First Expert Draft of the Season

The fantasy season is officially underway because I’m drafting in my first expert league today, in about 20 minutes exactly (I’m writing this at 12:42 pm ET).

I have the 3rd pick, and I’m actually hoping I do NOT have to take RB Larry Johnson. I’d rather have Steven Jackson at this point, but I have decided to take LJ if the draft starts off with LT and SJ. We’ll see what happens. I will be logging my picks with some analysis as the draft progresses.

1:07: As I expected, it went LT and SJ, so I took Johnson. Had to do it, this is only 1/2 pt per catch. First draft of the season, first pick, first tough call. It’s shaping up to be an annoying season already!

1:12: Here’s the first round:

Round 1
12 Matt Pitzer Brian Westbrook (RB PHI)
11 Peter Schoenke Laurence Maroney (RB NE)
10 Adam Caplan Ronnie Brown (RB MIA)
9 Eric Karabell Peyton Manning (QB IND)
8 Andy Behrens Rudi Johnson (RB CIN)
7 Mike Fabiano Willie Parker (RB PIT)
6 William Del Pilar Frank Gore (RB SF)
5 Matt Berry Joseph Addai (RB IND)
4 Tom Kessenich Shaun Alexander (RB SEA)
3 John Hansen Larry Johnson (RB KC)
2 Dave Richard Steven Jackson (RB STL)
1 Greg Ambrosius LaDainian Tomlinson (RB SD)

1:37: Ok, there was a technical issue that delayed. When it came back to me, there was skank at RB, so I took the best player available: WR Steve Smith.

Here’s the second round:

Round 2
24 Greg Ambrosius Thomas Jones (RB NYJ)
23 Dave Richard Deuce McAllister (RB NO)
22 John Hansen Steve Smith (WR CAR)
21 Tom Kessenich Chad Johnson (WR CIN)
20 Matt Berry Ahman Green (RB HOU)
19 William Del Pilar Edgerrin James (RB ARI)
18 Mike Fabiano Maurice Jones-Drew (RB JAC)
17 Andy Behrens Cedric Benson (RB CHI)
16 Eric Karabell Willis McGahee (RB BAL)
15 Adam Caplan Clinton Portis (RB WAS)
14 Peter Schoenke Reggie Bush (RB NO)
13 Matt Pitzer Travis Henry (RB DEN)

1:44: Guys are making questionable picks with shaky players this high like Brandon Jacobs, Deuce, even Randy Moss. Meanwhile, I’m still not pleased with the RBs, and with the true studs at any position going fast, I had to grab another one: Carson Palmer.

I don’t know about you, but I’ll  gladly go to war with Larry Johnson, Steve Smith, and Carson Palmer this year.

Here’s the next round:

Round 3
36 Matt Pitzer Marc Bulger (QB STL)
35 Peter Schoenke Javon Walker (WR DEN)
34 Adam Caplan Tom Brady (QB NE)
33 Eric Karabell Reggie Wayne (WR IND)
32 Andy Behrens Randy Moss (WR OAK)
31 Mike Fabiano Larry Fitzgerald (WR ARI)
30 William Del Pilar Cadillac Williams (RB TB)
29 Matt Berry Torry Holt (WR STL)
28 Tom Kessenich Brandon Jacobs (RB NYG)
27 John Hansen Carson Palmer (QB CIN)
26 Dave Richard Marvin Harrison (WR IND)
25 Greg Ambrosius Terrell Owens (WR DAL)

1:57
: OK, we’re moving along here now, and I continue to make play-to-win picks. I want explosive fantasy players, or at least those with the potential to be. I probably paid a little too much for him, but the upside is very nice and the RBs were garbage: DeAngelo Williams. The Panthers should cut Deshaun Foster because he’s pretty worthless. Keep in mind I took a big chance and passed on Antonio Gates. That seems insane, but I needed a RB badly, have a couple of TEs I like later, and I usually do best drafting TEs later.  

