Jun 17, 2009
We’ve been busy finishing up the rest of our 2009 player profiles, working this week on the annual “Contract Year Players” article, and plenty of other side projects, but I thought it was time to make a post that is topical, as opposed to all the expert draft posts.
It’s early, but I’m starting to get some vibes and gut feelings on some things based on deeper research, and some of the news and notes that are out there.
So here’s some stuff to chew on.
- It looks like Brett Favre’s going to play for the Vikings, I’d say at this point it’s about 90%, and that may be conservative. If so, I LOVE Vishante Shiancoe. That guy can run, and if Favre’s arm is okay, he’ll be looking for him down the seam a lot, as defenses tend to stick an extra man in the box to stop their running game. He’s also a great red zone threat, and Favre will be looking for him. I think he has the upside to be a top-5 fantasy TE with Favre, easy. This would also be good news for WR Bernard Berrian.
- Right now, I’m avoiding WR Brandon Marshall. If he’s not moved by training camp, I won’t touch him, period. And if he is, that’s a huge blow for the entire Bronco offense, obviously. I’ll be downgrading everyone if that’s the case. However, I like him in Baltimore. It’s a running team, but his production could still be solid, much like Plaxico Burress in New York the last few years. If there’s one QB in the league right now I would favorably compare to Jay Cutler, it’s Joe Flacco. If it’s not Chicago or Baltimore, then it’ll likely be TB, and I’m not in love with that fit when it comes to Marshall’s value. Dallas would be interesting, but I can’t see them pulling that risky trigger. Bottom line, right now, Marshall is to be avoided. If the Ravens do get Marshall, that’s going to be good news for RBs Willis McGahee and Ray Rice, since they will likely utilize fewer power run formations that aim to dictate coverages, which worked best with RB/FB LeRon McClain. It’ll also be a clear sign that they’re ready to open up the offense more for Flacco, who by the way would be a very desirable fantasy backup if he gets Marshall.
- I’m warming up to WR Chad Johnson (I refuse to use the new name). He’s always had the talent, and while he’s frustrating to watch some time and getting older, he’s usually very productive. There’s no question he’s a value right now – but we’ll be watching the vibes in Cincy closely.
- We’ve written how we feel the Bucs will be running an offense very similar to what the Giants have the last few years, which explains in part their interest in WR Plaxico Burress. If they do land Burress, and if he can play 10-12 games for them, or if they get Marshall, you have to be impressed with their arsenal on offense. That would make QB Luke McCown an interesting sleeper. Sorry, I can’t say anything positive about Byron Leftwich, who I completely abandoned several years ago. McCown can sling it, and while he’s very thin, he should be the guy, not Leftwich.
- I actually kind of like the Texans’ signing of QB Rex Grossman. I didn’t trust Dan Orlovsky, so it gives them better depth at the position. Grossman cannot overcome the weaknesses or flaws throughout the rest of his team, but if everything around him is going well, he is still capable of putting up big numbers. I would say his situation on the Texan offense is better than it ever was in Chicago, so I feel better about the key Texan players now that Grossman is in the fold, believe it or not.
That’s about all I have right now off the top of my head. We’re entering the quiet period on the NFL calendar, but things will be going hot and heavy soon enough.