The QB Plan

I’m heavily in magazine mode right now, so I’ll be throwing out tidbits from this year’s publication for the blog this week. Today’s installment is from the “Draft Plan” article I finished over the weekend. This is not the massive DP that we’ll produce later in the summer, but it’s a nice position-by-position overview of my plan of action.

The Quarterback Plan
   There was a time, and it wasn’t long ago, when I preached holding off on your QB until the middle rounds, but the supply and demand of the current marketplace has caused me to adjust my thinking. It’s true there were a few players at the position who were undervalued and/or surprised last year, but there was also a ton of mediocrity. In such an unstable NFL environment, there’s a lot to be said for having a consistent and stable producer at the top of your lineup. But ironically, I don’t want the most consistent or stable one of all: Peyton Manning. I don’t want Manning because he costs too much. For one, I have to take a RB with my first pick, so that probably removes me from the Manning sweepstakes in some leagues. I also want a stud [...]

The Dynasty Dilema: Talent Versus Situation

Hey Gang,

Apologies for the tardiness in posting this, my “Floyd the Barber manifesto” on managerial style in keeper / dynasty leagues. � Better late than never, I suppose, but here goes.

To point, I almost always value situation over raw talent, regardless of format.

The NFL is a league dominated by systems – the West Coast offense, the Zone Blocking offense, the Cover-2 defense, the Zone Blitz defense and the like. Trying to understand which offensive systems tend to create stud players at various positions is critical.

Some of this is obvious. � For example, who wouldn’t rather take a shot on an unknown Denver running back than one say, in Cleveland? Or on an Indy wideout than one in Kansas City? Why? The track record.

The RB success in Denver can be directly linked to former line coach Alex Gibbs creating the Zone Blocking style of line play. � Now a dozen teams are copying them. � And thanks to HC Mike Shanahan, the Broncos are also a West Coast offense making them an attractive and proven breeding ground for quarterbacks, wideouts and tight ends.

It’s all about the system a team chooses to run and the success they have in incorporating it.

So, let’s [...]

Yet another “Expert” Draft

I did yet another Expert Draft last night, and I’m here today to give you the results. I will analyze the three drafted posted here in more detail once we’re done with the magazine.This draft was for Fantasy Football Pro Forecast Magazine. Last year, I was the runner-up of this league, losing in the Championship Game in a pretty close matchup.I know it always seems like I have an early pick (I did not earlier this week in our own magazine’s draft). I do, for reason, but I’m not exactly glad about that.

Here’s the draft:

Round One
William Del Pilar 1 1 Tomlinson LaDainian RB
John Hansen 1 2 Jackson Steven RB
Ryan Houston 1 3 Johnson Larry RB
Adam Caplan 1 4 Gore Frank RB
Bob Harris 1 5 Alexander Shaun RB
Nick Bakay 1 6 Addai Joseph RB
Lenny Pappano 1 7 Parker Willie RB
Jamey Eisenberg 1 8 Westbrook Brian RB
Brandon Funston 1 9 Johnson Rudi RB
Jim Lenz 1 10 McGahee Willis RB
Todd Ullman 1 11 Brown Ronnie RB
Roger Rotter 1 12 Henry Travis RB 

I felt better about taking Jackson 2nd here, especially since I already have Johnson in one league and don’t want to get too heavily invested in him.

Round Two
Roger Rotter 2 1 Maroney Laurence RB
Todd Ullman 2 2 Smith Steve WR
Jim Lenz 2 3 Jones Thomas RB
Brandon Funston 2 4 Manning Peyton QB
Jamey Eisenberg 2 5 Bush Reggie RB
Lenny Pappano 2 6 Portis Clinton RB
Nick Bakay 2 7 Jones-Drew Maurice RB
Bob Harris 2 8 Lynch Marshawn RB
Adam Caplan 2 9 Benson Cedric RB
Ryan Houston 2 10 Holt Torry WR
John Hansen 2 11 Johnson Chad WR
William Del Pilar 2 12 James Edgerrin RB

In this league, you can start only 2 RBs, and that devalues them. It was best-player-on-the-board time, and I was happy to get my #1 ranked WR.

Round Three
William Del Pilar 3 1 McAllister Deuce RB
John Hansen 3 2 Harrison Marvin WR
Ryan Houston 3 3 Fitzgerald Larry WR
Adam Caplan 3 4 Williams Roy WR
Bob Harris 3 5 Wayne Reggie WR
Nick Bakay 3 6 Owens Terrell WR
Lenny Pappano 3 7 Moss Randy WR
Jamey Eisenberg 3 8 Boldin Anquan WR
Brandon Funston 3 9 Jacobs Brandon RB
Jim Lenz 3 10 Gates Antonio TE
Todd Ullman 3 11 Houshmandzadeh T.J. WR
Roger Rotter 3 12 Walker Javon WR

I’m still in best-player-on-the-board mode and none of the remaining RBs excite [...]

FantasyGuru.com Magazine Expert Draft Today

I have another expert league draft today, and it’s for our own magazine. This is the 5th year of the league. The first two years I was the top team entering the playoffs. The third year I was ok as the #2 team in points. Last year, I was middle of the pack. So over the last two years, this has been my worst league.

I’ll be tracking my picks here. The draft starts at 1pm ET. I have the 10th pick, which I like because I’ll definitely get two good backs and I won’t have to make a decision on Peyton Manning late in the 2nd round as I typically do in these leagues when drafting at the top of round one.

My plan in this draft is pretty simple, and I’m already convinved it’s THE plan of action this year.

1. Try to hold off on my QB, although Carson Palmer will be tough to pass up with my 4th pick if he’s still there. I also want to make sure I get a very good one who is almost assured to have a good year. Otherwise, I’ll have to wait longer and target Jon Kitna or even longer for Jay Cutler.

2. Resist the temptation to [...]

Don’t discount Julius just yet

** SOPRANOS SPOILER AHEAD **  

Regular readers will have to bear with me these next few weeks in terms of this blog because I’m completely buried with the magazine and I have a ton of personal stuff going on. My oldest son is wrapping up his first year in High School, which is 40 minutes away, playing baseball for the HS team and also for our town’s Babe Ruth team. My other son plays little league (I’m one of his coaches), takes piano, is in school band, and goes to art classes. Oh, and we have 14 month twins to deal with and we’re building a massive addition to our 5-year old house to accommodate them.

I’m also trying to deal with the shock of Christopher Moltisanti dying last night on Sopranos and especially how he died.

But I do have enough time to chime in on Julius Jones, the Cowboy back who has been a disappointment the last two years. I like Jones, but last year I was more inclined to tell people to target Marion Barber. That was the way to go, obviously, but I’m thinking now that the opposite may be true in 2007. One of the reasons I [...]

About John Hansen

John Hansen

Specializing in football, Hansen is one of the most connected fantasy writers in the country.

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