Round 4
48 Greg Ambrosius T.J. Houshmandzadeh (WR CIN)
47 Dave Richard Antonio Gates (TE SD)
46 John Hansen DeAngelo Williams (RB CAR)
45 Tom Kessenich Drew Brees (QB NO)
44 Matt Berry Jamal Lewis (RB CLE)
43 William Del Pilar Donald Driver (WR GB)
42 Mike Fabiano Marques Colston (WR NO)
41 Andy Behrens Marion Barber (RB DAL)
40 Eric Karabell Marshawn Lynch (RB BUF)
39 Adam Caplan Andre Johnson (WR HOU)
38 Peter Schoenke Roy Williams (WR DET)
37 Matt Pitzer Anquan Boldin (WR ARI) 
 
2:04: I was targeting a WR here, and there were a few good choices. Reggie Brown was tempting, and Hines Ward is solid and stready but doesn’t offer much upside plus I’m a little worried about how he takes a beating. So I took another explosive fantasy player in Lee Evans. I’ve always liked him and it’s hard to argue with his 2006 numbers. He’ll still be by far the #1 guy here, and he and Losman should be a little better.

Round 5
60 Matt Pitzer Warrick Dunn (RB ATL)
59 Peter Schoenke Darrell Jackson (WR SEA)
58 Adam Caplan Chester Taylor (RB MIN)
57 Eric Karabell Hines Ward (WR PIT)
56 Andy Behrens Eli Manning (QB NYG)
55 Mike Fabiano Vince Young (QB TEN)
54 William Del Pilar Fred Taylor (RB JAC)
53 Matt Berry Matt Hasselbeck (QB SEA)
52 Tom Kessenich Adrian Peterson (RB MIN)
51 John Hansen Lee Evans (WR BUF)
50 Dave Richard Plaxico Burress (WR NYG)
49 Greg Ambrosius Donovan McNabb (QB PHI)

2:14: I was faced with a number of tough calls, so I played it safe and went with the best starter on the board: Tony Gonzalez. I do already have LJ, but I really liked how the new coaching staff used him last year and they seemed to find a way to prevent him from disappearing from time to time. Huard will be tossing it to Gonzo a lot. I’m not in love with the pick, but it’s hard to argue damn near in the 7th round.

Round 6
72 Greg Ambrosius Braylon Edwards (WR CLE)
71 Dave Richard Tatum Bell (RB DET)
70 John Hansen Tony Gonzalez (TE KC)
69 Tom Kessenich Reggie Brown (WR PHI)
68 Matt Berry Laveranues Coles (WR NYJ)
67 William Del Pilar Todd Heap (TE BAL)
66 Mike Fabiano Julius Jones (RB DAL)
65 Andy Behrens Jerious Norwood (RB ATL)
64 Eric Karabell LaMont Jordan (RB OAK)
63 Adam Caplan Chris Chambers (WR MIA)
62 Peter Schoenke LenDale White (RB TEN)
61 Matt Pitzer Santana Moss (WR WAS)

2:22: You may not like this one, but I need help at RB and the value was too good to pass up: Kevin Jones. Head coach Rod Marinelli said yesterday that Jones is still on track to be ready for the start of the season. If either he or Williams pan out I should be set. Jones will lose some TDs to Duckett most likely but if he’s healthy I still think he will be Martz back of choice given how well he did in the passing game last year. Tatum Bell is not an acccomplished receiver.

Round 7
84 Matt Pitzer Jeremy Shockey (TE NYG)
83 Peter Schoenke Vernand Morency (RB GB)
82 Adam Caplan Donte’ Stallworth (WR NE)
81 Eric Karabell Terry Glenn (WR DAL)
80 Andy Behrens Joey Galloway (WR TB)
79 Mike Fabiano Mark Clayton (WR BAL)
78 William Del Pilar Tony Romo (QB DAL)
77 Matt Berry Ladell Betts (RB WAS)
76 Tom Kessenich Deion Branch (WR SEA)
75 John Hansen Kevin Jones (RB DET)
74 Dave Richard Chris Henry (RB FA)
73 Greg Ambrosius Calvin Johnson (WR DET) 

2:30: I preached it all last year and that turned out very well. When you get to this point, you take the best starter, and the best starter was the Bear Defense. I think after Baltimore it’s very murky as to which Ds will be good, and you can easily loose out on Chi and Bal with the long wait I have. I was more than happy to snap them up.

