Jun 23, 2008
First up, I have a programming note of sort.
We put up the first of my video reports last night, this one on Brandon Jacobs. These aren’t extremely professional, but they’re getting better. I do these with my son, who plays the music on them and puts them all together. He’s 15, so he really can’t get a “real” job yet, so I’m trying to help him out and give him some work and something resembling some real-world experience. It’s tough, though, since he’s at an age where a kid can be a pain in the ass. It’s not exactly conducive to a productive work environment, a father and son working on a project like this, but hopefully it’ll work out the rest of the year.
On to today’s topic. In case you haven’t noticed, we added a Poll of the Day/Week to the site now (we’ll probably go Day in August, but for now we’ll likely change 2-3 times a week). The first poll was on rookie RBs and who will gain the most yards.
The results have been somewhat predictable. As of right now (11am on 6/23) we have 197 votes. The breakdown is as follows:
Forte, Chi – 81 votes
Stewart, Car – 74 votes
McFadden, Oak – 25 votes
K. Smith, Det – 9 votes
F. Jones, Dal – 4 votes
C. Johnson, Ten – 4 votes
I understand how Forte and Stewart are leading the way, but the player who isn’t getting nearly the love he should is Kevin Smith. I would personally rank them Stewart, Forte, and Smith, but with far less disparity.
It’s well documented that new OC Jim Colleto wants to run the rock 30-40 times per game, and that’s why they drafted Smith. Smith may not be a special player, but he’s a good player and he’s shown in college he can be a major workhorse (again, that’s why they drafted him). And unlike a guy like Stewart, Smith doesn’t have a quality player standing in between him and the lead role.
I’m not trying to influence the voting, but what these results tell me is that Kevin Smith is severely undervalued, and he’s not getting anything close to the love he should be getting as the clear favorite to carry the load for the Lions. I’ve learned my lesson that we can’t assume a shaky player will do well based solely on opportunity, but I think Smith is better than shaky, and in fact I think he’s pretty solid. He’s also apparently a high-character and work ethic guy, which helps. He doesn’t have the greatest o-line in the league, but it’s a decent enough group, and their passing game should be good enough for them to move the ball and get things done on offense.
Smith’s schedule against the run is middle of the pack, but it’s favorable early, so don’t be surprised if he starts off strong. Fantasy teams want to start of strong, of course, so barring a preseason meltdown, I’m going to be targeting Smith as my #3/flex, or maybe even by #2 if I’m loading up on WRs.