In case you missed it online, here’s my post-draft Stock Watch. If you’re not a subscriber, you can become one now.
NFL Stock Watch
By John Hansen
I’ve never done it before, but I like the idea of quickly putting the NFL draft into a fantasy perspective by outlining the players whose values have risen and fallen based on the events that transpired this past weekend in New York City.Some of these selections are obvious; some aren’t. But I’m not just trying to fill space here; these are the guys who I like better or less than I did just a few days ago.UpgradesQuarterbacks
Tom Brady (NE) – The one thing I’ve learned over the years is that if a fantasy situation appears too good to be true, it probably is, a case in point being the Raiders the last two years with Randy Moss and Jerry Porter. But this is a different situation than Oakland; this is Tom Brady and the Patriots. This is a player who was very close to getting to – and likely winning – the Super Bowl with Reche Caldwell and Jabar Gaffney as his top two wideouts. There are a lot of mouths to feed here, but [...]
Rather than post random thoughts today, I’m working on a comprehensive NFL Stock Watch report that will cover every single player I feel has seen his stock rise or fall based on the events of this weekend. I’ll complete and post that tomorrow.
In the meantime, I encourage you to check out Floyd’s keeper rants from this weekend in the new Keeper & Dynasty League Blog.
* The NFL Network and ESPN are reporting the New England Patriots have acquired WR Randy Moss from the Raiders for a 4th rounder. Wow! And you can bet your sweet bippy the Pats will protect themselves with multiple “outs” in the restructuring of Moss’ contract.
OK, here are my knee jerk FF reactions to the fallout from this news:
QB Tom Brady – Small spike. How can he significantly improve on his numbers with their defense?
RB Laurence Maroney – Substantial spike. Larry could positively run wild with Moss clearing out all of the underneath coverage trash over the middle. His long-term value is enormous right now.
TE Ben Watson & WR Wes Welker – Could also benefit for the same reasons as Maroney.
WR Donte Stallworth – Downtick, at least until Moss wears out his welcome and departs.
Oh yeah, Moss himself. Maybe in the 10-20 range among wideouts? The Pats spread the ball around too much for him to return to his glory days, but it would be a GREAT time to sell in dynasty if you can get Top 5-10 value in return. His perceived value may never be [...]
Alright, here are a few of your Barber’s snap judgement reactions as the Draft is unfolding.
* The big story from the dynasty perspective is unquestionably Marshawn Lynch going to Buffalo after the Vikings tabbed Adrian Peterson. The owners of the 1.01 rookie picks are now faced with a dilema. Do you draft the better talent in a less attractive situation (Peterson) or a potentially lesser back in seemingly much more attractive spot (Lynch)? Regardless of your viewpoint, the holders of the 1.01, 1.02 and 1.03 could now all see their projected targets shift dramatically.
* In the short term, the stock of Adrian Peterson has taken a hit. The Vikings have yet to seriously address their considerable aerial deficencies which likely means more 8 in the box for Viking RBs. He also has to get through incumbent starter Chester Taylor (will this develope into a Thomas Jones / Cedric Benson situation?) and Peterson has his own lingering health questions. Many pundits (and maybe even the Vikings themselves) will reference the Saints two-headed RB attack in connesction with this choice. The only [...]
The weeks leading up to the NFL Draft can be a time of great angst in keeper league play. Will the quarterback or running back on your fantasy team draft the next great, savior man-child in cleats? I speak from experience as a skittish Chester Taylor keeper league owner.
I’ve been toying with the idea of unloading Chet for weeks. Not because I don’t believe in Taylor’s ability, but due to the fact that an 800 pound gorillia named Adrian Peterson has been bandied about as the 1.07 pick of the Minnesota Vikings in multiple mock drafts.
Fantasy does strange things to people. I’m a life-long Vikings fan, yet hope with all my being that Peterson goes somewhere -anywhere- but to my hometown team because it will destroy the fantasy value of one of my guys. It’s insanity, encapsulated.
Thus far, I’ve stayed the course, but the flip side to the rampant fear and loathing among Chet owners and the like, is that it’s a great time for some bottom [...]