Mar 22, 2007
When I started this blog my boy Tim Holler, aka Floyd the Barber, who has contributed to this site off-and-one for many years, asked if he could contribute once in a while. Tim knows me and this industry very well, and he’s always been very complimentary of me and my work. But the fact is, I respect his opinion as much or more than any other “expert” out there. So when I woke up this morning and found his e-mail detailing the Matt Schaub-to-Houston deal, and when I realized upon reading it that I agreed 100% with every word, I knew my boy Tim had saved me some time today. Thanks, Bro! I mean dude…I mean…Governor!
Houston, We Have Splash Down
by Tim Holler 7:00 AM EST
It’s been another interesting off-season deep in the heart of Texas. Just one season after naming Broncos OC Gary Kubiak as head coach, the Texans have begun making their first wholesale changes since their inception as an expansion team.
The acquisition of Falcons back-up QB Matt Schaub, coupled with the free agent signing of RB Ahman Green, and the all but certain departures of QB David Carr and RB Dom Davis/Williams, has reduced Houston’s vision of the Texas triplets redux, down to a Lone Ranger – WR Andre Johnson.
From the fantasy perspective, Matt Schaub couldn’t have landed in a better spot. A quarterback-friendly coach, running a West Coast offense, with a proven lead receiver and a competent stable of running backs to lean on.
In my mind, this move squarely solidifies Andre Johnson’s value in the Top 10 of fantasy wideouts, while Schaub himself looks like a 15-20 QB prospect with upside. The biggest beneficiary, however, could be their young TE Owen Daniels.
In an efficiently functioning West Coast offense the tight end is almost always a key contributor. Witness Kubiak’s tenure in Denver. Shannon Sharpe speaks for himself (and quite loudly, too!), but the Broncos also managed to generate career year-type numbers out of the likes of Byron Chamberlain, Desmond Clark and Jeb Putzier.
Given the lack of an established, second aerial playmaker, the design of the offense, and the brief glimpses of production from Daniels as a rookie, the table seems set for the second year pro to become a significant producer.
How significant remains to be seen, but in re-drafters he’s gone from deep sleeper status to that of a player to target, late, as a lead tight end with upside or a great second TE to salt away on the bench.
In dynasty, you should, as a rule, speculate on West Coast tight ends just like you would with WCO quarterbacks and the highly coveted “X” receivers. When one appears in the pipeline take a shot and see what develops.
In the case of Daniels, try to buy at a low cost and hope that talent meets opportunity and creates a nice little value play for you.