Round 8
96 Greg Ambrosius Kellen Winslow (TE CLE)
95 Dave Richard Michael Vick (QB ATL)
94 John Hansen DST Bears (DST CHI)
93 Tom Kessenich Alge Crumpler (TE ATL)
92 Matt Berry D.J. Hackett (WR SEA)
91 William Del Pilar Jerricho Cotchery (WR NYJ)
90 Mike Fabiano DeShaun Foster (RB CAR)
89 Andy Behrens Bernard Berrian (WR CHI)
88 Eric Karabell Eddie Kennison (WR KC)
87 Adam Caplan Vincent Jackson (WR SD)
86 Peter Schoenke Brandon Jackson (RB FA)
85 Matt Pitzer Kevin Curtis (WR PHI)
 
2:43: I was in need of a solid 3rd wideout and was pleased to see Greg Jennings still on the board here.  Had he not fizzled late in the season he would have gone 2-3 rounds earlier, but he still has a lot of talent and Brett Favre. He should be better off with a year in and most importantly his starting job should be locked up. 

Round 9
108 Matt Pitzer Reuben Droughns (RB NYG)
107 Peter Schoenke Matt Leinart (QB ARI)
106 Adam Caplan Devery Henderson (WR NO)
105 Eric Karabell Anthony Thomas (RB BUF)
104 Andy Behrens Vernon Davis (TE SF)
103 Mike Fabiano Philip Rivers (QB SD)
102 William Del Pilar Joe Horn (WR ATL)
101 Matt Berry Chris Cooley (TE WAS)
100 Tom Kessenich Ronald Curry (WR OAK)
99 John Hansen Greg Jennings (WR GB)
98 Dave Richard Jay Cutler (QB DEN)
97 Greg Ambrosius Dominic Rhodes (RB OAK)

2:49: I still do need some boides at RB and I was looking for a guy who could at least be a viable plug-in if needed. Leon Washington fit the bill. The Jets like him a lot and Thomas Jones is a guy who need to be spelled fairly ofte, so Washington should get at least 10-12 touches per game. I was fairly pleased here, although I doubt Washington will be the main guy if Jones gets hurt (they still have Cedric Houston).

Round 10
120 Greg Ambrosius Brett Favre (QB GB)
119 Dave Richard Jerry Porter (WR OAK)
118 John Hansen Leon Washington (RB NYJ)
117 Tom Kessenich Ben Roethlisberger (QB PIT)
116 Matt Berry DST Ravens (DST BAL)
115 William Del Pilar DST Patriots (DST NE)
114 Mike Fabiano Jason Witten (TE DAL)
113 Andy Behrens Jeff Garcia (QB TB)
112 Eric Karabell Derrick Mason (WR BAL)
111 Adam Caplan Benjamin Watson (TE NE)
110 Peter Schoenke Michael Turner (RB SD)
109 Matt Pitzer Jon Kitna (QB DET)

Also: This league scored -2 for INTs, but this was great value for Jon Kitna still. Jeez.

2:55: I passed on my guy in the previous round hoping he would fall to me, and he did: Brandon Jones. I won’t come out and say Jones is going to bust out, but he’s a great value at this point. I like his ability to be a reliable receiver, and he should be the #1 guy here, so I was very happy he was still available.

Round 11
132 Matt Pitzer Joe Jurevicius (WR CLE)
131 Peter Schoenke Michael Bush (RB FA)
130 Adam Caplan Isaac Bruce (WR STL)
129 Eric Karabell Randy McMichael (TE STL)
128 Andy Behrens DST Jaguars (DST JAC)
127 Mike Fabiano Matt Jones (WR JAC)
126 William Del Pilar Drew Bennett (WR STL)
125 Matt Berry Brian Leonard (FB FA)
124 Tom Kessenich Santonio Holmes (WR PIT)
123 John Hansen Brandon Jones (WR TEN)
122 Dave Richard DST Chargers (DST SD)
121 Greg Ambrosius Mike Bell (RB DEN)

3:07: I’m starting to lose some focus here 2 hours in, and I’m not keeping up with the draft as I should be (not advisable). It was my pick and I didn’t have a guy prepared, so I took a flyer on Corey Dillon, who could be only 50-50 to return. However, the odds could increase greatly if someone goes down.

