Jul 23, 2009
Here’s that follow-up to yesterday’s post with some mis-priced or potentially mis-priced receivers.
Marques Colston – Check his player profile for some reasons to be optimistic on his value in drafts and potential this year.
Braylon Edwards – Again, I think he’s worth the “risk.” You want elite players, game-changers, and Edwards is. If you want to take someone like the slow-ass and far-from-special Jericho Cotchery a couple of rounds later, good luck with that.
Vincent Jackson – He finally added consistency to his repertoire in 2008, and there’s reason to believe he’ll keep that up given his youth, talent, and the play of the QB, with whom he clicks with well.
Anthony Gonzalez – He’s probably not a value but instead he’s a guy who’s draft spot could easily be 1-2 rounds higher in 2010. In this case, you’re targeting a guy who’ll possibly go as low in 2009 as he will for several years to come.
T.J. Houshmandzadeh – Kind of flying under the radar, but should be solid if the QB is healthy.
Eddie Royal – Don’t be surprised if he leads the team in catches this year. I’m hoping Brandon Marshall plays and if he does I think he’ll take the attention from Royal but won’t match the steady and reliable Royal’s production, given Marshall’s issues.
Santonio Holmes – You can’t dispute he’s a quality player, right? On the heels of so-so year, he’s a nice player to target.
Lee Evans – People probably don’t realize how much TO will help him. He’s the deep threat with the fantasy juice, and he’s the guy who has the chemistry with the QB. I realize there may not be a ton of production to go around, but Evans and TO could account for like 70% of their passing production.
Chad Ochocinco – There’s no question he has the talent to go down as a tremendous value in ’09.
Laveranues Coles – Not getting enough love for a guy who could catch 90 balls.
Torry Holt – Again, I think he’ll be surprisingly solid. He’s not the same player, but this slick and savvy route-runner should be targeted a ton, and he can still get open and haul in the rock. Think Derrick Mason last year (22nd best WR) with a little more juice and upside.
Devin Hester – Still probably my favorite breakout guy this year for obvious reasons. A play-to-win pick you can easily get as your #3.
Kevin Walter – Quality player we were on last year, yet he’s not getting a ton of love.
Mark Clayton – With or without Mason, he’s a nice player with a very good QB. The perfect depth guy and bye-week fill-in.
Ted Ginn – I’m not a big believer, but I do recognize his high-end talent and how he’s slowly but surely progressed. It looks like he’ll take a significant step forward this year.
Domenik Hixon – People are sleeping on this guy, but he’s a good bet to open the season as their #1. If he continues to improve, he could keep that role all year.
Miles Austin – One of the better breakout candidates this year, no question. Great opportunity and the tools and talent to be a difference-maker if he can handle the attention.
Mike Walker – A very legit breakout candidate as well; wouldn’t be surprised at all if he finished in the top-30 at WR.
Greg Camarillo – A really nice player for this offense, and he’s looked healthy, so worth a look. Only issue is the presence of Bess, who is solid in his own right. Still, getting absolutely no attention in drafts right now.
Devin Thomas – I certainly don’t expect him to bust out, but it could definitely happen, and if he starts he’ll be a nice guy to have for depth and upside.
Brian Robiskie – Should be a PPR machine from day one.
Josh Morgan – Still in the running to start, and they love him. Eventually, my infatuation with Morgan will be proven correct.
Bobby Engram – The new contract KC gave the QB tells us a lot about what they plan to do: they’ll throw it around plenty, and Engram is a young QB’s best friend.
Mark Bradley – On the same team but with more upside potential. I’ve always stated Bradley has the talent to be a #1 in the NFL if he could ever stay healthy.
Chaz Schilens – Might be a decent little possession guy and might be worth a shot.
Louis Murphy – I like Murphy better due to his upside.
Robert Meachem – He’s a guy who could literally move up 50-60 spots if he has a big summer. I’m in more believe-it-when-I see-it mode than anything, but there’s no question he’s in a great spot and has explosive talent.
Demetrius Williams – Unless Mason comes back and/or they sign a veteran, this is it for Williams. He has to stay healthy and come through or else he’ll be working at a Verizon booth at the mall or something. It’s not inconceivable to envision Williams shocking with top-30 numbers if healthy and starting all year.
Owen Daniels – Once again, he has to be on any list of values. His draft stock has risen the last two years, and rightfully so. But he’s still a nice value. He’s only one of the most talented players at his position, and a huge part of their offense, which is a very good offense. Just 1-2 more TDs for the season and he’s officially a fantasy stud.
Greg Olsen – The best example at the position this year, for sure. No one’s going to take him high, yet he could out-produce Tony Gonzalez, who’ll go 3-4 rounds earlier, at least.
John Carlson – Not exactly getting the love he deserves. I see no reason why he can’t keep the production coming, especially if the QB stays healthy.
Visanthe Shiancoe - Brett Favre struggles a little these days throwing outside the hash marks, so he’s going to be looking for this athletic target a ton. Great upside and value.
Zach Miller – If I told you that you could draft an emerging player who has clearly showed signs of being a high-end guy, is clearly his team’s top receiving target, and who clicks really well with his QB in the 15th round, would you be interested? That’s Miller.
Dustin Keller – The next Dallas Clark should be extremely active for his young QB, who really doesn’t have the arm to test defenses down the field and on the perimeter. So expect Keller to easily finish with top-10 numbers in terms of TE pass targets.
Brent Celek – I’m not 100% on Celek being a breakout guy, but he’s another player it could happen for. They do spread it around and he won’t catch defenses by surprise, but he’s clearly got some juice and overall it’s a nice offense.
Jeremy Shockey – If for no other reason than the fact that fantasy players seem to have written him off, not a bad guy to grab late, especially in a PPR.
Vernon Davis – It’s almost a lock that his career will go down as a disappointment, but he at least has big upside any given week, making him a nice backup option.
Brandon Pettigrew - Might be very solid and he’ll be on the field a ton from day one.