Some topical gut feelings

We’ve been busy finishing up the rest of our 2009 player profiles, working this week on the annual “Contract Year Players” article, and plenty of other side projects, but I thought it was time to make a post that is topical, as opposed to all the expert draft posts.

It’s early, but I’m starting to get some vibes and gut feelings on some things based on deeper research, and some of the news and notes that are out there.

So here’s some stuff to chew on.

It looks like Brett Favre’s going to play for the Vikings, I’d say at this point it’s about 90%, and that may be conservative. If so, I LOVE Vishante Shiancoe. That guy can run, and if Favre’s arm is okay, he’ll be looking for him down the seam a lot, as defenses tend to stick an extra man in the box to stop their running game. He’s also a great red zone threat, and Favre will be looking for him. I think [...]

NFL.com Expert Mock today at 1pm

I’m doing yet another mock draft today, and this one I’m actually going to do well in as opposed to the last one, when I only did “okay” in. The reason I was distracted while drafting this past Friday was because, just when I started to draft, we got an initial shipment of magazines in the office, and Matt Camp and I had to unload a sh&tload of mags and carry them into the building, so I wasn’t paying attention to the draft.

If you ordered a magazine, you should be getting yours some time next week.

I have the 11th pick, so it should be an interesting study on what to do if you’re drafting late in the first. I’m thinking of testing out taking 2 stud WRs with my first two picks and see what I end up with.

I’ll be posting my picks as the draft starts, starting at 1pm ET.

1:30: I’m doing a little experiment, since this is a mock only and it’s a PPR, I’m going to see what I end up with if I go two stud WRs with my first two picks starting out at the #11 hole. The results so far have been pretty decent.

1st: [...]

Expert Mock Draft Today

I’m doing an expert mock draft today for one of the Fanball magazines, available on newsstands this summer. This is a 12-teamer and it’s NOT a PPR league. It’s also a league that gives 6 points per TD pass. It’s a pretty basic setup overall:

Draft: 12 teams, Snake draft, 90 seconds per pick

16 rounds (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 FLEX, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 DEF, 7 bench)

Scoring: Rush/Rec TD= 6 pts., Pass TD=4 pts., 10 yds rushing/rec.= 1 pt., 25 yds. passing= 1 pt., FG= 3 pts., PAT= 1 pt.

Defense: TD= 6 pts., Sack, INT or FF= 1 pt.

I’ll be posting my picks as I make them, starting at 3pm ET.

1st pick, 7th overall – All the good young RBs were gone, so it was between Jackson and LT, I took LaDainian Tomlinson.

2nd pick – Between Barber and Wayne, and I felt the need to secure a stud WR, so I took Reggie Wayne.

4:00: Sorry, something came up during the draft, so I’ll post all my picks. It’s only a mock, so I didn’t pay a lot of attention to it given what came up here in the office.

5:09: Ok, I’m back and the draft is over. [...]

Opportunity, situation, key for 2009 rookie wideouts

I’ve been meaning to chime in on this topic, since it’s been eating at me a little bit after we finished up the magazine. Looking at last year’s mag, our rookie WR rankings for 2008 look pretty bad (Devin Thomas, James Hardy, and Donnie Avery were 1-2-3).

However, if you check out the 2008 preseason homepage and look at the final rookie WR rankings on the site, you’ll see they were quite different (Eddie Royal, DeSean Jackson, and Josh Morgan ranked 1-2-3).

It’s really hard to rank the rookie wideouts in May, June, or even July. This year, the logical #1 choice is Michael Crabtree, and we currently have Jeremy Maclin at #2 simply because we love his ability and his situation. Darrius Heyward-Bey checks in at #3 based on his appealing talent and opportunity, but he’s playing with a shaky QB. But it’s entirely possible that 2-3 different wideouts will make it to the top-3 in our final rookie rankings later this summer, and here are two possible reasons why:

The player surprisingly emerges as a legit starting prospect due to a stellar preseason, like Royal in 2008.
The [...]

2009 Off-Season Report Card

One of the first lessons I learned playing fantasy football is that it’s usually best to draft players from good teams, so I think it’s important to handicap all 32 teams and try to focus on the teams that will have overall success. Otherwise, if your guy’s on a bad team, the potential for ugliness greatly increases, like the Cincinnati Bengals in 2008.

So one key element to preparing for the upcoming season is analyzing each team’s off-season, and that’s what I’ve done below. The following grades are more so for this year, but they do take into consideration what the teams have done for the long-term. I’m also not only talking about the skill players for fantasy, of course.

2009 Off-Season Report Card

Team
Grade
Comments

PHI
A+
Greatly beefed up OL, added top WR in draft, backup RB, may have replaced S Dawkins, added vet CB, improved return game. Even got a FB.

CHI
A-
Didn’t address every need but added an elite QB, upgraded the OL, and added some young WRs, all of which make them an immediate contender.

NYG
B
Thin at S after loss of Butler and did not add a veteran WR but two good prospects [...]

About John Hansen

John Hansen

Specializing in football, Hansen is one of the most connected fantasy writers in the country.

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