Round 12
144 Greg Ambrosius DST Steelers (DST PIT)
143 Dave Richard Keyshawn Johnson (WR CAR)
142 John Hansen Corey Dillon (RB NE)
141 Tom Kessenich Ron Dayne (RB HOU)
140 Matt Berry Amani Toomer (WR NYG)
139 William Del Pilar Chad Pennington (QB NYJ)
138 Mike Fabiano L.J. Smith (TE PHI)
137 Andy Behrens Muhsin Muhammad (WR CHI)
136 Eric Karabell Mike Furrey (WR DET)
135 Adam Caplan Tony Hunt (RB FA)
134 Peter Schoenke Dallas Clark (TE IND)
133 Matt Pitzer Brandon Marshall (WR DEN)

3:09: Maybe I’m on a sugar high, but I spoke today to someone I know who broke a lot of Syndey Rice film down and someone who knows what he’s talking about and he’s not high on Rice at all. That said, the Vikings will need Troy Williamson this year. I know he’s a train wreck, but at this point, what the hell?

Round 13
156 Matt Pitzer DST Broncos (DST DEN)
155 Peter Schoenke Ashley Lelie (WR SF)
154 Adam Caplan Byron Leftwich (QB JAC)
153 Eric Karabell Jake Delhomme (QB CAR)
152 Andy Behrens Nate Kaeding (K SD)
151 Mike Fabiano Ricky Williams (RB MIA)
150 William Del Pilar Bryant Johnson (WR ARI)
149 Matt Berry Matt Schaub (QB HOU)
148 Tom Kessenich Arnaz Battle (WR SF)
147 John Hansen Troy Williamson (WR MIN)
146 Dave Richard Correll Buckhalter (RB PHI)
145 Greg Ambrosius Dwayne Jarrett (WR FA)

3:24: I certainly waited a long time to take my backup QB, so it was time to grab one. J.P. Losman was the clear choice given his improvement and progress. He even has a smidge of upside and in fact was a top-15 guy in many scoring systems. Not bad.

Round 14
168 Greg Ambrosius Robbie Gould (K CHI)
167 Dave Richard Najeh Davenport (RB PIT)
166 John Hansen J.P. Losman (QB BUF)
165 Tom Kessenich Maurice Morris (RB SEA)
164 Matt Berry Wes Welker (WR NE)
163 William Del Pilar Michael Pittman (RB TB)
162 Mike Fabiano Marty Booker (WR MIA)
161 Andy Behrens Rex Grossman (QB CHI)
160 Eric Karabell DST Panthers (DST CAR)
159 Adam Caplan DST Cowboys (DST DAL)
158 Peter Schoenke Dwayne Wright (RB FA)
157 Matt Pitzer Adam Vinatieri (K IND)

3:30: Two rounds to go and I’m dying over here. I need a kicker and Neil Rackers is only a year removed from being the top choice at the position, thanks to an unbelievable 2005 season. He was a train wreck in 2006 in comparison – but he was still easily a top-10 guy in most systems. The Cards will be better, so this was nice pick.  

Round 15
179 Peter Schoenke DST Giants (DST NYG)
178 Adam Caplan Jason Elam (K DEN)
177 Eric Karabell Adrian Peterson (RB CHI)
176 Andy Behrens Steve McNair (QB BAL)
175 Mike Fabiano Shayne Graham (K CIN)
174 William Del Pilar Jeff Wilkins (K STL)
173 Matt Berry T.J. Duckett (RB DET)
172 Tom Kessenich DST Dolphins (DST MIA)
171 John Hansen Neil Rackers (K ARI)
170 Dave Richard Anthony Gonzalez (WR IND)
169 Greg Ambrosius Chris Brown (RB TEN)

3:57: Final round of the draft, and I figured I might as well grab LJ’s backup in case he holds out, not that I expect Bennett to do anything if he does start.

Round 16
192 Greg Ambrosius JaMarcus Russell (QB OAK)
191 Dave Richard Stephen Gostkowski (K NE)
190 John Hansen Michael Bennett (RB KC)
189 Tom Kessenich Josh Brown (K SEA)
188 Matt Berry David Akers (K PHI)
187 William Del Pilar Eric Johnson (TE NO)
186 Mike Fabiano DST Eagles (DST PHI)
185 Andy Behrens Heath Miller (TE PIT)
184 Eric Karabell Lawrence Tynes (K KC)
183 Adam Caplan Sammy Morris (RB NE)
182 Peter Schoenke Matt Stover (K BAL)
181 Matt Pitzer Robert Meachem (WR NO)

Overall, I was happy with this draft. While I didn’t hit it out of the park, I really couldn’t have expected to do much better than this in my first draft of the year. This is a damn good starting lineup.

