Jul 3, 2007
We got this question recently, and I thought it would make for a good topic today, since all there is to talk about in the NFL these days is Tank Johnson, Trent Green’s scrambled eggs, and that moron Daunte Culpepper’s hearing.
Speaking of Johnson, have you ever seen so much coverage for such an average player? Johnson’s a nice guy to have around, sure, but he’s no superstar, far from it. People ask me how I can still have the Bear D #1 this year with Johnson gone. Yes, I will be moving them if LB Lance Briggs isn’t in the lineup, but let’s not forget that Tommie Harris is the stud DT here, and he’ll be back healthy (as will key S Mike Brown).
Here’s the question: Q: Where’s the “cut-off” in the Second Round when you suggest shifting from RB’s to the top-tier W’s? Many of us have late-round draft slots, and a decision will need to be made as to which RB is “the last one worth taking” before instead taking someone like Holt / S. Smith / C. Johnson. Of course, PPR would have to be considered, but could you possibly address this question?
A: PPR would definitely have to be considered. My point with mentioning this cut-off is I don’t want to take a shaky RB in the second round just because he’s a RB. A stud is a stud, and you want as many as possible in such an unstable environment. If you take Edgerrin James in the 2nd, I’m not sure you’re taking a stud, whereas I know if you are if you take Torry Holt.
So where is that cut-off, that point at which I will move away from the RB position and look at a WR? In a PPR league, it might be as high as #11, right after Willie Parker and right before Rudi Johnson and Peyton Manning. I’d have to think long and hard about Laurence Maroney in this format. I would probably take a chance on him because he should catch a fair number of passes.
So in a PPR league, I’m probably taking these guys:
And then I’m going to look at Chad Johnson, who I love this year, and Steve Smith.
In a non-PPR league, the WRs aren’t as valuable, obviously, so I’ll dip a little deeper at RB. The question, of course, is how deep. Right now I’m at about Clinton Portis. I feel good enough about his history to take a chance on him, and I’m confident enough in Ronnie Brown, bad line and all, to use a #2 pick on him. So in a non-PPL, here are the backs I’m definitely taking before I move over to WR.
The fringe guys are Willis McGahee and Cedric Benson, and maybe Maurice Jones-Drew. I’m sure as hell not taking Edge over a clear stud at WR. For full disclosure, these are my “pure studs”
On the fringe guys, the direction I go depends on many factors. If I feel the need to go for the gusto or have the confidence to, I may roll with Benson. If I feel like I can still get some quality wideouts, I may take the relatively safe route and get McGahee. Drew would be more of an upside guy as well.
The good news, if I do go wideout, is that I’ll likely be getting that stud right before a serious run on the position takes place. So when it’s time for my 3rd and/or 4th pick, I’ll probably still have a chance to take a good back. Here are the guys I would be targeting if I used that #2 pick on a WR.
And if need be:
I hope everyone has a good holiday tomorrow. Before I go, I have a question for you: Was this past weekend the “holiday weekend” or is it this coming weekend? Since last weekend’s in our rearview mirror, let’s make it this weekend, ok?