Don’t be so fast to draft Willie

I was a Willie Parker believer last year, and I think we ranked him as high or higher than everyone else in 2006 (I believe we had him 12-13 at the position). He obviously came through, but I think the guy has some flaws that could come to the surface this year.

Here are some stat notes on Parker compiled by our Mike Horn:

5th in standard scoring and 100-yard games (7).  Tied for 3rd in TDs (16).  6th in rushing yards (1494) – but 5th among RBs who return to the league (Tiki Barber having retired).  Parker had a fabulous year.  He had three flaws:  fumbles, lack of involvement in the passing game, and Baltimore.  He averaged 3.3 fantasy points/game against the Ravens and 18.6 against everyone else.  He tied with Frank Gore for the lead in RB fumbles (7), losing the ball about once per 50 touches.  And he was 23rd among RBs in pass targets.  His big problem was on 3rd down – he caught three passes.  He had 28 receptions on 1st and 2nd downs.  If the new staff gets him involved on 3rd down, he could add to his total of 31 receptions.  But if [...]

The Google Alert

Hey Gang,

The “Genetics vs. Environment” debate I promised is coming this weekend (I promise), but I thought I would leave you with a quick thought on an extrememly useful tool in dynasty, The Google Alert.

If you go to Google and type in a player’s name in quotes, and then hit ‘News’ it will provide all the stories on that player in whatever time parameters you wish. Then, usually at the bottom of Page One it will ask if you would like to create a Google Alert on that subject.

By clicking yes, you can get a daily e-mail on the player that will link you to stories, blogs, message board commentary, etc. Then simply add more players as you see fit.

I find this extremely useful in gathering information on promising rookies I’m unfamilar with and for the latest thoughts on players I’m interesting in acquiring or moving via trades.

I’ll gather a few of the better stories that showcase the thoughts of experts, league insiders, etc. on players that I’m wanting to move and make a presentation via e-mail to other owners. The words of a league insider carry much more weight [...]

McNabb’s Pain

I wrote yesterday about a very tough decision on RB Shaun Alexander, and I have an equally-tough player to talk about today: Donovan McNabb.

I found it interesting to see him break his media silence this week and being interviewed on NFL Network courtesy of Comcast Sportsnet in Philadelphia. I work for Comcast Sportsnet in Philly and I have had discussions with people there who are close to McNabb and the feeling that I always got was that Donovan STILL doesn’t forgive the fans who booed him when he was drafted over Ricky Williams in 1999. I even heard that the one dude with the face paint that they always show in the clip on TV even tried to reach out to McNabb to apologize – and that McNabb blew him off.

On one hand, I really can’t blame McNabb for harboring ill feelings because the fans were obviously stupid to boo the pick. I felt that way back then, and I certainly do now. Philly fans are notorious for a lot of things, but one thing people might not realize outside the area is that they are extremely uninformed when it comes to the rest of the league (other than the wise [...]

Alexander sparks a fantasy controversy

“I don’t even want to get another X-ray until after this camp.” 

“If the X-ray shows it’s still cracked, it’s like, OK, what does that mean?’ ”

The preceding was brought to you this week by one Shaun Alexander, and he certainly sparked a lot of thoughts and speculation as it relates to his fantasy value.

Alexander went on to say that they’ll X-ray to see if the crack it closed, but that he feels good. It’s a good sign that was participating normally in the first minicamp of the season this past weekend and early this week. So unless we hear some bad news these next 4-6 weeks, I’m going to assume Alexander will be ok.

But it’s a good time to throw out some thoughts on Alexander. He’s a tough one to deal with because he’s been so damn productive. What I mean by that is, what if his TD numbers are down 50% from his last complete season, 2005? That would be falling off a cliff for most players, but for Alexander it would mean he’d score “only” 14 TDs in 2007. That’s the issue; if his production falls way off this year he’ll still be a very productive fantasy option, so he’s hard to rank too low. I’m currently projecting [...]

Quick Hits

2007 Subscribers take note: We posted our initial batch of offensive player rankings & projections.

I mentioned in my last post how we had one of the best NFL scouts/analysts/minds in our office on Friday. We do this each year as a prep for the magazine and the upcoming season. I have my opinions on all the players, but this individual is privvy to a lot more information than I am, and he’s broken down a ton of coaches tape, so he sees a lot more than I do. So after talking to him for a day and getting more information on players, my opinions on some of them can change.

Our guy is more of a passing game guy, so here are a few things that stick out to me from our coversations on Friday:

There should be some inconsistency with the Patriot passing offense because their scheme does not fit with WRs Randy Moss and Donte Stallworth. Sure, they will likely adjust that scheme and go downfield more, but I still think consistency will be an issue because neither one of these receivers does much in the middle of the field in the intermediate passing game.
I have to be a little cautious on [...]

About John Hansen

John Hansen

Specializing in football, Hansen is one of the most connected fantasy writers in the country.

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