First Draft Underway

I was wrong on the time, the draft started at 1pm. I’m being very aggressive, taking some chances, and adding as many stud talents as I can, regardless of position. I’m pleased with the results so far. Picking 12th out of 12, here’s what I got:

1st: Marion Barber – Maybe there’s not much upside with the potential RBBC, but no downside, either. I’ll take 12-15 TDs.

2nd: Andre Johnson – Major man-crush on this beast.

3rd: Drew Brees – It’s 6 pts per TD, so QBs are valuable, and wait until you see who went at this position the next 1-2 rnds.

4th: Antonio Gates – Injury is worrisome, but I want as many pure studs as I can and I will go from there.

5th: Calvin Johnson – The best choices were Coles, Galloway, Driver, Santana, etc. In other words, not much upside.

6th: Jonathan Stewart – I’m rolling with upside and explosiveness, so I rolled with Stewart. Hey, Matt Forte went only 4-5 picks later.

7th: DeAngelo Williams – It’s not a perfect draft pick, but things change so quickly in the NFL and it’s so important to have impact players. I’m banking that Stewart is one. If not, I got the other guy, [...]

(Quarter) Backed into a Corner

I have my first expert draft of the season today, for Fantasy Sports Magazine, and I’m having some issues with my first two picks and who to take. I’m picking last, 12th overall, so I get the double pick. It’s tough because QB Tom Brady makes a lot of sense if he’s there for me, yet in these expert leagues the quarterbacks usually go later than your average draft, so it’s hard to stomach taking a QB this early, even Brady.

Still, there’s unusual depth at RB this year, and given that fact that there will be tons of opportunities to grab a big-time producer or two late or even on the WW, Brady is hard to pass up.And given how many RBs disappointed last year, there’s a lot to be said for getting a stud with no downside, and that describes Brady. His TD and yardage totals will go way down, but 35+ TDs should be a lock. That’s about as safe as a draft pick as there is, so I might pull the trigger on Brady if he’s there at 12 overall. He might not be, though, and I get the feeling I’ll be faced with a tough [...]

The Pick is in on this year’s Top Defense

As everyone in this industry, including us, is working on preliminary 2008 player and team projections, it seems that it’s wide open as to which team deserves the #1 ranking for defensive teams.

But to me, it’s a pretty easy call: the Minnesota Vikings.

Last year was a big year for DT/ST touchdowns, as four teams had eight of them, and several more were in the 5-6 range. The Vikings, however, had an amazing eight defensive scores, to go along with a special team touchdown, so they led the league with 9 DT/ST TDs.

This is a defense that struggled in the secondary for most of the year, but the deeper we got into the season the better they performed on the back end. Through their first eight games, for example, they were the 7th worst defense in (fantasy) points allowed to QBs, yet a few weeks later they were basically middle of the pack, and they were the 12th best in the league their final five games.

I honestly can’t say for sure that CBs Cedric Griffin and Marcus McCauley will be very good corners, but they might be, and it’s fair to say that Griffin, McCauley, and Antoine [...]

Draft’s First Round Features Surprises

As the first round is coming to a conclusion, the backfield committees in the NFL are getting worse.

I wrote yesterday about the guys currently in the league who could see their draft stock drop based on the players their teams took, and we’ve seen plenty. In fact, my top guy DeAngelo Williams has seen his stock fall pretty far. I had a sneaky suspicion the team was going to take a higher-end back, and Jonathan Stewart’s almost as high as it gets in this class. Clearly, the Panthers don’t trust Williams and they want to roll with a more smashmouth running game. This is a training camp battle, and it’s likely a committee situation all year with Stewart, if 100% the favorite to be the 1st and 2nd down back. The Panthers also aggressively traded back up into the 1st round and helped their unstable o-line and took T Jeff Otah.

We saw Felix Jones go to the Cowboys, as expected. Marion Barber’s value is pretty secure, since Jones will be a guy who’ll give them some speed to corner, and who’ll be more of a complementary player, albeit a deadly one. Dallas’ offense is pretty damn [...]

Remember Chester Taylor last Draft Day

At 1pm eastern on Saturday, April 28th 2007, Viking RB Chester Taylor was a strong fantasy option and a solid keeper league back. By 3pm that day, he wasn’t very attractive for 2007 and even less attractive for the long-term, and you know why.

We always focus on the players who are selected in the NFL draft, but as important are the players already on NFL rosters; sometimes incumbent starters are greatly affected by their team’s additions. Fantasy fortunes may not be lost this weekend, but the values of several players who are seemingly attractive right now will definitely take a hit, so here’s a look at some guys who might see their stock drop this weekend.

DeAngelo Williams – In some ways, his fantasy value this year is hanging in the balance this weekend. The team added LaBrandon Toefield, but he’s not a big threat. But if the Panthers use an early pick on a back such as Matt Forte (or especially a better prospect), then Williams will be a shaky fantasy pick this year.

Cedric Benson – It’s a deep group of RBs, so the Bears will be able to get a solid option in the middle [...]

About John Hansen

John Hansen

Specializing in football, Hansen is one of the most connected fantasy writers in the country.

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