In about a week, the regular season begins, and so does the process of me being wrong in 2007.
I will be wrong many times, it is unavoidable. But after doing some final tweaks to the rankings today, I feel good about them. There were a few guys who were bothering me as we go down the wire here in the preseason. Ronnie Brown, for one. I know Cam Cameron is talking up Jesse Chatman purely as motivated for Brown, but that certainly doesn’t bode well. I moved Brown a tad, although he comes out above MJD because of the alphabet. But if you look, you’ll see Brown has the downside to finish lower and MJD the upside to finish higher. It’s a tough call because Brown will be the workhorse, and MJD really has to take full advantage of every touch he gets, or else he could come up small. On the other hand, Brown has been shaky and MJD great.
Antother one that is really bothering me is Julius Jones and Marion Barber. I have had Jones higher all summer, but they have crept toward one another and are now neck-and-neck. I love Barber, but I can’t get past the [...]
I officially have sympathy for those forced to partake in drafts where a) the players don’t know what they’e doing b) the computer picks for them or c) both.
I finally did the teenager draft I talked about a week or so ago. We had the 8th pick in a 12-teamer, and of course it was only 14 rounds so some great players were left on the board. I couldn’t imagine having to account for some bad picks and most especially for the fact that many players were being picked on auto pilot, but now I can. That meant having to take Tony Romo in the 5th just because we had to get a good option, and being forced to take the Ravens D in the 7th (granted, this league was *very* heavy on defense and points and yardage allowed.
Man, this was annoying, but here’s how the draft went.
1 – Willie Parker
2 – Laurence Maroney – Took him over Henry because I knew I could get Sammy Morris. Of course I didn’t because it was only 14 rounds and it was take Morris or like Jerious Norwood. If I could do it over I would take Steve Smith or Chad Johnson because [...]
As we updated our players to avoid article this week, I took a look at the receivers, and it’s definitely a motley crew. There are definitely some bad vibes surrounding some bigger name receivers, so let’s take another look.
Plaxico Burress – He’s been on the list to avoid from day one, and the vibes keep getting worse. I would expect him to be ready for Week One, but I’m not touching him. He’s been out or limited all summer, and now he has the lingering back issue popping up again this week. In between the back and ankle issues, he had the flu last week. None for me, thanks.
Chris Chambers – He’s been on the list for weeks, and now he’s the subject of trade rumors. I keep saying it over and over again: Ted Ginn is an elite talent. Chambers is never going to be a top-end receiver, and the Dolphins know that. I wouldn’t take him if he offered to mow my lawn for taking him.
Torry Holt - He made it on the list this week. His knee issue is lingering. I think Holt will play through the issue all year, as he basically did last year. But between the knee and the new toys for Marc Bulger, [...]
I literally cannot feel my fingers right now I’ve been typing so much, so you’ll have to excuse the lack of action here. As you may have surmised by now, the hotter and heavier it gets on the Web site, the less I will be popping in here, but I will be popping in as things pop into my head.
To give you an update on the teenager draft, it hasn’t happened yet. Damn kids can’t get their act together. As soon as it does, I’ll post the results. I’m thinking they’re not hip to the Bernard Berrian’s of the world, so I should stomp them like a nark at a biker rally.
If you go way back to I think February, you’ll find a post I made about how I think 2007 will be Carson Palmer and Chad Johnson’s best year together. This will be their career year as a duo. I’m still thinking that, but their O-Line issues scare me a little. I still do have Steve Smith ahead of Johnson, but it’s very, very close, obviously. I would not argue with taking CJ over SS, although I would not in a PPR league.
I’m going to leave Smith #1, though. [...]
As readers probably know, I am really “feeling” Bo Scaife this year. We’ve been right on a lot of TEs over the years, but we’ve also been wrong. Usually, when we’re wrong, it’s because we become enthralled with a player’s jaw-dropping athletic ability. Ben Troupe would be the best example. Troupe, as we’ve seen, simply can’t stay healthy.
The difference between Scaife and Troupe is that we’re not high on Scaife’s athletic ability, although he is a solid athlete. With Scaife, it’s all about his production, and the guy produces. It’s also about his situation, and it’s crystal clear he will be a huge part of this offense, if not Vince Young’s go-to guy.
So as of right now, I’m ok ranking Scaife #12 at TE. That’s a fantasy starter in a 12-team league, but what’s so attractive is you can get him ridiculously cheap, although his stock should be rising now after another good preseason game this weeekend.