.
The Eagles – A couple of minor injuries in camp, but no real buzz kills. Overall, quite the opposite.
The Bears – So far, so good. I like it. Cutler and Hester going off together in practice, Olsen, even Kevin Jones looking good. There will be an adjustment to Cutler and for Cutler, but I like it.
The Steelers – Getting a good feeling here. Lots of talent on this roster on offense. Willie Parker a value, Holmes a value, and Big Ben will have something to rally around now. I don’t trust him too much, but I like this team again in 2009.
The Saints – Also like this situation overall. Can you imagine if Robert Meachem and Jeremy Shockey really come through this year? Holy chow-dah.
The Titans – Lots of potential here, actually. Think about it: good OL, the QB is solid, and they added speed in Nate Washington, a playmaker in TE Jared Cook, a nice potential #1 down the road in Kenny Brit, and LenDale White is slim and trim. And Johnson is special. There is potential here for sure. Granted, I still don’t love any one receiver, but still.
The Seahawks – I kind of like it, believe it or not. I did not this time last year.
There are some teams on the cusp of being listed, and some teams that are on the other end of the spectrum, and I’ll touch on them in my next post.