Projected starting lineup:

QB Carson Palmer
RB: Larry Johnson
RB: DeAngelo Williams (switch to zone blocking scheme good for him).
WR: Steve Smith
WR: Lee Evans
WR: Greg Jennings
TE: Tony Gonzalez
PK: Neil Rackers
DT: Chicago Bears 

Category: Fantasy Football

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13 Responses

  1. Fridge says:

    Nice draft to date, John. What did the 3rd round look like?

  2. John Hansen says:

    I added that up top

  3. winit4mosi says:

    The John-Hansen-Kevin-Jones-Man-Love must stop!!!!!! Aaargh!!

  4. John Hansen says:

    I wish it could but the 21, 24, 25, 23, 28, 15, 15, and 15 point games in his 10 games with 10 or more carries in this league last year are clouding my judgement for this 7 round pick!

  5. fffanatic says:

    Not bad. Personally though I don’t like the Lee Evans pick in the 5th. I would have preferred someone a little more consistent like Hines Ward or even Chris Chambers. I can’t believe Chambers fell to the 7th round!! If Trent Green finally gets traded to the Dolphins I think Chambers will have a good year.
    I like your QB, RB, TE, Def, and K, but you need some stars to align to get good consistent production out of those WR’s. IMHO

  6. fffanatic says:

    My bad, Chambers was top of the sixth.

  7. PackFan says:

    Your selection of Larry Johnson has a soothing effect on me, as in our league we are allowed one keeper from last year’s squad . . . and LJ will probably be mine, questionable line, quarterback change and all. The Bear’s defense is a great pick … they might outscore Kevin Jones by themselves, but I’m glad you took him in the 7th because I got a good laugh out of winit4mosi’s comment.

    Personally, Cedric Benson scares me because to me he seems injury prone, (I got one of those ‘bad feeling’ things about him that you’ve talked about in the past) so I might have considered Adrian Peterson (RB-Bears) instead of Corey Dillion but hey, who knows … this might be the year Cedric puts it all together.

    Carson Palmer will light it up for you. Also … I’m glad you took Brandon Jones of the Titans because I’ve never paid much attention to him, and your selection in Round 11 is going to make me study up on him. Thanks Guru!

    Interesting to see Randy Moss go this high … this is probably going to happen in many drafts this year, so it’s good to start thinking about whether or not he’ll be worth it, because if someone picks this guy in Round 2 or Round 3, that means one more decent player is going to be available …..

    Nice looking lineup you’ve got there John . . . looks like you’ll win your share of games again this year.

  8. skivvy9r says:

    Nice draft John! I agree with your selections of K. Jones (7th) and G. Jennings (9th). Great value for both of those guys! I drafted Jones last year and was very happy with his production (until he was injured of course). But the steal of the draft has to go to Matt Pitzer for selecting J. Kitna in the 10th round…Wow! I believe Mike Martz and Kitna are going to light it up this year!

    Nice team…

  9. John Hansen says:

    Yeah, I could not believe Kitna was still there, I would have taken him as my backup maybe even in the 9th even with Palmer, tho this legaue does deduct for INTs. Best value of the draft, no doubt.

  10. winit4mosi says:

    John,

    Just kidding about K.J. What two grownups do from the privacy of their own draft room, is their business. Otherwise, I like your draft overall. I think L.J. will be productive this year, but significantly drop off as expected. He’s too hard pass over, in any case.

    Looks like you took a gamble on some risks/reward guys, hope it all pays off.

  11. Flizzo says:

    Nice draft Hansen! I think I’d go with Gore over LJ right now…love the Carson Palmer and DeAngelo Williams picks.

    Very interesting to see where the experts’ heads are right now.

    Addai and R Brown jump out as reaches to me. I’m surprised to see Adrian Peterson go before Chester Taylor.

    I’m surprised to see Jason Campbell not get picked. I think he might be this year’s Philip Rivers. (I’m a ‘skins fan.)

  12. Reebok 1303 says:

    So it seems like Guru really likes Brandon Jones’ upside this year and as a guy to target late, but I’m curious, what happens if Keyshawn Johnson ends up in Tenn? Are they similar types of receivers, or would they complement each other? Would Jones still be the #1?

  13. John Hansen says:

    I wouldn’t use “upside” to describe Jones on a very limited Titan passing game, but I like him as a value that late. Right now he’s the #1 guy, and he’s developing a nice chemistry with Young. Keyshawn would hurt and that are similar, only Jones is a bit more explosive.

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