Apr 30, 2008
I was wrong on the time, the draft started at 1pm. I’m being very aggressive, taking some chances, and adding as many stud talents as I can, regardless of position. I’m pleased with the results so far. Picking 12th out of 12, here’s what I got:
1st: Marion Barber - Maybe there’s not much upside with the potential RBBC, but no downside, either. I’ll take 12-15 TDs.
2nd: Andre Johnson – Major man-crush on this beast.
3rd: Drew Brees – It’s 6 pts per TD, so QBs are valuable, and wait until you see who went at this position the next 1-2 rnds.
4th: Antonio Gates – Injury is worrisome, but I want as many pure studs as I can and I will go from there.
5th: Calvin Johnson – The best choices were Coles, Galloway, Driver, Santana, etc. In other words, not much upside.
6th: Jonathan Stewart – I’m rolling with upside and explosiveness, so I rolled with Stewart. Hey, Matt Forte went only 4-5 picks later.
7th: DeAngelo Williams – It’s not a perfect draft pick, but things change so quickly in the NFL and it’s so important to have impact players. I’m banking that Stewart is one. If not, I got the other guy, so I own this backfield.
8th: Felix Jones – I needed a WR, but it occurred to me there were soooo many good options. Kind of crazy draft with 4 RBs on 2 teams, but I also own Dallas’ backfield and in a PPR league, I might even start both guys.
Again, things change so quickly, and it’s so hard to draft this early, so I locked up 2 players with the potential to be devastating. If Williams and Jones are not, then that likely means that Barber and Stewart are.
9th: Reggie Brown – I know I’ve been too high on him in the past, but he’s still a starter on a pass-happy team, and his QB will be healthier. Is it possible that Brown puts his game together and emerges as a nice value? Very much so. Worth a shot one pick from the 10th round.
10th: Nate Burleson – Not in love, but it is the 10th and he will start on a team that will throw it a lot. There’s value in a PPR league. Deion Branch may not be ready to open the season and even when he’s ready Branch should start with Burleson with Bobby Engram (who was already off the board when I made this pick) in the slot.
11th: Vincent Jackson – Still looking to add depth at WR, I grabbed Jackson, who was tremendous in the playoffs last year. I understand he’s possibly only the 4th option here, but not a bad #5 WR.
12th: Ray Rice – Getting a lot of rookie RBs, but I love Rice. In a PPR, he could have surprising value, since he has a good chance to see a lot of time on 3rd down as a 3rd down back. Keep in mind Cam Cameron throws to the RBs a ton. He’s also McGahee injury away from starting.
13th: Warrick Dunn – Another depth RB, albeit one with less upside. Dunn could actually see time as a receiver, and he can still play.
14th: GB Packer Defense – I did hold off on a DT here in the 14th Round. The Vikes were gone, the Bears were gone, Chargers, Patriots, all gone. I felt the Packers were the best starter on the board.
15th: Jeff Garcia – I got a little greedy and ignore backup QB, which isn’t a huge problem with the usually durable Drew Brees in. Garcia has no upside, but he’ll be out there most likely all 16 games and he’ll get me 13-15 points when I need him.
16th: Rob Bironas – Had to take a PK, didn’t really care who at this point. But Bironas actually led the NFL with 35 FGs. He did get 8 in one game, but check the numbers: he was amazingly consistent all year.
Thoughts: I wasn’t exactly prepared for this and didn’t pay as close attention to it as I should, which is usually the case this time of the year when I’m doing 10 things at once. I didn’t get a really good backup QB, and right now I’m kind of stuck with my #3 RB. But that will happen when you take only 1 RB with your first 5 picks. But I will go to battle with this team and it’s a strong roster to open a season with. I’ll have to tweak the roster and find a WW gem or two, but so will everyone else. I liked the aggressive approach early, and although I might have done something unwise with the two backup RBs taken early (Williams and Jones), the bottom line is I have a lot of good players on good teams. I don’t see more than 1 guy (Dunn) who might be easy to cut when the WW is opened up. Not bad.
Projected starting lineup:
Jonathan Stewart/DeAngelo Williams (whomever is carrying more of the load, likely Stewart)
Nate Burleson/Vincent Jackson
Green Bay Packer Defense.
(Plus DeAngelo Williams and Vincent Jackson)